Sleepy Sloth
Footballguy
Does anybody know how Clayton comes up with the strength of schedule projections? I have faith that it is far more than the bonehead method of 2006 performance projected into the 2007 schedule (like the vast majority of other sites out there). In the Mag article on DTBC there was discussion of using opponents' offensive projections to project defensive strength of schedule (which seems perfectly reasonable to me), but it's not clear from Clayton's articles in the Mag and online whether he uses that or some other projection technique. Was there an article explaining the method in some prior year?
Clayton produces the best week by week analysis out there, I just would like to use it with more faith in the methodology, and being the analytical sort, I need to have some hint of the technique in order to have real faith.
Anybody know?
P.S. Clayton, if you use this, please look into adding a home/away tweak to the method - in my analysis, it is significant for RB and DST at a minimum, but varies considerably by team.
Clayton produces the best week by week analysis out there, I just would like to use it with more faith in the methodology, and being the analytical sort, I need to have some hint of the technique in order to have real faith.
Anybody know?
P.S. Clayton, if you use this, please look into adding a home/away tweak to the method - in my analysis, it is significant for RB and DST at a minimum, but varies considerably by team.
