So if you were a betting individual (1 Viewer)

[Rubi]

What jumps out at you as something you'd bet the baby's milk money on?
Here's the odds on Friday afternoon from a well known betting site:

Chargers @ Texans +3 O/U 42 1/2
Steelers @ Ravens -10 O/U 43 1/2

Broncos @ Bills -9 1/2 O/U 47 1/2
Packers @ Eagles -5 O/U 45 1/2
Commanders @ Bucs -3 O/U 50

Vikings @ Rams(In Arizona) +2 O/U 48

I'm liking The Commanders/Bucs over 50 and
The Rams +2

How about you?

 

[-OZ-]

While I fully expect the bills to win, I’ll take 9.5 points plus Denver.

 

[The Duff Man]

While I fully expect the bills to win, I’ll take 9.5 points plus Denver.

I am really curious on this matchup but can’t get my homer glasses off. Denver’s defensive strength is their pass rush.

Buffalo does not give up sacks and having their #1 option on lockdown is irrelevant, they don’t have a #1.

Denver is going to speed the game up so even if they can’t win that should help them cover?

 

[TheAristocrat]

Packers-Eagles over 45.5. Not even sure how but that feels 3 points lower than it should be.

 

[menobrown]

I like taking the 10 with the Steelers.

 

[Bankerguy]

Eagles win by 10+

 

[-OZ-]

Denver is going to speed the game up so even if they can’t win that should help them cover?

I was thinking the opposite. Slow things down, but we’ll see. Your point about the lack of a #1 receiver is a good one. Surtain won’t be irrelevant but Allen doesn’t need to throw near him.

 

[-OZ-]

Packers-Eagles over 45.5. Not even sure how but that feels 3 points lower than it should be.

Yeah, 42-7 seems about right.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Texans just don't sell me even as a home dog. Chargers HC has a history of how to beat Stroud.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

What jumps out at you as something you'd bet the baby's milk money on?
Here's the odds on Friday afternoon from a well known betting site:

Chargers @ Texans +3 O/U 42 1/2
Steelers @ Ravens -10 O/U 43 1/2

Broncos @ Bills -9 1/2 O/U 47 1/2
Packers @ Eagles -5 O/U 45 1/2
Commanders @ Bucs -3 O/U 50

Vikings @ Rams(In Arizona) +2 O/U 48

I'm liking The Commanders/Bucs over 50 and
The Rams +2

How about you?

Bolded all 6 games
Betting maybe a half unit on the Texans
Not really gonna part with much for the Steelers and Broncos but I feel like those games might be a little closer than some think
Philly is back the truck up for me
I'm a homer on the Bucs
Vikings have been good to me all season, laying 2 points on a neutral field, sign me up

 

[metoo]

Texans just don't sell me even as a home dog. Chargers HC has a history of how to beat Stroud.

I see a Chargers blowout.

 

[kyoun1e]

While I fully expect the bills to win, I’ll take 9.5 points plus Denver.

I am really curious on this matchup but can’t get my homer glasses off. Denver’s defensive strength is their pass rush.

Buffalo does not give up sacks and having their #1 option on lockdown is irrelevant, they don’t have a #1.

Denver is going to speed the game up so even if they can’t win that should help them cover?

And not to mention that rookie QBs in their first playoff games have a wretched record ATS.

I'm leaning BUF here and the points.

 

[kyoun1e]

What jumps out at you as something you'd bet the baby's milk money on?
Here's the odds on Friday afternoon from a well known betting site:

Chargers @ Texans +3 O/U 42 1/2
Steelers @ Ravens -10 O/U 43 1/2

Broncos @ Bills -9 1/2 O/U 47 1/2
Packers @ Eagles -5 O/U 45 1/2
Commanders @ Bucs -3 O/U 50

Vikings @ Rams(In Arizona) +2 O/U 48

I'm liking The Commanders/Bucs over 50 and
The Rams +2

How about you?

Bolded all 6 games
Betting maybe a half unit on the Texans
Not really gonna part with much for the Steelers and Broncos but I feel like those games might be a little closer than some think
Philly is back the truck up for me
I'm a homer on the Bucs
Vikings have been good to me all season, laying 2 points on a neutral field, sign me up

Leaning MN as well.

Flores admitted he was not prepared for both Puka and Kupp to suit up in their first matchup and they also suffered some key injuries on D that game.

Something tells me O'Connell gets Darnold's head on straight and MN acts like a 14 win team. LAR offense hasn't exactly been on fire down the stretch.

 

[IHEARTFF]

The Eagles, Bills, and Ravens are in a different class than these other teams so do with that what you will

 

[3 hour lunch]

Teaser with the Tampa over 44 and Phil -1

 

[Uncle Leo]

Eagles -5 seems like easy money, right?

 

[Ministry of Pain]

And we are off to the races

 

[kyoun1e]

Well, I certainly crapped the bed on my LAC pick.

Anyone have a read on TB/WASH? Feel like it's a coin flip and I have to pick that game. Leaning TB at home after getting a bad game out of the way last week.

 

[Rubi]

Well, I certainly crapped the bed on my LAC pick.

Anyone have a read on TB/WASH? Feel like it's a coin flip and I have to pick that game. Leaning TB at home after getting a bad game out of the way last week.

Love the over on Tampa/Washington
Like The Bucs giving 3

 

[kyoun1e]

Well, I certainly crapped the bed on my LAC pick.

Anyone have a read on TB/WASH? Feel like it's a coin flip and I have to pick that game. Leaning TB at home after getting a bad game out of the way last week.

Love the over on Tampa/Washington
Like The Bucs giving 3

Think I"m leaning TB -3.

WASH D should get carved up against B. Irving, TB run D is tough, love J. Daniels but he is a rookie QB on the road in his first playoff game. A. Winfield back as well.

 

[Mister CIA]

Buffalo 41, Denver 24
Philadelphia 31 Green Bay 27
Los Angeles 20 Minnesota 15

Stone cold lock I'll be wrong on 2 out of 3 for winners straight up, as well as against the spread; will also miss O/U 2 out of 3.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

rookie QBs in their first playoff games have a wretched record ATS.

Good call

 

[metoo]

Texans just don't sell me even as a home dog. Chargers HC has a history of how to beat Stroud.

I see a Chargers blowout.

I suck.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Texans just don't sell me even as a home dog. Chargers HC has a history of how to beat Stroud.

I see a Chargers blowout.

I suck.

metoo

 

[Neil Beaufort Zod]

I hardly ever bet, and when I do it's for low stakes. I just don't enjoy it. But I felt really good about Houston and Washington to win, so I bet those in a small parlay. If I had seen this thread before the games, I would have looked really smart.

 

[eighsse2]

I hardly ever bet, and when I do it's for low stakes. I just don't enjoy it. But I felt really good about Houston and Washington to win, so I bet those in a small parlay. If I had seen this thread before the games, I would have looked really smart.

Why I no longer gamble:

If I were in your shoes, I'd be kicking myself, saying, "I was right! Why didn't I bet more! Next time I'll bet the farm, so that if I win, I won't be mad that I didn't bet more!"

 

[Neil Beaufort Zod]

I hardly ever bet, and when I do it's for low stakes. I just don't enjoy it. But I felt really good about Houston and Washington to win, so I bet those in a small parlay. If I had seen this thread before the games, I would have looked really smart.

Why I no longer gamble:

If I were in your shoes, I'd be kicking myself, saying, "I was right! Why didn't I bet more! Next time I'll bet the farm, so that if I win, I won't be mad that I didn't bet more!"

That's a really interesting mindset. Not judging you. My thought is just like "Hey, I was right, and I have a little money I didn't have yesterday." I just thought of an amount I didn't care if I lost, and I only bet half that amount. That way it didn't impact how I watched the games. We only get one playoffs a year, and I don't want to mess it up by focusing on something other than what I'm watching. If I bet "real money" I'd be thinking about it all weekend.

Like I said, it's not a lot. I might buy one of those retro handhelds that has like 15,000 games or something. That way when I play old 80s games I'll be like "Thanks, doink!"

 

[eighsse2]

I hardly ever bet, and when I do it's for low stakes. I just don't enjoy it. But I felt really good about Houston and Washington to win, so I bet those in a small parlay. If I had seen this thread before the games, I would have looked really smart.

Why I no longer gamble:

If I were in your shoes, I'd be kicking myself, saying, "I was right! Why didn't I bet more! Next time I'll bet the farm, so that if I win, I won't be mad that I didn't bet more!"

That's a really interesting mindset. Not judging you. My thought is just like "Hey, I was right, and I have a little money I didn't have yesterday." I just thought of an amount I didn't care if I lost, and I only bet half that amount. That way it didn't impact how I watched the games. We only get one playoffs a year, and I don't want to mess it up by focusing on something other than what I'm watching. If I bet "real money" I'd be thinking about it all weekend.

Like I said, it's not a lot. I might buy one of those retro handhelds that has like 15,000 games or something. That way when I play old 80s games I'll be like "Thanks, doink!"

Haha. Yes that's a much more rational way to gamble. If I could think that way I'd still probably do it.

 

[TheAristocrat]

Packers-Eagles over 45.5. Not even sure how but that feels 3 points lower than it should be.

I don't know why this idiot posts here. Adds nothing of value.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

Based on this thread I like fading the shark pool

 

[menobrown]

I like taking the 10 with the Steelers.

This is why a little over 20 years ago I started leaning into season long fantasy and away from gambling.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Based on this thread I like fading the shark pool

The non-wisdom of the masses.

 

[Gjallarhorn]

Packers-Eagles over 45.5. Not even sure how but that feels 3 points lower than it should be.

I don't know why this idiot posts here. Adds nothing of value.

Betting on sports is really, really hard.

 

[Wingnut]

If you want to follow a bunch of FBG degenerate gamblers and their bets, check this thread out.

FFA Wagering thread

 

[Manster]

Texans just don't sell me even as a home dog. Chargers HC has a history of how to beat Stroud.

I see a Chargers blowout.

Did you mean Chargers getting blown out?

 

[Manster]

Packers-Eagles over 45.5. Not even sure how but that feels 3 points lower than it should be.

I don't know why this idiot posts here. Adds nothing of value.

Betting on sports is really, really hard.

I don't bet on sports often. When I do, it's usually an NFL, or college parlay. I find the NFL to be MUCH harder to win. It's the parity of the league. Even sure things aren't sure things in the NFL.

 

[metoo]

Texans just don't sell me even as a home dog. Chargers HC has a history of how to beat Stroud.

I see a Chargers blowout.

Did you mean Chargers getting blown out?

I’m bad at betting on the NFL and it’s why I don’t do it. That was the one game I felt just ok about.

 

[IHEARTFF]

The Eagles, Bills, and Ravens are in a different class than these other teams so do with that what you will

hopefully someone profited from this

 

[Rubi]

O.K
Some winners some losers
Who are we liking in The Divisional Round?
As of Wednesday morning on Betus:

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs -9 o/u 42

Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions -9 1/2 o/u 55

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 o/u 44

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills even o/u 51

 

[pinkstapler]

O.K
Some winners some losers
Who are we liking in The Divisional Round?
As of Wednesday morning on Betus:

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs -9 o/u 42

Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions -9 1/2 o/u 55

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 o/u 44

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills even o/u 51

Chiefs spread and under
Lions buy the spread up to +13.5 and over
Rams money line no bet on o/u
Ravens and the over

 

[Rubi]

O.K
Some winners some losers
Who are we liking in The Divisional Round?
As of Wednesday morning on Betus:

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs -9 o/u 42

Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions -9 1/2 o/u 55

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 o/u 44

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills even o/u 51

Chiefs spread and under
Lions buy the spread up to +13.5 and over
Rams money line no bet on o/u
Ravens and the over

$20 parlay on this pays $3,123.81
Sweet

 

[3 hour lunch]

Teaser Chiefs -2, Wash +16

 

[pinkstapler]

O.K
Some winners some losers
Who are we liking in The Divisional Round?
As of Wednesday morning on Betus:

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs -9 o/u 42

Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions -9 1/2 o/u 55

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 o/u 44

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills even o/u 51

Chiefs spread and under
Lions buy the spread up to +13.5 and over
Rams money line no bet on o/u
Ravens and the over

$20 parlay on this pays $3,123.81
Sweet

Buying that Lions spread up is probably the riskiest part, but IMO Commanders haven't beaten a good/healthy team yet this season and most of their wins seem to be "team of destiny/gift from the God's" type wins. Not taking anything away from them, every team gets lucky now and again and a win is a win. But they barely eeked out those wins against the Saints, the Falcons, the Cowboys lol... A great team wins those games convincingly. I think they are getting stomped by the Lions, who don't take their foot off the gas even with a lead. They've averaged just under 36 pts a game the past 8 games.

 

[IHEARTFF]

The Eagles, Chiefs, and Lions are in a different class than their opponents, so do with that what you will

 

[Snotbubbles]

Packers-Eagles over 45.5. Not even sure how but that feels 3 points lower than it should be.

I don't know why this idiot posts here. Adds nothing of value.

Betting on sports is really, really hard.

The best bettors are only winning maybe 55% of the time. If you just do one team bets and stay away from parlays you'll turn a profit at around 52% winners.

 

[Keith R]

Not confident in any at present odds. If I had to place one bet, it would be over 44 on Rams-Eagles

 

[Rubi]

I'll lay the points in both Saturday games
I think The Chiefs and Lions both cover
Make it a parlay
Sunday I'm leaning The Rams and the points and The Bills
Confidence factor:
Chiefs- 90%
Lions- 90%
Rams- 60%
Bills- 55%

 

[Snotbubbles]

Not confident in any at present odds. If I had to place one bet, it would be over 44 on Rams-Eagles

Supposed to get snow starting about an hour before the game, might affect the conditions on the field.

 

[Joe Schmo]

O.K
Some winners some losers
Who are we liking in The Divisional Round?
As of Wednesday morning on Betus:

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs -9 o/u 42

Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions -9 1/2 o/u 55

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 o/u 44

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills even o/u 51

Chiefs spread and under
Lions buy the spread up to +13.5 and over
Rams money line no bet on o/u
Ravens and the over

$20 parlay on this pays $3,123.81
Sweet

Buying that Lions spread up is probably the riskiest part, but IMO Commanders haven't beaten a good/healthy team yet this season and most of their wins seem to be "team of destiny/gift from the God's" type wins. Not taking anything away from them, every team gets lucky now and again and a win is a win. But they barely eeked out those wins against the Saints, the Falcons, the Cowboys lol... A great team wins those games convincingly. I think they are getting stomped by the Lions, who don't take their foot off the gas even with a lead. They've averaged just under 36 pts a game the past 8 games.

22-17 over atl
30-27 over car
19-17 over lv

The objective is to win and both KC and Wash have been able to do that even in tight games which is a mark of resillience, imo. Wash is avg 29 pts/gm their last 6 btw.

 

[pinkstapler]

O.K
Some winners some losers
Who are we liking in The Divisional Round?
As of Wednesday morning on Betus:

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs -9 o/u 42

Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions -9 1/2 o/u 55

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 o/u 44

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills even o/u 51

Chiefs spread and under
Lions buy the spread up to +13.5 and over
Rams money line no bet on o/u
Ravens and the over

$20 parlay on this pays $3,123.81
Sweet

Buying that Lions spread up is probably the riskiest part, but IMO Commanders haven't beaten a good/healthy team yet this season and most of their wins seem to be "team of destiny/gift from the God's" type wins. Not taking anything away from them, every team gets lucky now and again and a win is a win. But they barely eeked out those wins against the Saints, the Falcons, the Cowboys lol... A great team wins those games convincingly. I think they are getting stomped by the Lions, who don't take their foot off the gas even with a lead. They've averaged just under 36 pts a game the past 8 games.

22-17 over atl
30-27 over car
19-17 over lv

The objective is to win and both KC and Wash have been able to do that even in tight games which is a mark of resillience, imo. Wash is avg 29 pts/gm their last 6 btw.

I wouldn't really be comparing Washington to KC hah, but we'll find out soon enough!