Tease of the Year (1 Viewer)

[BIGGjohnny]

I think this week is a great opportunity for a HUGE tease play. Here is my thinking.

-Lots of bad teams this year in NFL, more than most years

-the favs have been covering more often than not. Only 2 dogs, (Zona and Buff) covered last week.

-The big favs are at home this week and it seems as though most should at least win.

Here are the ones that I am looking at.

With Tease

-Indy-7vs SF (Indy has been an offensive machine this year, I see getting ahead early and cruising in this one)

-Zona-4 vs carolina (Zona has been rock solid vs the run, only thing Carolina can do well is run. zona should win by double digits)

-San Diego -10 vs OAK (San Diego has owned this divison ATS and owned OAK (especially at home) SD is averaging around 30 pts per game and OAK around 8)

-New Orleans -4 vs ATL (New Orleans is a covering machine. 6-0ATS this year and an offensive machine, division game may be a little scary tho)

-Chicago -7 vs Clev (Chicago should bounce back strong after an embarassing loss to Cincy last week, Clev is a very disgusting team and should get blown out)

-Minn +10 at GB (Minn the better team, getting ten points, CMON MAN)

What are the safest 2 tease picks and why?

Thanks

Johnny

 

[Red Dogg]

You have them listed in the right order from my point of view. I'd pick any of the first three and feel good about it. The spreads I am looking at are about 2x what you have. If force to pick two I'd go Indy and SD, for the reasons you've listed.

 

[Ghost Rider]

Not sure I would take San Diego. Okay, they wiped out Kansas City last week, but I wouldn't count on a team as shaky as them to wipe anyone out, even Oakland, who has looked okay at times, and terrible at other times.

I like to Arizona to win, but they could have a letdown after that big road win last week. Plus, I think they are still a team trying to find its true identity, so they will have weeks where they eke by or struggle. This could be one of those weeks.

Chicago should beat Cleveland rather handily, but it is tough to take a team that just lost by 35 on the road minus that many points.

Minnesota getting that many looks easy, but i think GB will win the game, and it wouldn't surprise me if the Packers pulled away late and won by double digits (after it being close for most of the way).

I think Indy and NO are your safest bets.

 

[BIGGjohnny]

After more analysis, I feel:

-I can not trust Zona. As bad as Delhomme is, I just feel that Warner could make a couple bad turnovers (Carolina D playing OK) and this game could come down to the wire. On paper it screams Zona by double digits but this could be a trap.

-I can nor trust San Diego to win by double digits. Vs any team, even Oakland. SD offensive is bad, and Oakland could get pressure on Rivers and keep it close.

Down to:

Indy-7 (I feel this is very safe the way Indy and Manning have been playing)

Chi-7 (I feel this is pretty safe the way Clev has been playing. Chicago should win by double digits)

NO-4 (This one scares me a bit because its a div game, but it screams NO and they should run wild on MNF)

Minn +10 (This one should be a very close game, but I can just feel a bad forced Favre turnover at the end puts GB to win by 13-14)

Leaning Indy and either Chi/NO

 

[Dragon1952]

I think Chicago and New Orleans are the best bets. Cleveland has only scored 4 offensive TD's in their last 13 games, and they have been out-scored by 13 pts or more in 9 of those games. Chicago destroyed the last bad team they faced at home (Chi 48 - Det 24). Cleveland is #32 in total defense (#24 against the pass/#31 against the run).

New Orleans has won every game by double-digits this year. And Atlanta is just 1-2 on the road, with both losses by 16 pts. The Falcons are also not a good defensive team (#23 vs the run/#26 vs the pass), and facing the #1 team in total offense.