Study on accuracy of projections? (1 Viewer)

[Mohawk]

I was wondering if anyone knew of a study of the accuracy of various website and or magazine player projections. With the proliferation of FF sites and an overwhelming amount of information available, it would be very useful to know which sites have been most successful over the past few years. As a FBG I am hoping this site is one of the more accurate.

I know such a project would be a huge undertaking but I am guessing that someone somewhere knows about such a study.

Anyone?

 

[stickboy]

I was wondering if anyone knew of a study of the accuracy of various website and or magazine player projections. With the proliferation of FF sites and an overwhelming amount of information available, it would be very useful to know which sites have been most successful over the past few years. As a FBG I am hoping this site is one of the more accurate.

I know such a project would be a huge undertaking but I am guessing that someone somewhere knows about such a study.

Anyone?

Yes, it's been donePre-season rankings are easier to rank than the week to week. The problems are normalizing scoring systems, comparing rankings vs. projections, what subsets of player projections to compare (just the top 12?), and where to draw the line between accurate vs. inaccurate.

In my limited analysis, I have found FBG to be near the top at QB and RB, but not as good at WR projections.

 

[tones]

Here is the analysis for the 2009 season. FBG isn't in the analysis - http://www.fflibrarian.com/2009/02/accurac...s-for-2008.html

 

[Mark Wimer]

There were some studies of 2006 and 2007 that I linked to in this THREAD

As David's projections drive our weekly rankings, they are relevant to the OP's question.

Enjoy!

MW

 

[Mark Wimer]

There were some studies of 2006 and 2007 that I linked to in this THREAD

As David's projections drive our weekly rankings, they are relevant to the OP's question.

Enjoy!

MW

I see that the 2006 link is now broken - as I recall, we were the #1 site according to fantasyhounddog's methodology.