Stadium Stat Crew FYI (1 Viewer)

[Jene Bramel]

Told by a friend in the NFL stat department today that there will be no new recording guidelines given to the stadium stat crews for 2014. We've seen stadium crews adjust their tendencies during the season in the past -- the Cincinnati crew early last year comes to mind -- but we should be able to count on many of the same inequities this year.

I'll review the most useful discrepancies in an upcoming RTD column. Larry Thomas will have weekly home and away tackle and assist counts in the Matchup Sheet again this season. And we'll be addressing any changes to the status quo in our inseason analysis and podcast discussions.

 

[TheCommish]

Just curious ... are these solo/assist discrepancies taken into account when you guys do your stat projections, or are we to use this information to upgrade or downgrade on the fly?

 

[Jene Bramel]

I can't speak for John's projections, but you can see in the blurbs I write for my tier articles that it absolutely plays into my thoughts. I think it's also a worthwhile consideration when looking for bye week upside replacements.

 

[PhantomJB]

I can't speak for John's projections, but you can see in the blurbs I write for my tier articles that it absolutely plays into my thoughts. I think it's also a worthwhile consideration when looking for bye week upside replacements.

If that is the case then I would respectfully challenge the placement of Derrick Johnson in the LB Elite Tier category.

In KC, DJ has averaged only 20 assists the past four years and only 13.5 the past two even while posting 95+ solos. His 2013 finish was buoyed significantly by an exception big-play year.

Meanwhile, the other guys in the Elite tier approach the starting gate with what equates to a 8-22 solo tackle head start (assuming a 2:1 solo:assist scoring system).

As for the others' assist totals:

L. Kuechly (60+ last 2yrs in CAR)

L. David (33 last 2yrs in TB)

V. Burfict (57 in CIN last year)

P. Poz (40+ last 3 yrs in JAX)

P. Willis (32 in last full season in SF)

J. Mayo (60 in 2012 in NE)

K. Dansby (only 12 last yr in AZ but moves to CLE where DQJackson avgd 50-60 per year)

P. Worrilow (49 last yr in ATL in only 12 games)

All of the above (except maybe Worrilow) IMO are at least equal in terms of potential solos (95-100+) and big play (sack/FF/FR/PD) production. Since big plays are notoriously tough to predict (ala TD's on OFF) it would seem that Johnson faces a stiff headwind annually due to the stingy stat crew.

Just a thought.

Edit: corrected solo tackle differential calc.

 

[SpaceMonkeys]

Talk about crunching numbers! It sure will help when Im torn between starters by telling me who might have that "edge"