Marc Levin
Hangs out with Oscar Zeta Acosta
I defer to SSOG's projections. I'll just point out that, right now, TBell is averaging over 19 carries/game, which projects to 309 carries on the year.
I don't see MB as a GL vulture - just a general carries vulture. I don't see too many 25+ carry games for TB - I think Shanhan learned his lesson from getting Portis injured by pushing near 40 carries.
I also have a higher estimation of his per carry average. I think a continued 5 YPC average is reasonable. In fact, I think that is the kind of average Shanahan wants, and if TB starts to dip in his YPC in a given game, he would be spelled more often to keep him fresh and to keep his YPC elevated.
With TB's ability to bust off long runs at any time, I think his overall YPC will stay elevated. 290 carries and a 5 YPC average is 1450 rush yards.
I guess you are not "down" on TB, but you are clearly not as expectant (hopeful?) as I am for top-notch numbers from TB.
I'll also admit I am probably underestimating TB's TD totals. If the Denver OL plays as it should play, getting double digit TDs should not be that difficult for TB - he'll just have to run where the play is designed to go when the team is at the GL. And he is certainly capable of busting off long TDs - maybe not with the regularity that Portis and TD did, but every so often.
So. I defer to SSOG's numbers - esp. since we match up with each other on fantasy production.
Either way - yes, thatguy, I think the Broncos will offer TB a fair contract. Whether TB and his agent sees it as fair is another question.
I don't see MB as a GL vulture - just a general carries vulture. I don't see too many 25+ carry games for TB - I think Shanhan learned his lesson from getting Portis injured by pushing near 40 carries.
I also have a higher estimation of his per carry average. I think a continued 5 YPC average is reasonable. In fact, I think that is the kind of average Shanahan wants, and if TB starts to dip in his YPC in a given game, he would be spelled more often to keep him fresh and to keep his YPC elevated.
With TB's ability to bust off long runs at any time, I think his overall YPC will stay elevated. 290 carries and a 5 YPC average is 1450 rush yards.
I guess you are not "down" on TB, but you are clearly not as expectant (hopeful?) as I am for top-notch numbers from TB.
I'll also admit I am probably underestimating TB's TD totals. If the Denver OL plays as it should play, getting double digit TDs should not be that difficult for TB - he'll just have to run where the play is designed to go when the team is at the GL. And he is certainly capable of busting off long TDs - maybe not with the regularity that Portis and TD did, but every so often.
So. I defer to SSOG's numbers - esp. since we match up with each other on fantasy production.
Either way - yes, thatguy, I think the Broncos will offer TB a fair contract. Whether TB and his agent sees it as fair is another question.