Snowmageddon 2022 (1 Viewer)

[3C's]

Not sure if I mentioned it, and now the pages are flying by so I don't feel like looking. But it looks like Feb. 6-7 could be another nice storm signal.

Would be a nice birthday present for my wife if we could go sledding but I'm giving up on snow. All we're getting (other than the dusting yesterday) is cold ### rain.

That storm, if it happened, would come from the deep south, which means you guys would have a decent chance of seeing some snow out of it. Not out of the question, anyway.

The euro on Monday: 14" of snow! Yesterday: no snow! I give up...

 

[fantasycurse42]

Not sure if I mentioned it, and now the pages are flying by so I don't feel like looking. But it looks like Feb. 6-7 could be another nice storm signal.

You can book a monster storm coming on 2/7-2/8...

 

[thatguythere]

Are you guys allowed out of the house yet?

Or has Deblizzardo not yet lifted the decree yet?

I'd like to see them try that here where it really snows regularly. Just shut it down. LOL What a joke.

 

[lumpy19]

Hey sheik can you use your weather resources to tell me the temp at 6:30pm EST in glendale AZ on super bowl sunday?

Thanks

 

[Rohn Jambo]

Are you guys allowed out of the house yet?

Or has Deblizzardo not yet lifted the decree yet?

I'd like to see them try that here where it really snows regularly. Just shut it down. LOL What a joke.

We do that whenever we have big snow storms here.

 

[PIK95]

Day three of Cranston R.I. schools being closed. I guess I will take the kids sledding again.

 

[El Floppo]

Are you guys allowed out of the house yet?

Or has Deblizzardo not yet lifted the decree yet?

I'd like to see them try that here where it really snows regularly. Just shut it down. LOL What a joke.

where do you live?

 

[Peak]

Local weatherman calling for 5-6" on Sunday/Monday in the Cincy/Dayton area!

With that said, we'll still probably only see rain or a 1/2" total.

 

[shadyridr]

Are you guys allowed out of the house yet?

Or has Deblizzardo not yet lifted the decree yet?

I'd like to see them try that here where it really snows regularly. Just shut it down. LOL What a joke.

It snows regularly in NYC too guy

 

[El Floppo]

Are you guys allowed out of the house yet?

Or has Deblizzardo not yet lifted the decree yet?

I'd like to see them try that here where it really snows regularly. Just shut it down. LOL What a joke.

It snows regularly in NYC too guy

he probably lives in another area that has 8mil people and double that trying to commute in and out.

or maybe not.

 

[Mr. Ected]

From a Facebook posting of a fairly reliable weather guy for NoVA (Jay's Wintry Mix).

Noon run of the GFS (American Model) is out and it looks fantastic. West to east system rides right below us giving us a cold snow. Looks like it starts off as light snow Sunday afternoon and turns Heavy during the football game. Would definitely cancel school and everybody (not just Loudoun [County]) gets in on the action. The European last night was weaker but still give us several inches but I think the GFS is on track here. Of course things can still go wrong but I am liking this

 

[Swing 51]

From a Facebook posting of a fairly reliable weather guy for NoVA (Jay's Wintry Mix).

Noon run of the GFS (American Model) is out and it looks fantastic. West to east system rides right below us giving us a cold snow. Looks like it starts off as light snow Sunday afternoon and turns Heavy during the football game. Would definitely cancel school and everybody (not just Loudoun [County]) gets in on the action. The European last night was weaker but still give us several inches but I think the GFS is on track here. Of course things can still go wrong but I am liking this

As long it is all powder and not a mix I won't mind too much. If I can make it in to work figure I'll be hungover but if the storm does hit us the office will probably be empty.

 

[Mr. Ected]

From a Facebook posting of a fairly reliable weather guy for NoVA (Jay's Wintry Mix).

Noon run of the GFS (American Model) is out and it looks fantastic. West to east system rides right below us giving us a cold snow. Looks like it starts off as light snow Sunday afternoon and turns Heavy during the football game. Would definitely cancel school and everybody (not just Loudoun [County]) gets in on the action. The European last night was weaker but still give us several inches but I think the GFS is on track here. Of course things can still go wrong but I am liking this

As long it is all powder and not a mix I won't mind too much. If I can make it in to work figure I'll be hungover but if the storm does hit us the office will probably be empty.

Another vote for Super Bowl Saturday!!

 

[Mr. Ected]

From a Facebook posting of a fairly reliable weather guy for NoVA (Jay's Wintry Mix).

Noon run of the GFS (American Model) is out and it looks fantastic. West to east system rides right below us giving us a cold snow. Looks like it starts off as light snow Sunday afternoon and turns Heavy during the football game. Would definitely cancel school and everybody (not just Loudoun [County]) gets in on the action. The European last night was weaker but still give us several inches but I think the GFS is on track here. Of course things can still go wrong but I am liking this

A recent update to the forecast. With this image showing potential accumulation.

The Noon Euro run has come in strong and has followed the lead of its improving competitor(The GFS model). Did i really say that? Now we have to watch the track. We don't want a north jog too much because that will mean drier/warmer. Too much of a south track could be suppression issues. the track now is perfect riding along on the NC/VA Border. But there are several days left so its not a done deal lock but I am feeling good. Here is the euro model forecasted snow fall totals if nothing changes.

 

[3C's]

Bring that ####er a little more south!

 

[Billy Bats]

So for the first time I've ever seen, Cecily (local Philly weather chick) gave out percentages on 4 possible accumulations for Sunday night's possible storm. Hmmm, I wonder why they started doing that?!

1-3 inches 15%

3-6 inches 40%

6-12 inches 35%

12+ inches 10%

 

[Otis]

Mother ####er I think it just snowed here again overnight.

 

[Thunderlips]

So for the first time I've ever seen, Cecily (local Philly weather chick) gave out percentages on 4 possible accumulations for Sunday night's possible storm. Hmmm, I wonder why they started doing that?!

1-3 inches 15%

3-6 inches 40%

6-12 inches 35%

12+ inches 10%

If Cecily needs six to twelve......

 

[The Big Guy]

It is snowing right now down the Jersey Shore. Shut it down!

 

[Ned]

So for the first time I've ever seen, Cecily (local Philly weather chick) gave out percentages on 4 possible accumulations for Sunday night's possible storm. Hmmm, I wonder why they started doing that?!

1-3 inches 15%

3-6 inches 40%

6-12 inches 35%

12+ inches 10%

If Cecily needs six to twelve......

Love her...She's a fantastic runner too. I've seen her at a number of local races and is a super cool chick.

 

[James Daulton]

I no longer count on Sheik for my forecasts and updates. He abandons us when we most need him.

 

[TheIronSheik]

I no longer count on Sheik for my forecasts and updates. He abandons us when we most need him.

When did I abandon you guys? I'm doing more of the long range stuff. I've talked about each one of these storms 2 to 3 weeks out. This Sunday's storm looks really nice.

Timing should start around halftime, so if you are out partying, be careful and mindful of the roads. This system is a fast mover, so that will work against huge totals. But, the temps will be low, giving us some possibly really high snow ratios, which will work in our favor for high totals.

Most models have had my area around a foot of snow, but we should know more after all of the models have run their next runs. That would be near 2 pm. GFS is on the clock as we speak.

This storm has a good chance at over performing as their is plenty of Gulf moisture that is available to be tapped into. Models are not picking up on this at this point.

With all 4 model runs showing pretty much a consensus on track, confidence is high that this will come to fruition. In other words, the bust potential is very small with this storm.

 

[3C's]

Canadian: we're getting a good snow.

Euro/GFS/NAM: rain maybe a change to snow, little to no accumulation

not liking our chances

 

[James Daulton]

I no longer count on Sheik for my forecasts and updates. He abandons us when we most need him.

When did I abandon you guys? I'm doing more of the long range stuff. I've talked about each one of these storms 2 to 3 weeks out. This Sunday's storm looks really nice.

Timing should start around halftime, so if you are out partying, be careful and mindful of the roads. This system is a fast mover, so that will work against huge totals. But, the temps will be low, giving us some possibly really high snow ratios, which will work in our favor for high totals.

Most models have had my area around a foot of snow, but we should know more after all of the models have run their next runs. That would be near 2 pm. GFS is on the clock as we speak.

This storm has a good chance at over performing as their is plenty of Gulf moisture that is available to be tapped into. Models are not picking up on this at this point.

With all 4 model runs showing pretty much a consensus on track, confidence is high that this will come to fruition. In other words, the bust potential is very small with this storm.

You went almost 3 fulls days and 13 pages between posts during what was being called a historic storm impacting tens of millions.

I call that abandoning your post when most needed!

Sheik

 

[Yankee23Fan]

So am I driving the length of the GSP Sunday before kickoff and after the game, or am I bunkering down and getting ready for another zombie invasion?

 

[TheIronSheik]

I no longer count on Sheik for my forecasts and updates. He abandons us when we most need him.

When did I abandon you guys? I'm doing more of the long range stuff. I've talked about each one of these storms 2 to 3 weeks out. This Sunday's storm looks really nice.

Timing should start around halftime, so if you are out partying, be careful and mindful of the roads. This system is a fast mover, so that will work against huge totals. But, the temps will be low, giving us some possibly really high snow ratios, which will work in our favor for high totals.

Most models have had my area around a foot of snow, but we should know more after all of the models have run their next runs. That would be near 2 pm. GFS is on the clock as we speak.

This storm has a good chance at over performing as their is plenty of Gulf moisture that is available to be tapped into. Models are not picking up on this at this point.

With all 4 model runs showing pretty much a consensus on track, confidence is high that this will come to fruition. In other words, the bust potential is very small with this storm.

You went almost 3 fulls days and 13 pages between posts during what was being called a historic storm impacting tens of millions.

I call that abandoning your post when most needed!

Sheik

I actually never post on the weekend.

 

[TheIronSheik]

So am I driving the length of the GSP Sunday before kickoff and after the game, or am I bunkering down and getting ready for another zombie invasion?

After the game may be tough. Timing is going to be close for NJ.

 

[TheIronSheik]

New model runs are moving the rain/snow line further north.

 

[Mr. Ected]

New model runs are moving the rain/snow line further north.

Down here in DC, we are now forcasted for rain. But models can change. Keep faith!!

 

[Billy Bats]

New model runs are moving the rain/snow line further north.

Philly screwed again? I would really like to not have to drive to Princeton at 5am Monday on a super bowl hangover. Come on sheik, I need snow.

 

[TheIronSheik]

New model runs are moving the rain/snow line further north.

Down here in DC, we are now forcasted for rain. But models can change. Keep faith!!

Yeah. It was the NAM that ran, and it is not known as very reliable at this range. So we'll see. I think DC is going to be very close even if the models hold true. The cutoff line for the models last night had them all really close to the Mason Dixon Line, or just slightly south.

 

[TheIronSheik]

New model runs are moving the rain/snow line further north.

Philly screwed again? I would really like to not have to drive to Princeton at 5am Monday on a super bowl hangover. Come on sheik, I need snow.

I here ya. I don't want to have to work on my birthday. So I'm really pulling for this thing to jog back south.

 

[3C's]

Never rooted so hard for the Canadian in my life...

 

[TheIronSheik]

GFS is running...

 

[TheIronSheik]

GFS is running...

GFS holding steady. Good news on that run.

 

[TheIronSheik]

GFS is running...

GFS holding steady. Good news on that run.

GFS actually came in on the same path, but with a stronger storm. My area is the bulls-eye.

 

[TheIronSheik]

It's also good to note that while the old GFS used to be laughed at, the new GFS has been pretty dependable. In fact, the GFS was the only model that called the bust for Monday's storm correctly.

 

[PIK95]

So rain for R.I. as usual Sheik?

 

[TheIronSheik]

So rain for R.I. as usual Sheik?

I don't think so. I think RI will get a good amount with this. Seems to skirt up the coast a little. Not in a Nor'easter type way, but still fairly powerful.

 

[glock]

It's also good to note that while the old GFS used to be laughed at, the new GFS has been pretty dependable. In fact, the GFS was the only model that called the bust for Monday's storm correctly.

Good thing that "bust" was made up of the fluffy stuff...

 

[TheIronSheik]

It's also good to note that while the old GFS used to be laughed at, the new GFS has been pretty dependable. In fact, the GFS was the only model that called the bust for Monday's storm correctly.

Good thing that "bust" was made up of the fluffy stuff...

I'm not sure I understand what you're saying.

 

[3C's]

It's also good to note that while the old GFS used to be laughed at, the new GFS has been pretty dependable. In fact, the GFS was the only model that called the bust for Monday's storm correctly.

Good thing that "bust" was made up of the fluffy stuff...

I'm not sure I understand what you're saying.

LI got a good bit of snow so no bust there. You're talking areas the forecast/other models did bust though, not where it was correct.

 

[TheIronSheik]

Canadian just ran and it's another big hit for us. Models are starting to pick up on the idea that there is plenty of moisture in the Gulf. It did move slightly north, still putting the rain/snow line very close to the Mason Dixon Line.

 

[TheIronSheik]

It's also good to note that while the old GFS used to be laughed at, the new GFS has been pretty dependable. In fact, the GFS was the only model that called the bust for Monday's storm correctly.

Good thing that "bust" was made up of the fluffy stuff...

I'm not sure I understand what you're saying.

LI got a good bit of snow so no bust there. You're talking areas the forecast/other models did bust though, not where it was correct.

Oh. Yeah. Obviously the storm was a huge hit to NE. I'm talking about the dry slot that moved in over NYC, NJ and PA. That bust area was not seen by any model except the GFS.

 

[TheIronSheik]

I had talked earlier in this thread how everyone has heard of an Alberta Clipper, but there are also Saskatchewan Screamers and Manitoba Maulers. Each of the latter can pack a pretty big punch without being a coastal storm. This would be an example of a Manitoba Mauler.

 

[DCThunder]

The CWG's forecast for the Super Bowl storm in DC Metro:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/30/super-bowl-snowstorm-prospects-take-big-hit-more-of-a-wintry-mix-likely/

 

[MattFancy]

I had talked earlier in this thread how everyone has heard of an Alberta Clipper, but there are also Saskatchewan Screamers and Manitoba Maulers. Each of the latter can pack a pretty big punch without being a coastal storm. This would be an example of a Manitoba Mauler.

Sounds like a wrestling move from an 80s WWF wrestler

 

[E-Z Glider]

I had talked earlier in this thread how everyone has heard of an Alberta Clipper, but there are also Saskatchewan Screamers and Manitoba Maulers. Each of the latter can pack a pretty big punch without being a coastal storm. This would be an example of a Manitoba Mauler.

I love this. Please keep us posted on the names so I can use them at every opportunity.

 

[Swing 51]

I had talked earlier in this thread how everyone has heard of an Alberta Clipper, but there are also Saskatchewan Screamers and Manitoba Maulers. Each of the latter can pack a pretty big punch without being a coastal storm. This would be an example of a Manitoba Mauler.

I love this. Please keep us posted on the names so I can use them at every opportunity.

What is the name of this storm? We're on K now right?

 

[TheIronSheik]

I had talked earlier in this thread how everyone has heard of an Alberta Clipper, but there are also Saskatchewan Screamers and Manitoba Maulers. Each of the latter can pack a pretty big punch without being a coastal storm. This would be an example of a Manitoba Mauler.

I love this. Please keep us posted on the names so I can use them at every opportunity.

What is the name of this storm? We're on K now right?

Winter Storm Saddam?