The Best High Risk / High Reward guys (1 Viewer)

[CBower4545]

I was wondering what an All High risk/reward team might look like for a redraft. First I want to complie a list then look at ADP to put something together

My list so far includes:

D. McNabb - top scoring QB when healthy

K. Jones - put together a decent season last season then got injured

Benson - finally has the bears job

Chambers?? - not sure how high the reward is here but I think he belongs

Glenn & Galloway - Old but recently productive

Calvin Johnson - Rookie with worlds of potential

R. Moss - belongs here

D. Stallworth - injury prone talented

M. jones

Kitna ???

Caddy

D. Williams

Alexander - foot still a question?

LJ Smith

 

[BigSteelThrill]

Atop that list next to McNabb has to be MJDrew.

 

[mad sweeney]

M Jones seems to have way too high a risk for moderate rewards

Alexander's foot is fine

Kitna's risk isn't that high

 

[SSOG]

Vince Young is a pretty high risk, high reward player, and Culpepper is probably the poster child for risk/reward.

 

[BigRed]

I was wondering what an All High risk/reward team might look like for a redraft. First I want to complie a list then look at ADP to put something togetherMy list so far includes. McNabb - top scoring QB when healthyK. Jones - put together a decent season last season then got injuredBenson - finally has the bears jobChambers?? - not sure how high the reward is here but I think he belongsGlenn & Galloway - Old but recently productiveCalvin Johnson - Rookie with worlds of potentialR. Moss - belongs hereD. Stallworth - injury prone talentedM. jones Kitna ???CaddyD. WilliamsAlexander - foot still a question?LJ Smith

Of those Alexander is by far the biggest risk/reward IMO, maybe Benson, and McNabb and to a lesser extent.....the rest aren't because they aren't high risk, ie most can be had relatively cheap.I would add LJ (lot of carries last year, various offense ? marks) and Westbrook somewhat (tends to get nicked up).

 

[the spanker]

I was wondering what an All High risk/reward team might look like for a redraft. First I want to complie a list then look at ADP to put something togetherMy list so far includes. McNabb - top scoring QB when healthyK. Jones - put together a decent season last season then got injuredBenson - finally has the bears jobChambers?? - not sure how high the reward is here but I think he belongsGlenn & Galloway - Old but recently productiveCalvin Johnson - Rookie with worlds of potentialR. Moss - belongs hereD. Stallworth - injury prone talentedM. jones Kitna ???CaddyD. WilliamsAlexander - foot still a question?LJ Smith

Of those Alexander is by far the biggest risk/reward IMO, maybe Benson, and McNabb and to a lesser extent.....the rest aren't because they aren't high risk, ie most can be had relatively cheap.I would add LJ (lot of carries last year, various offense ? marks) and Westbrook somewhat (tends to get nicked up).

Im my redraft mocks so far, R.Moss isn't going cheap, he's being taken in the 3rd/4th rounds. I think he qualifies then as a high risk/high reward player then.Don't you agree?

 

[BigRed]

Im my redraft mocks so far, R.Moss isn't going cheap, he's being taken in the 3rd/4th rounds. I think he qualifies then as a high risk/high reward player then.Don't you agree?

Yeah, I guess....might be able to put Caddy in that ballpark too. Not sure where "high risk" line is drawn - and as the draft goes on, IMO it makes more sense to go w/those kind of guys anyway, generally.

 

[SSOG]

Im my redraft mocks so far, R.Moss isn't going cheap, he's being taken in the 3rd/4th rounds. I think he qualifies then as a high risk/high reward player then.Don't you agree?

Yeah, I guess....might be able to put Caddy in that ballpark too. Not sure where "high risk" line is drawn - and as the draft goes on, IMO it makes more sense to go w/those kind of guys anyway, generally.

I wasn't even considering draft position when discussing risk/reward, I was mainly focusing on who has the largest variance between their ceiling and their floor.

 

[Sleeper 43]

Vernon Davis

Brandon Jacobs

Vincent Jackson

 

[SSOG]

Vernon Davis Brandon Jacobs Vincent Jackson

I don't see much reward from Vincent Jackson. He might have a good season, but I don't think he has great upside with "Passing is for Pansies" Turner in town, and Gates/Tomlinson remaining option 1a and 1b in the passing game.

 

[Sleeper 43]

Vernon Davis Brandon Jacobs Vincent Jackson

I don't see much reward from Vincent Jackson. He might have a good season, but I don't think he has great upside with "Passing is for Pansies" Turner in town, and Gates/Tomlinson remaining option 1a and 1b in the passing game.

Who knows for sure. I understand Gates is established and Turner likes to run. that being said...Martyball wasnt exactly pass friendly and the WR's SD has had in the past few years are less than stellar. If Jackson (going into his 3rd season) can show his talent I think the targets will follow. Nice redzone target size as well. I'm not one for second half of season stats but those looked promising as well.

 

[Bears_Man2]

I don't think guys like Glenn/Galloway are high risk.....they will always fall.

I think Benson's enemy #1 on this list this year in fantasy football. He never earned the #1 job and has been consistently dinged....in limited time.

I think Porter & Ronald Curry are decent rewards. They might not help you much in the playoffs (though who really knows how Russell will perform).....but I think if McCown's starting, they'll be very cheap #3 WR options. McCown isn't a great QB, but he can make enough mistakes that the Raiders will always be behind late and throwing...

 

[trader jake]

QB: Mike Vick - Easy pick for quarterbacks. Could be top 5 but how many owners think he won't get suspended?

RB: Laurence Maroney - Is he even healthy? If he is and produces full-time like he did last year part-time he'll put up nice numbers in NE.

WR: Terrell Owens - Maybe he didn't "learn" anything from Parcells but he did manage to stay on the field for 16 games.

TE: Kellen Winslow - He could challenge for the #2 spot behind Gates or end up on the waiver wire if soem offseason injury concerns go bad.

 

[CBower4545]

So far if I drafted all High Risk / High Reward guys this is what a team might look like:

QB1 McNabb

RB1 SA

RB2 Benson

RB3 Caddy

WR1 R. Moss

WR2 C Johnson

WR3 D. Stallworth

WR4 V Jackson

WR5 J. Porter

TE1 V. Davis

Rd1::12:ADP:5 SA other options Westbrook, Maroney

Rd2::24:ADP:20 Benson other options T.O.

Rd3::36:ADP:31 Caddy other options D. Williams

Rd4::48:ADP:42 R. Moss other options K. Jones

Rd5::60:ADP:56 McNabb

Rd6::72:ADP:68 C. Johnson

Rd7::84:ADP:87 D. Stallworth other options Vick, winslow

Rd8::96:ADP:92 V. Davis

Rd9::108:ADP:99 V Jackson

Rd10::120:ADP:126 J. porter

any thoughts on how to construct this High Risk / High Reward team? I am more concerned with finding players at each round that you could consider to have a very low floor and a very high ceiling. I am just wondering if you bet on the biggest pontential guys regardless of the negatives in each round what would the team result in.

 

[CBower4545]

Trader jake:

Vick and T.O. have got to be on this list thanks!

I like winslow as well

 

[KellysHeroes]

KJ is a big one... the guy can be ding all yr or he can make a major comeback

 

[Byron_nyc]

Tatum Bell...

... has to be on this list.

 

[GreatAmericanFF]

Depending on when your draft is, Chris Brown, RB TEN could go on this list. In my own personal case, Im playing a league that starts its draft this Saturday and at that time we probably won't know Chris Brown's status so he definitely would quality as a high risk (doesn't get signed) or high reward (starting RB for Tennesse)

 

[Lash]

i dont think CJ2 should be on a high risk high reward team

dont think he's high risk at all

dont think the reward will be very high

he will not perform to his ADP, but he wont be risky either

#1 player on this list is Kevin Jones with the reward being greater in PPR

 

[EBF]

Here are some players who have a chance to surprise:

Matt Schaub - First year starters are generally a bad gamble, but he's been in the league for a while. You never know.

Trent Green - Has a lot of weapons to work with.

Thomas Jones - Underrated player who now has the best supporting cast of his career. Top 10 is not out of the question.

Travis Henry - Good player in a good system. Cutler is still a bit of an unknown, but Henry should produce his best season in years.

Marshawn Lynch - Should start from day one and get lots of work. Weak supporting cast might limit his upside though.

Adrian Peterson - Should quickly bump Chester aside. Could easily outproduce his ranking, but the Vikings have no proven players at WR or QB.

Jerious Norwood - Looks more like a RBBC type than a starter to me, but he has enough talent to surprise. It's not like Warrick Dunn is LT.

LenDale White - The Titans are a train wreck, IMO, but White can be had for dirt cheap right now. I doubt this team produces a good FF RB next year, but Henry was useful last season.

Chris Brown - Once upon a time he was pretty good. He should sign somewhere eventually.

Bernard Berrian - Maybe the best WR on the Bears. Reminds me a bit of Darrell Jackson and Chad Johnson. Could be an 1,100 yard guy next year if he gets some targets.

Kevin Curtis - Good player who finally has a chance to start. A good WR4 for FF purposes. Could conceivably be the WR1 in Philly.

Santonio Holmes - Had over 500 receiving yards in his last eight games. Solid depth who could emerge as a starter for you.

Reggie Williams - My pick to be the WR1 in Jacksonville. Outside chance at 1,000 yards.

Visanthe Shiancoe - Someone has to catch passes in Minnesota, right?

Ben Troupe - Sadly, he might be the best receiver on the team.

 

[ImTheScientist]

Here are some players who have a chance to surprise:

Matt Schaub - First year starters are generally a bad gamble, but he's been in the league for a while. You never know.

Trent Green - Has a lot of weapons to work with.

Thomas Jones - Underrated player who now has the best supporting cast of his career. Top 10 is not out of the question.

Travis Henry - Good player in a good system. Cutler is still a bit of an unknown, but Henry should produce his best season in years.

Marshawn Lynch - Should start from day one and get lots of work. Weak supporting cast might limit his upside though.

Adrian Peterson - Should quickly bump Chester aside. Could easily outproduce his ranking, but the Vikings have no proven players at WR or QB.

Jerious Norwood - Looks more like a RBBC type than a starter to me, but he has enough talent to surprise. It's not like Warrick Dunn is LT.

LenDale White - The Titans are a train wreck, IMO, but White can be had for dirt cheap right now. I doubt this team produces a good FF RB next year, but Henry was useful last season.

Chris Brown - Once upon a time he was pretty good. He should sign somewhere eventually.

Bernard Berrian - Maybe the best WR on the Bears. Reminds me a bit of Darrell Jackson and Chad Johnson. Could be an 1,100 yard guy next year if he gets some targets.

Kevin Curtis - Good player who finally has a chance to start. A good WR4 for FF purposes. Could conceivably be the WR1 in Philly.

Santonio Holmes - Had over 500 receiving yards in his last eight games. Solid depth who could emerge as a starter for you.

Reggie Williams - My pick to be the WR1 in Jacksonville. Outside chance at 1,000 yards.

Visanthe Shiancoe - Someone has to catch passes in Minnesota, right?

Ben Troupe - Sadly, he might be the best receiver on the team.

The 2007 Jets will be better than the 2006 Bears??

 

[BigRed]

I wasn't even considering draft position when discussing risk/reward, I was mainly focusing on who has the largest variance between their ceiling and their floor.

OK, then I'd say LJ and SA top the list - and the orig list given was a good one, minus 1 or 2 (eg Kitna) and incl Kv Jones.

I don't think guys like Glenn/Galloway are high risk.....they will always fall.

? They aren't exactly the most predictable/consistent WRs around, but the last couple years at least they were solid. I would probably avoid them due to age, but then I thought that the last couple of years and missed out on 2 good value WRs.

 

[EBF]

Here are some players who have a chance to surprise:

Matt Schaub - First year starters are generally a bad gamble, but he's been in the league for a while. You never know.

Trent Green - Has a lot of weapons to work with.

Thomas Jones - Underrated player who now has the best supporting cast of his career. Top 10 is not out of the question.

Travis Henry - Good player in a good system. Cutler is still a bit of an unknown, but Henry should produce his best season in years.

Marshawn Lynch - Should start from day one and get lots of work. Weak supporting cast might limit his upside though.

Adrian Peterson - Should quickly bump Chester aside. Could easily outproduce his ranking, but the Vikings have no proven players at WR or QB.

Jerious Norwood - Looks more like a RBBC type than a starter to me, but he has enough talent to surprise. It's not like Warrick Dunn is LT.

LenDale White - The Titans are a train wreck, IMO, but White can be had for dirt cheap right now. I doubt this team produces a good FF RB next year, but Henry was useful last season.

Chris Brown - Once upon a time he was pretty good. He should sign somewhere eventually.

Bernard Berrian - Maybe the best WR on the Bears. Reminds me a bit of Darrell Jackson and Chad Johnson. Could be an 1,100 yard guy next year if he gets some targets.

Kevin Curtis - Good player who finally has a chance to start. A good WR4 for FF purposes. Could conceivably be the WR1 in Philly.

Santonio Holmes - Had over 500 receiving yards in his last eight games. Solid depth who could emerge as a starter for you.

Reggie Williams - My pick to be the WR1 in Jacksonville. Outside chance at 1,000 yards.

Visanthe Shiancoe - Someone has to catch passes in Minnesota, right?

Ben Troupe - Sadly, he might be the best receiver on the team.

The 2007 Jets will be better than the 2006 Bears??

On offense? Yes. Better QB. Better WRs. Better OL.

 

[LHUCKS]

Pretty much everybody on the Raiders.

 

[bcr8f]

In PPR Westbrook. That knee is risk in itself but he didn't miss time last year.