What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Stock Thread (10 Viewers)

Earnings report is Thursday so it’s a good time to buy. Won’t get back to where it was but should be a jump from today. 
Yep. I’ve got a presentation at 1, but I’ll be checking for an end of the day rout. I think earnings will be very solid. 

 
Target bottom is between 2650 and 2600. This was the big one I was hoping to sit on the sidelines and wait for.

We have panic selling which is good. Need to wash out all the excess margin bets.

If Dr. Doom shows up & says it's just the beginning, then we are close to the bottom.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Rough month ?
Well holy hell I missed a rout. My 1650 didn’t trigger. I may remove that now and see where we start tomorrow. I guess it wasn’t a good idea to jump back in a week and a half ago. Still have about half in cash but could have bought a nice chunk more.

 
Target bottom is between 2650 and 2600. This was the big one I was hoping to sit on the sidelines and wait for.

We have panic selling which is good. Need to wash out all the excess margin bets.

If Dr. Doom shows up & says it's just the beginning, then we are close to the bottom.


I don't sense panic.  The real panic starts if it breaks significantly below 2581 or so, where Feb and April bottoms are, and keeps going.  Its about time we had a real nasty one.

 
Well holy hell I missed a rout. My 1650 didn’t trigger. I may remove that now and see where we start tomorrow. I guess it wasn’t a good idea to jump back in a week and a half ago. Still have about half in cash but could have bought a nice chunk more.
Bought some more today and might flip Friday am after the earnings report. 

 
Bought some more today and might flip Friday am after the earnings report. 
I don’t blame you. I think I looked at 10am and never got a chance again. Came close to my limit order. Definitely thinking about getting more of both the stocks I bought. I just don’t know if great earnings will pop enough. 

 
I don’t blame you. I think I looked at 10am and never got a chance again. Came close to my limit order. Definitely thinking about getting more of both the stocks I bought. I just don’t know if great earnings will pop enough. 
It won’t pop that much but maybe enough to make a few bucks. If not I’ll just hold it. 

 
It won’t pop that much but maybe enough to make a few bucks. If not I’ll just hold it. 
Yep. I’ll be watching early to see what to do. Seems like late day swoons are the norm now and I’ve got enough cash to have some fun or at least reducing my cost basis.

 
At this point the worst scenario is a weak up day. A huge up day is probably not a good scenario either. This needs to crater tomorrow morning and get to around 2600-2580 with a sharp V bounceback.

 
Brother and I are split on Dow 2020. He thinks it gets to 30K, I say it is more likely to be closer to 15K by then (which puts the over/under around 22,500). I’m taking the under. You?

 
I kept telling myself I want a pullback to find value opportunities but it’s never fun to watch when it’s happening. 

 
Brother and I are split on Dow 2020. He thinks it gets to 30K, I say it is more likely to be closer to 15K by then (which puts the over/under around 22,500). I’m taking the under. You?
If we have the same 'president' after November 2020, I'll take the under.

 
Brother and I are split on Dow 2020. He thinks it gets to 30K, I say it is more likely to be closer to 15K by then (which puts the over/under around 22,500). I’m taking the under. You?
Below are 3 different Elliott Wave guys discussing S&P this morning: Pretty sure I'm gonna pay the $100/month. I'll tell you this, they do not believe this is the big one. They have already said it comes next year at the earlies but will come. That's a 20-30% drop that they are saying is coming but not before a last rally taking the S&P over 3000.  He may be right that it gets close to 30K but then you may be right that it plummets. If I would have taken their advice, I would have been out and on the sidelines sometime in mid September. Next time I'm runnign when they say to. They don't appear to care a rats ### about who is in office. They say Trump however will be in office when it happens.

I know that my micro count can still potentially push us lower, but please recognize where we are.  We are quite close to the targets we set for this a-wave to the downside.  Moreover, we are now more oversold in the IWM than we were in 2011 or 2016.  Now, my main expectation, especially in the IWM, is that the next big rally will be corrective in nature, as there is no divergence whatsoever to even consider in the IWM.  But, we are getting VERY close to the end of this decline imho.

This Bullish B Wave Scenario is rolling around in the back of my mind at the moment. We're no where close to it taking shape...yet. If bearish symmetry is taken out (2,765), then it will roll on up to the front of the line as I think a B wave to just 2,828 is too generally accepted. We'll have to see how this bounce takes shape if yesterday's low 2,651 can hold. 

SPX - I think it's quite unlikely that this is in a wave ((iv)) of a diagonal per the blue count with today's break down lower. So this leaves us either having topped in the red wave ((3)) or the yellow wave ((b)) of 4. In both cases, it looks like we saw an ending diagonal into the September highs which would have had an origination point down around the 2550 area. So while we do have some fib support levels between current levels and that 2550 level, a continued sharp drop to that zone prior to getting much of a bounce really would not surprise me at all. 2646 then 2596 are the next two key larger degree fibs that I am watching but if those let go I think 2550 likey gets hit before we get much of a bounce.

This was from a couple days ago: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-bigger-decline-in-the-sp-500-is-probably-months-away-2018-10-22
….And when the market finally completes its a-wave down toward the 2,600 region, I think we will have a buying opportunity for a rally back toward at least 2,800 points, (I guess that's possibly starting right now)with some potential still being retained for the rally to 3,011, as mentioned earlier in this analysis. But once that rally off the 2,600 region is completed, that will likely begin our setup for the drop down to as low as the 2,200 region in 2019.

 
Haven’t checked my IRA in a bit but it is now in the negative for this year. I don’t want to sell because the dividends are still good so it’s more like riding the wave. Don’t have money to buy however if this wave isn’t over, might have to look into reallocating some monies. 

 
amzn order in for 10 @ $1706.

... which means bottom will either be $1706.99 .... or $1650.

<_<
My order for 1650 just missed. It ended around 1660 yesterday. Would have been a nice hit, I shouldn’t have set it that low. SMH. Would have been nice to DCA what I bought in the 1700s right before when it hit 1685. I hate when work gets in the way. ;)

 
stbugs said:
My order for 1650 just missed. It ended around 1660 yesterday. Would have been a nice hit, I shouldn’t have set it that low. SMH. Would have been nice to DCA what I bought in the 1700s right before when it hit 1685. I hate when work gets in the way. ;)
Read your post and was trying to figure out why my buy didn't trigger ... I selected it for "one day" and it expired ... and I missed that dip yesterday altogether.

Sheesh. I'm gonna miss out on a big rip when earnings report is released. ... is it today?

 
Probably not an original thought, but in for 50 shares of TTWO at $122.50 for a short term play. 

If a bunch of old dudes on FFA are excited about Red Dead, I can't imagine how many copies will be sold to the younger generation. And it has had a nice dip this week.
the is the only one i've been watching closely. Red Dead is huge for all gamers.

 
Read your post and was trying to figure out why my buy didn't trigger ... I selected it for "one day" and it expired ... and I missed that dip yesterday altogether.

Sheesh. I'm gonna miss out on a big rip when earnings report is released. ... is it today?
Yes, earnings tonight and I have 0 doubt it will be a blowout. I never even looked at the market yesterday. I definitely would have bought at the end of the day. My limit order was an open forever one and of course I didn’t get lucky.

 
Yes, earnings tonight and I have 0 doubt it will be a blowout. I never even looked at the market yesterday. I definitely would have bought at the end of the day. My limit order was an open forever one and of course I didn’t get lucky.
What do you think amz hits after market?

 
Not sure, but I think with the recent turbulence I have to add some caveats. If it’s 1740s at close and they blow it out, 1800. 
Might be underselling it now. Damn, it’s still far away from the 2k+, but I’m kicking myself for not looking at the market at 3:45 yesterday. I’m up over 7% today mainly due to being heavy on individual stocks including AMZN.

 
I think a lot of people were hoping that Amazon and Google would be able to at least temporarily turn this market around. This could get ugly(er).

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top