Thanksgiving Lines (1 Viewer)

[Shaun]

Here's the lines I'm looking at:

Green Bay at Detroit (+11)

Calvin Johnson not likely to play, I think Green Bay takes this line 80% of the time.

My prediction - Green Bay 27, Detroit 14.

Oakland at Dallas (-14)

So far the only teams to keep it close against the Cowboys in the new billionaire-complex are division rivals.

Margins of victiory against the other opponents at home; +14, +16, and +21. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.

My prediction - Oakland 12, Dallas 28.

NY Giants at Denver (+6.5)

Both teams are vying for a wild-card slot and this is in prime-time. The only difference is this is in Denver.

Expect this to be a close, hard-fought battle as both defenses will push hard in the trenches.

With that said, take the points with the home-team, and hope for a good game.

My prediction - New York 17, Denver 13

 

[Little Lord Humpleroy]

Hmmm, I'm thinking 3 team teaser.

GB @ DET. I like GB giving 11. Since the Tampa debacle the GB D has been pretty stout. If Detroit can give up 3 1st quarter TD's to Cleveland God knows what will happen here.

Final score prediction, GB 38, Det 3 I'll take GB laying 11 + 9 from the teaser = -2

OAKLAND @ DALLAS. I like Oakland here with the points. Dallas has scored 7 points the last 2 games. Somethings wrong there. They'll certainly lay more than 7 down on Oakland but it's doubtful they'll beat the ridiculous 14 point spread. Now that Romo, Barber, and Witten are all banged up there isn't alot of hope for instant improvement. If Oakland can give Cincy a run for it's money they can certainly do it against Dallas.

Final score prediction Dallas 27 Oakland 17. I'll take Oakland +14 +9 from the 3 team teaser = +23.

NYG @ DENVER. Denver plus 6.5 at home versus a struggling Giants team. Really?

Final score prediction DEN 24, NYG 21. I'll take Denver +6.5 + 9 from the teaser = + 15.5

Funny how the teasers rarely work out, still it looks like easy money and I'll risk $50 just to keep Thanksgiving interesting.

 

[Bankerguy]

Take Oakland and the points. Our offense is not clicking and Witten will be out. Dallas wins, but doesn't cover.

 

[Tanner9919]

Hmmm, I'm thinking 3 team teaser.

GB @ DET. I like GB giving 11. Since the Tampa debacle the GB D has been pretty stout. If Detroit can give up 3 1st quarter TD's to Cleveland God knows what will happen here.

Final score prediction, GB 38, Det 3 I'll take GB laying 11 + 9 from the teaser = -2

OAKLAND @ DALLAS. I like Oakland here with the points. Dallas has scored 7 points the last 2 games. Somethings wrong there. They'll certainly lay more than 7 down on Oakland but it's doubtful they'll beat the ridiculous 14 point spread. Now that Romo, Barber, and Witten are all banged up there isn't alot of hope for instant improvement. If Oakland can give Cincy a run for it's money they can certainly do it against Dallas.

Final score prediction Dallas 27 Oakland 17. I'll take Oakland +14 +9 from the 3 team teaser = +23.

NYG @ DENVER. Denver plus 6.5 at home versus a struggling Giants team. Really?

Final score prediction DEN 24, NYG 21. I'll take Denver +6.5 + 9 from the teaser = + 15.5

Funny how the teasers rarely work out, still it looks like easy money and I'll risk $50 just to keep Thanksgiving interesting.

Denver is struggling more than the Giants are, that's for sure..Broncos' defense , after the hot start to the season, is now just an also-ran unit. Their offense is putrid.esp with Simms at QB

 

[Titus Pullo]

i'm thinking about teasing these too. gb, oak and

 

[Little Lord Humpleroy]

Hmmm, I'm thinking 3 team teaser.

GB @ DET. I like GB giving 11. Since the Tampa debacle the GB D has been pretty stout. If Detroit can give up 3 1st quarter TD's to Cleveland God knows what will happen here.

Final score prediction, GB 38, Det 3 I'll take GB laying 11 + 9 from the teaser = -2

OAKLAND @ DALLAS. I like Oakland here with the points. Dallas has scored 7 points the last 2 games. Somethings wrong there. They'll certainly lay more than 7 down on Oakland but it's doubtful they'll beat the ridiculous 14 point spread. Now that Romo, Barber, and Witten are all banged up there isn't alot of hope for instant improvement. If Oakland can give Cincy a run for it's money they can certainly do it against Dallas.

Final score prediction Dallas 27 Oakland 17. I'll take Oakland +14 +9 from the 3 team teaser = +23.

NYG @ DENVER. Denver plus 6.5 at home versus a struggling Giants team. Really?

Final score prediction DEN 24, NYG 21. I'll take Denver +6.5 + 9 from the teaser = + 15.5

Funny how the teasers rarely work out, still it looks like easy money and I'll risk $50 just to keep Thanksgiving interesting.

Denver is struggling more than the Giants are, that's for sure..Broncos' defense , after the hot start to the season, is now just an also-ran unit. Their offense is putrid.esp with Simms at QB

The matchup is certainly the weak link in the chain for sure. I signed up with a new sportsbook and they offer 10 points on 3 team teasers. The options with the ten points added in would be the following.Detroit +21 or GB -1

Dallas -3.5 or Oakland +23.5

NYG +3 or Denver +17

I'd much prefer Denver +17. Orton is playing and the Gmen have to travel across the country with 4 days between games. Not a sure thing by any means but 17 is a hell of a lot of points for a home team.

 

[Manster]

i like GB at -11 GB is playing good. Det. is beat up, and it's Det.

Oak +14 i see the Cowboys winning a tough game. Oak. just beat Cincy, and has nothing to lose.

Den +6.5 Den. at home getting point against a struggling G-men. i like

cant remember the Ov/Un's right now, but i think it's 40 in the Dallas game. i like the under there. might look at the under in the Den/G-men game as well.

 

[big0mar]

Keep in mind that home teams have a ridiculous ATS record on Thursday games...

 

[Abraham]

GB, Dallas, Den. As much as I think the Raiders might actually keep it close, the "Thursday at home" thing is too much to shake.

 

[CletiusMaximus]

Hmmm, I'm thinking 3 team teaser.GB @ DET. I like GB giving 11. Since the Tampa debacle the GB D has been pretty stout. If Detroit can give up 3 1st quarter TD's to Cleveland God knows what will happen here. Final score prediction, GB 38, Det 3 I'll take GB laying 11 + 9 from the teaser = -2OAKLAND @ DALLAS. I like Oakland here with the points. Dallas has scored 7 points the last 2 games. Somethings wrong there. They'll certainly lay more than 7 down on Oakland but it's doubtful they'll beat the ridiculous 14 point spread. Now that Romo, Barber, and Witten are all banged up there isn't alot of hope for instant improvement. If Oakland can give Cincy a run for it's money they can certainly do it against Dallas. Final score prediction Dallas 27 Oakland 17. I'll take Oakland +14 +9 from the 3 team teaser = +23.NYG @ DENVER. Denver plus 6.5 at home versus a struggling Giants team. Really? Final score prediction DEN 24, NYG 21. I'll take Denver +6.5 + 9 from the teaser = + 15.5Funny how the teasers rarely work out, still it looks like easy money and I'll risk $50 just to keep Thanksgiving interesting.

With these predictions, why do a 9 point teaser? It would seem better to do a 6 pointer and, in the case of Denver, just betting the ML.

 

[Mik789fl]

If both teams played at home last week, the home underdog is 2-9 ATS and 9-2 OVER. (Detroit and Denver)

If both teams played at home last week, the home favorite is 10-4-1 ATS. (Dallas)

If both teams were favorites in last contest, the home team 7-12-2 ATS (Detroit)

If the home team was favored last week and the visitor was an underdog, the home team is 11-0 ATS. (Dallas)

If the home team was an underdog in last game and the visiting team was a favorite, the home club is 1-8 ATS and 5-1 UNDER. (Denver)

If the home town team is off a SU loss and the visitor is off a SU win, the road team is 7-1 ATS and 8-3 UNDER. (New York Giants)

If the road team is off two wins, they are 10-3 ATS. (Green Bay)

Road teams that were underdogs last week are 5-22 ATS. (Oakland)

Home favorites of seven or more 7-1 UNDER. (Dallas)

Home teams that were favored by six or more points in last contest are 12-3-1 ATS. (Dallas)

Home teams of a SU win are 9-4-1 ATS and 22-13-1 OVER (Detroit and Dallas)

Home teams off a SU loss are 4-8 ATS. (Denver)

Home teams after scoring 28 or more points are 8-1 ATS and 12-4-1 OVER. (Detroit)

In the last six years, home favorites are 18-8-1 ATS, including 8-1 ATS if favored by a touchdown or more. (Dallas)

Away favorites are 9-0 ATS since 2004. (Green Bay and New York Giants)

The last one aeems the most appealing

 

[Magnum]

Hmmm, I'm thinking 3 team teaser.

GB @ DET. I like GB giving 11. Since the Tampa debacle the GB D has been pretty stout. If Detroit can give up 3 1st quarter TD's to Cleveland God knows what will happen here.

Final score prediction, GB 38, Det 3 I'll take GB laying 11 + 9 from the teaser = -2

OAKLAND @ DALLAS. I like Oakland here with the points. Dallas has scored 7 points the last 2 games. Somethings wrong there. They'll certainly lay more than 7 down on Oakland but it's doubtful they'll beat the ridiculous 14 point spread. Now that Romo, Barber, and Witten are all banged up there isn't alot of hope for instant improvement. If Oakland can give Cincy a run for it's money they can certainly do it against Dallas.

Final score prediction Dallas 27 Oakland 17. I'll take Oakland +14 +9 from the 3 team teaser = +23.

NYG @ DENVER. Denver plus 6.5 at home versus a struggling Giants team. Really?

Final score prediction DEN 24, NYG 21. I'll take Denver +6.5 + 9 from the teaser = + 15.5

Funny how the teasers rarely work out, still it looks like easy money and I'll risk $50 just to keep Thanksgiving interesting.

Denver is struggling more than the Giants are, that's for sure..Broncos' defense , after the hot start to the season, is now just an also-ran unit. Their offense is putrid.esp with Simms at QB

The matchup is certainly the weak link in the chain for sure. I signed up with a new sportsbook and they offer 10 points on 3 team teasers. The options with the ten points added in would be the following.Detroit +21 or GB -1

Dallas -3.5 or Oakland +23.5

NYG +3 or Denver +17

I'd much prefer Denver +17. Orton is playing and the Gmen have to travel across the country with 4 days between games. Not a sure thing by any means but 17 is a hell of a lot of points for a home team.

Keep in mind that on 10 point "Sweetheart" teasers............ties lose (at all the joints I'm familiar with). So, teasing up to a key number like 17 is actually +16.

 

[Little Lord Humpleroy]

Hmmm, I'm thinking 3 team teaser.

GB @ DET. I like GB giving 11. Since the Tampa debacle the GB D has been pretty stout. If Detroit can give up 3 1st quarter TD's to Cleveland God knows what will happen here.

Final score prediction, GB 38, Det 3 I'll take GB laying 11 + 9 from the teaser = -2

OAKLAND @ DALLAS. I like Oakland here with the points. Dallas has scored 7 points the last 2 games. Somethings wrong there. They'll certainly lay more than 7 down on Oakland but it's doubtful they'll beat the ridiculous 14 point spread. Now that Romo, Barber, and Witten are all banged up there isn't alot of hope for instant improvement. If Oakland can give Cincy a run for it's money they can certainly do it against Dallas.

Final score prediction Dallas 27 Oakland 17. I'll take Oakland +14 +9 from the 3 team teaser = +23.

NYG @ DENVER. Denver plus 6.5 at home versus a struggling Giants team. Really?

Final score prediction DEN 24, NYG 21. I'll take Denver +6.5 + 9 from the teaser = + 15.5

Funny how the teasers rarely work out, still it looks like easy money and I'll risk $50 just to keep Thanksgiving interesting.

Denver is struggling more than the Giants are, that's for sure..Broncos' defense , after the hot start to the season, is now just an also-ran unit. Their offense is putrid.esp with Simms at QB

The matchup is certainly the weak link in the chain for sure. I signed up with a new sportsbook and they offer 10 points on 3 team teasers. The options with the ten points added in would be the following.Detroit +21 or GB -1

Dallas -3.5 or Oakland +23.5

NYG +3 or Denver +17

I'd much prefer Denver +17. Orton is playing and the Gmen have to travel across the country with 4 days between games. Not a sure thing by any means but 17 is a hell of a lot of points for a home team.

Keep in mind that on 10 point "Sweetheart" teasers............ties lose (at all the joints I'm familiar with). So, teasing up to a key number like 17 is actually +16.

I checked that. If one of the teams push, the bet reverts to a 2 team teaser. Not bad, better than an outright loss.

 

[Titus Pullo]

my 7 pt teaser

Green Bay -4.00 - even with calvin and stafford playing gb should be able to win by a td.

Green Bay at Detroit (Over/Under )Under +54.50 - packers like to go conservative and lose big leads after halftime. also thinking det o will struggle.

Dallas -6.5 - dallas at home on t-day and all they need to do is win by a td.

Oakland at Dallas (Over/Under )Over +32.50 - i just hope oak can score a few times in case dallas o can't get it together.

Denver +13.00 - denver's players meeting sparks the team.

New York Giants at Denver (Over/Under )Under +49.00 - hard fought game in the trenches. denver d makes up for last week's poor performance.

 

[Magnum]

Hmmm, I'm thinking 3 team teaser.

GB @ DET. I like GB giving 11. Since the Tampa debacle the GB D has been pretty stout. If Detroit can give up 3 1st quarter TD's to Cleveland God knows what will happen here.

Final score prediction, GB 38, Det 3 I'll take GB laying 11 + 9 from the teaser = -2

OAKLAND @ DALLAS. I like Oakland here with the points. Dallas has scored 7 points the last 2 games. Somethings wrong there. They'll certainly lay more than 7 down on Oakland but it's doubtful they'll beat the ridiculous 14 point spread. Now that Romo, Barber, and Witten are all banged up there isn't alot of hope for instant improvement. If Oakland can give Cincy a run for it's money they can certainly do it against Dallas.

Final score prediction Dallas 27 Oakland 17. I'll take Oakland +14 +9 from the 3 team teaser = +23.

NYG @ DENVER. Denver plus 6.5 at home versus a struggling Giants team. Really?

Final score prediction DEN 24, NYG 21. I'll take Denver +6.5 + 9 from the teaser = + 15.5

Funny how the teasers rarely work out, still it looks like easy money and I'll risk $50 just to keep Thanksgiving interesting.

Denver is struggling more than the Giants are, that's for sure..Broncos' defense , after the hot start to the season, is now just an also-ran unit. Their offense is putrid.esp with Simms at QB

The matchup is certainly the weak link in the chain for sure. I signed up with a new sportsbook and they offer 10 points on 3 team teasers. The options with the ten points added in would be the following.Detroit +21 or GB -1

Dallas -3.5 or Oakland +23.5

NYG +3 or Denver +17

I'd much prefer Denver +17. Orton is playing and the Gmen have to travel across the country with 4 days between games. Not a sure thing by any means but 17 is a hell of a lot of points for a home team.

Keep in mind that on 10 point "Sweetheart" teasers............ties lose (at all the joints I'm familiar with). So, teasing up to a key number like 17 is actually +16.

I checked that. If one of the teams push, the bet reverts to a 2 team teaser. Not bad, better than an outright loss.

I know that's standard for 6 point teasers, but I've never seen that on a 10 point teaser. What website are you playing through?

 

[Little Lord Humpleroy]

Sportsbook.com. They gave me a 50% signup bonus and they accept credit card deposits. They seem like a legit outfit but I don't want to recommend them until I actually withdraw money.

 

[renesauz]

I say all three games wind up close. Dallas is struggling on O and is giving up too many points for a struggling offense.

Detroit has shown signs of life and should play well at home against a divisional rival on a national stage. Denver is struggling a bit, but they're also at home against a team who's secondary is having trouble.

I like the Boys and Packers to win, but not cover. I like the Broncos to win outright by a slim margin.

 

[Raider Nation]

Green Bay 21

Detroit 24

Oakland 6

Dallas 45

NY Giants 23

Denver 20

 

[awesomeness]

Oakland is coming off a big win in Oakland against a top team, now they got a short week to fly half way across the country against another team that is superiorly talented.

Dallas has dominated their last 3 thanksgiving games, with an average margin of victory of 28 points.

I like Dallas -13.5.

Also like Denver +6.5 and Green Bay -11.

 

[TC]

11881605-1 11/25/2009 12:02 PM Spread 55.00 50.00

Football - 103 Green Bay Packers -11½ -110 for Game

11881610-1 11/25/2009 12:03 PM Parlay 25.00 153.97

Football - 103 Green Bay Packers -11½ -110 for Game

Football - 106 Dallas Cowboys -13½ -110 for Game

Football - 107 New York Giants/Denver Broncos under 42 -105 for Game

 

[TC]

pay me, please.

 

[Little Lord Humpleroy]

Nice payoff with the parlay.

 

[BRONG]

I say all three games wind up close.

 

[Sinrman]

All three were blowouts... wow...

 

[Shaun]

Here's the lines I'm looking at:

Green Bay at Detroit (+11)

Calvin Johnson not likely to play, I think Green Bay takes this line 80% of the time.

My prediction - Green Bay 27, Detroit 14.

Oakland at Dallas (-14)

So far the only teams to keep it close against the Cowboys in the new billionaire-complex are division rivals.

Margins of victiory against the other opponents at home; +14, +16, and +21. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.

My prediction - Oakland 12, Dallas 28.

NY Giants at Denver (+6.5)

Both teams are vying for a wild-card slot and this is in prime-time. The only difference is this is in Denver.

Expect this to be a close, hard-fought battle as both defenses will push hard in the trenches.

With that said, take the points with the home-team, and hope for a good game.

My prediction - New York 17, Denver 13

Not too shabby...