Someone Help Me With Draft Kings (1 Viewer)

[ChiefD]

I've had a rough year. I typically enter this ($3) to get in:

NFL $1.11M Play-Action [$100K to 1st, 20 Entry Max]​

I just cannot get combinations right this year. Any strategies? Or someone can just pick my team this week. I need some help, tips, something.... I usually pick guys with great matchups against weaker defenses and on paper the team looks solid.

 

[eoMMan]

Don’t do a 20 entry max contest unless you’re putting in 20 entries. I would suggest looking for smaller field contests that are single entry. Put your best lineup in (you can be different but don’t have to be that different.)

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

I've had a rough year. I typically enter this ($3) to get in:

NFL $1.11M Play-Action [$100K to 1st, 20 Entry Max]​

I just cannot get combinations right this year. Any strategies? Or someone can just pick my team this week. I need some help, tips, something.... I usually pick guys with great matchups against weaker defenses and on paper the team looks solid.

I would remind you that when you are playing dfs you are basically playing 9 step parlays. Follow the same rules that you should follow when you go to the casino. Establish how much money you are willing to lose, then have fun. If you happen to cash, its a bonus.

That or you could go completely neutered and just play head to head. I don't think there's anything wrong with putting 3 or 4 lineups in a 20 entry max contest. That's a better proposition than putting those same lineups into a GPP (150 max entries).

There's not much room in dfs for the non-professionals to routinely cash outside of head to head.

 

[BassNBrew]

I've had a rough year. I typically enter this ($3) to get in:

NFL $1.11M Play-Action [$100K to 1st, 20 Entry Max]​

I just cannot get combinations right this year. Any strategies? Or someone can just pick my team this week. I need some help, tips, something.... I usually pick guys with great matchups against weaker defenses and on paper the team looks solid.

I would remind you that when you are playing dfs you are basically playing 9 step parlays. Follow the same rules that you should follow when you go to the casino. Establish how much money you are willing to lose, then have fun. If you happen to cash, its a bonus.

That or you could go completely neutered and just play head to head. I don't think there's anything wrong with putting 3 or 4 lineups in a 20 entry max contest. That's a better proposition than putting those same lineups into a GPP (150 max entries).

There's not much room in dfs for the non-professionals to routinely cash outside of head to head.

Start playing single games and target over lay. I started with $100 and wasn't disciplined and watch it go down to $25. Tighten up my process and I'm at $200. I've also won $200 plus of WFFC tickets but have failed to make those into something. Having the same problems CheifD is. Also doing well with the smaller slate full roster lineups and catching overlay. Had one contest last week that was only 25% full.

 

[ChiefD]

Start playing single games and target over lay. I started with $100 and wasn't disciplined and watch it go down to $25. Tighten up my process and I'm at $200. I've also won $200 plus of WFFC tickets but have failed to make those into something. Having the same problems CheifD is. Also doing well with the smaller slate full roster lineups and catching overlay. Had one contest last week that was only 25% full.

What does this mean?

And what is your process? Just targeting smaller games?

Is there a method to how you put your lineups together? Like...spend a lot on a few studs and then fill in or try and get a bunch of guys that are decent?

 

[BassNBrew]

I've had a rough year. I typically enter this ($3) to get in:

NFL $1.11M Play-Action [$100K to 1st, 20 Entry Max]​

I just cannot get combinations right this year. Any strategies? Or someone can just pick my team this week. I need some help, tips, something.... I usually pick guys with great matchups against weaker defenses and on paper the team looks solid.

I would remind you that when you are playing dfs you are basically playing 9 step parlays. Follow the same rules that you should follow when you go to the casino. Establish how much money you are willing to lose, then have fun. If you happen to cash, its a bonus.

That or you could go completely neutered and just play head to head. I don't think there's anything wrong with putting 3 or 4 lineups in a 20 entry max contest. That's a better proposition than putting those same lineups into a GPP (150 max entries).

There's not much room in dfs for the non-professionals to routinely cash outside of head to head.

9 parlays with 19% juice. It's insane how much FD shaves off the top.

 

[BassNBrew]

Start playing single games and target over lay. I started with $100 and wasn't disciplined and watch it go down to $25. Tighten up my process and I'm at $200. I've also won $200 plus of WFFC tickets but have failed to make those into something. Having the same problems CheifD is. Also doing well with the smaller slate full roster lineups and catching overlay. Had one contest last week that was only 25% full.29% in MVP.

What does this mean?

And what is your process? Just targeting smaller games?

Is there a method to how you put your lineups together? Like...spend a lot on a few studs and then fill in or try and get a bunch of guys that are decent?

I target contests that aren't full. I put together a lineup for every slate I intend to play and then have target contests that aren't full when the slate closes.

In the single games, It's getting the best player in my MVP slot when there's a clear favorite. Last night that was Mariota and he was only 67% owned and 29% MVP. While he didn't have the best outcome, it was plenty to cash. The people playing these single games like big tourneys playing longshots in their MVP slot swing the odds back in your direction.

 

[3 hour lunch]

Start playing single games and target over lay. I started with $100 and wasn't disciplined and watch it go down to $25. Tighten up my process and I'm at $200. I've also won $200 plus of WFFC tickets but have failed to make those into something. Having the same problems CheifD is. Also doing well with the smaller slate full roster lineups and catching overlay. Had one contest last week that was only 25% full.29% in MVP.

What does this mean?

And what is your process? Just targeting smaller games?

Is there a method to how you put your lineups together? Like...spend a lot on a few studs and then fill in or try and get a bunch of guys that are decent?

I target contests that aren't full. I put together a lineup for every slate I intend to play and then have target contests that aren't full when the slate closes.

In the single games, It's getting the best player in my MVP slot when there's a clear favorite. Last night that was Mariota and he was only 67% owned and 29% MVP. While he didn't have the best outcome, it was plenty to cash. The people playing these single games like big tourneys playing longshots in their MVP slot swing the odds back in your direction.

Interested in how you do this. Do you have a lineup set for some or most of the single game slates on Sunday and then quickly look around at like 11:58 for possible overlay and jam a bunch in?

 

[BassNBrew]

Start playing single games and target over lay. I started with $100 and wasn't disciplined and watch it go down to $25. Tighten up my process and I'm at $200. I've also won $200 plus of WFFC tickets but have failed to make those into something. Having the same problems CheifD is. Also doing well with the smaller slate full roster lineups and catching overlay. Had one contest last week that was only 25% full.29% in MVP.

What does this mean?

And what is your process? Just targeting smaller games?

Is there a method to how you put your lineups together? Like...spend a lot on a few studs and then fill in or try and get a bunch of guys that are decent?

I target contests that aren't full. I put together a lineup for every slate I intend to play and then have target contests that aren't full when the slate closes.

In the single games, It's getting the best player in my MVP slot when there's a clear favorite. Last night that was Mariota and he was only 67% owned and 29% MVP. While he didn't have the best outcome, it was plenty to cash. The people playing these single games like big tourneys playing longshots in their MVP slot swing the odds back in your direction.

Interested in how you do this. Do you have a lineup set for some or most of the single game slates on Sunday and then quickly look around at like 11:58 for possible overlay and jam a bunch in?

Yeah. The downside is that you don't know which contests where this is going to come up. It came get real easy to load up on a slate that you don't feel good about. It can easily become a slaughter fest on a 50% full contest if you are bringing up the back of the bus. The advantage of the full roster contests spanning different game times is that you can go back and edit lineups if you feel overweighted. I've gotten more disciplined at walking away from single game contest that I don't feel good about. The other downside to the single games is that you're never going to hit big. I've had several top finishes that I ended up tied and after the chop I was like wtf, did I just play a double up.

Bottom line is that with 19% juice and the huge ff luck factor you're not going to win on a longer basis unless you either hit the lottery or take steps to thin that 19%. It's the reason why we went from 20-30 people participating in this forum to basically no one.

 

[ChiefD]

Start playing single games and target over lay. I started with $100 and wasn't disciplined and watch it go down to $25. Tighten up my process and I'm at $200. I've also won $200 plus of WFFC tickets but have failed to make those into something. Having the same problems CheifD is. Also doing well with the smaller slate full roster lineups and catching overlay. Had one contest last week that was only 25% full.29% in MVP.

What does this mean?

And what is your process? Just targeting smaller games?

Is there a method to how you put your lineups together? Like...spend a lot on a few studs and then fill in or try and get a bunch of guys that are decent?

I target contests that aren't full. I put together a lineup for every slate I intend to play and then have target contests that aren't full when the slate closes.

In the single games, It's getting the best player in my MVP slot when there's a clear favorite. Last night that was Mariota and he was only 67% owned and 29% MVP. While he didn't have the best outcome, it was plenty to cash. The people playing these single games like big tourneys playing longshots in their MVP slot swing the odds back in your direction.

Interested in how you do this. Do you have a lineup set for some or most of the single game slates on Sunday and then quickly look around at like 11:58 for possible overlay and jam a bunch in?

Yeah. The downside is that you don't know which contests where this is going to come up. It came get real easy to load up on a slate that you don't feel good about. It can easily become a slaughter fest on a 50% full contest if you are bringing up the back of the bus. The advantage of the full roster contests spanning different game times is that you can go back and edit lineups if you feel overweighted. I've gotten more disciplined at walking away from single game contest that I don't feel good about. The other downside to the single games is that you're never going to hit big. I've had several top finishes that I ended up tied and after the chop I was like wtf, did I just play a double up.

Bottom line is that with 19% juice and the huge ff luck factor you're not going to win on a longer basis unless you either hit the lottery or take steps to thin that 19%. It's the reason why we went from 20-30 people participating in this forum to basically no one.

So when you are doing your lineups on the multi-game contests, how are you allocating your salary cap? A couple of stars and a bunch of fill-ins or a lot of guys with middle of the road salaries?

I can't quite get that formula down this year. I've put out what I feel are great lineups and they turn out to be duds. Guys with matchups against poor defenses for example.

 

[BassNBrew]

Start playing single games and target over lay. I started with $100 and wasn't disciplined and watch it go down to $25. Tighten up my process and I'm at $200. I've also won $200 plus of WFFC tickets but have failed to make those into something. Having the same problems CheifD is. Also doing well with the smaller slate full roster lineups and catching overlay. Had one contest last week that was only 25% full.29% in MVP.

What does this mean?

And what is your process? Just targeting smaller games?

Is there a method to how you put your lineups together? Like...spend a lot on a few studs and then fill in or try and get a bunch of guys that are decent?

I target contests that aren't full. I put together a lineup for every slate I intend to play and then have target contests that aren't full when the slate closes.

In the single games, It's getting the best player in my MVP slot when there's a clear favorite. Last night that was Mariota and he was only 67% owned and 29% MVP. While he didn't have the best outcome, it was plenty to cash. The people playing these single games like big tourneys playing longshots in their MVP slot swing the odds back in your direction.

Interested in how you do this. Do you have a lineup set for some or most of the single game slates on Sunday and then quickly look around at like 11:58 for possible overlay and jam a bunch in?

Yeah. The downside is that you don't know which contests where this is going to come up. It came get real easy to load up on a slate that you don't feel good about. It can easily become a slaughter fest on a 50% full contest if you are bringing up the back of the bus. The advantage of the full roster contests spanning different game times is that you can go back and edit lineups if you feel overweighted. I've gotten more disciplined at walking away from single game contest that I don't feel good about. The other downside to the single games is that you're never going to hit big. I've had several top finishes that I ended up tied and after the chop I was like wtf, did I just play a double up.

Bottom line is that with 19% juice and the huge ff luck factor you're not going to win on a longer basis unless you either hit the lottery or take steps to thin that 19%. It's the reason why we went from 20-30 people participating in this forum to basically no one.

So when you are doing your lineups on the multi-game contests, how are you allocating your salary cap? A couple of stars and a bunch of fill-ins or a lot of guys with middle of the road salaries?

I can't quite get that formula down this year. I've put out what I feel are great lineups and they turn out to be duds. Guys with matchups against poor defenses for example.

Fade my regular FF league and FBG contest team.

I would suggest 1pm or 4pm only or Sunday Late-Monday slates. With the smaller number of options, the value plays like Gainwell or Hopkins (past weeks) jump out. Jam in the best QB but don't worry about a stack. From there the options are limited enough that the lineup will build itself.

 

[FairWarning]

In the single game contests, better to focus on the dog and you have to be different. I’ won the first one I’ve ever entered (out of 6000), won about $2000 on a $5 play Single entry.
How you wont win - entering huge contests and not maxing out the entries.

 

[Bri]

I generally recommend quarter games to people learning or in a funk.