Michael Brown
Footballguy
Not sure if this is common knowledge or what, but Timmay has had some pretty significant home/road splits ever since he stopped being awesome in 2012. Year-by-year splits in terms of ERA/WHIP over that time:
2012 Home - 4.15 ERA / 1.39 WHIP
2012 Away - 6.43 ERA / 1.56 WHIP
2013 Home - 4.28 ERA / 1.19 WHIP
2013 Away - 4.47 ERA / 1.45 WHIP
2014 Home - 3.91 ERA / 1.27 WHIP
2014 Away - 6.02 ERA / 1.58 WHIP
Obviously a 4.28 ERA or a 1.39 WHIP aren't helping your fantasy team anyway, but they were still significantly better than the numbers he posted on the road. So coming into this season, I wanted to see if the trend would continue or if it was a total fluke (which it still might be, of course). But the numbers have held up once again:
2015 Home - 1.98 ERA / 1.10 WHIP
2015 Away - 4.88 ERA / 1.60 WHIP
So I dug a little deeper to see if it was one or two games that were outliers that skewed the stats. But except for a handful of starts, it's mostly been good at home and crummy on the road nearly every time out. Game logs by home and road starts:
Home
4/15 vs Col: 5 IP, 4 K, 3 ER, 7 On
4/21 vs LAD: 6 IP, 5 K, 1 ER, 8 On
5/03 vs LAA: 8 IP, 4 K, 0 ER, 4 On
5/08 vs Mia: 6 IP, 8 K, 0 ER, 6 On
5/20 vs LAD: 7 IP, 4 K, 0 ER, 5 On
5/30 vs Atl: 4.1 IP, 5 K, 4 ER, 10 On
Road
4/10 @ SD: 7 IP, 5 K, 0 ER, 7 On
4/27 @ LAD: 4 IP, 2 K, 4 ER, 11 On
5/14 @ Cin: 4.2 IP, 4 K, 3 ER, 10 On
5/25 @ Mil: 5 IP, 4 K, 4 ER, 8 On
6/5 @ Phi: 6 IP, 4 K, 4 ER, 7 On
6/11 @ NYM: 4.2 IP, 5 K, 2 ER, 7 On
So anyway, not sure what this means if anything, or if anyone can stomach the potential of having their stats blown to pieces by this guy if he pitches really poorly at home one of these times out. But figured it was something to keep in mind if you're looking to stream an arm, since he's probably on the waiver wire of all but the deepest of leagues at this point.
2012 Home - 4.15 ERA / 1.39 WHIP
2012 Away - 6.43 ERA / 1.56 WHIP
2013 Home - 4.28 ERA / 1.19 WHIP
2013 Away - 4.47 ERA / 1.45 WHIP
2014 Home - 3.91 ERA / 1.27 WHIP
2014 Away - 6.02 ERA / 1.58 WHIP
Obviously a 4.28 ERA or a 1.39 WHIP aren't helping your fantasy team anyway, but they were still significantly better than the numbers he posted on the road. So coming into this season, I wanted to see if the trend would continue or if it was a total fluke (which it still might be, of course). But the numbers have held up once again:
2015 Home - 1.98 ERA / 1.10 WHIP
2015 Away - 4.88 ERA / 1.60 WHIP
So I dug a little deeper to see if it was one or two games that were outliers that skewed the stats. But except for a handful of starts, it's mostly been good at home and crummy on the road nearly every time out. Game logs by home and road starts:
Home
4/15 vs Col: 5 IP, 4 K, 3 ER, 7 On
4/21 vs LAD: 6 IP, 5 K, 1 ER, 8 On
5/03 vs LAA: 8 IP, 4 K, 0 ER, 4 On
5/08 vs Mia: 6 IP, 8 K, 0 ER, 6 On
5/20 vs LAD: 7 IP, 4 K, 0 ER, 5 On
5/30 vs Atl: 4.1 IP, 5 K, 4 ER, 10 On
Road
4/10 @ SD: 7 IP, 5 K, 0 ER, 7 On
4/27 @ LAD: 4 IP, 2 K, 4 ER, 11 On
5/14 @ Cin: 4.2 IP, 4 K, 3 ER, 10 On
5/25 @ Mil: 5 IP, 4 K, 4 ER, 8 On
6/5 @ Phi: 6 IP, 4 K, 4 ER, 7 On
6/11 @ NYM: 4.2 IP, 5 K, 2 ER, 7 On
So anyway, not sure what this means if anything, or if anyone can stomach the potential of having their stats blown to pieces by this guy if he pitches really poorly at home one of these times out. But figured it was something to keep in mind if you're looking to stream an arm, since he's probably on the waiver wire of all but the deepest of leagues at this point.
