Avery
Footballguy
Practically every time a player has a big game, someone posts about “selling high” on this player tapping into a practically instinctive response by some fantasy footballers to “Sell high! Sell high!” when a player has a breakout performance. This response is potential roadblock to success.
The reason you draft or trade for a player is with the thought/hope that his production will be high and for an extended period of time. We generally don’t go after players in the draft or via trade that we think will suck. So if a player starts performing well, or rather begins to perform up to your personal expectations, why would you immediately go to sell that player? For example, I had high hopes for Kevin Jones this year although I expected a slow start with his tough first few weeks and new offensive system. Once he began to perform up to my expectations why would I “sell” on him to get another player who is performing similarly?
If a player emerges leaving your team heavy at one position, a trade can make sense to bring balance to your team, but assuming that a player performing well will net a similarly performing player at the same position, the response to sell because he is playing well does not appear to be direct path to success. In fact in many ways it seems that to sell a playing who is playing well would be directly adverse to success.
The difficulty here is spotting “trend” versus “anomaly” in the performance. We can try to predict, but given our inability to forecast the future, we really don’t know. I do know that by trading for some of these high performing players, I have had success. Last year I traded for Gates who lead my team to great success. Image the fantasy roster you could have by adding guys like Colston, Chester Taylor, Kevin Jones and Marc Bulger when their owners wanted to “sell high” on them this year.
Not to say there aren’t a number of examples of players who should have been traded away with a strong anomaly performance that did not culminate in a trend, but I’m simply proffering some thought on using your leaguemates possibly impulsive and habitual response to “Sell high! Sell high!” I think that often we can try to be to smart for our own good and sell a player at what we deem as peak value when he is simply finally performing as we hoped he would and instead of “selling high”, just sit back and enjoy the ride!
The reason you draft or trade for a player is with the thought/hope that his production will be high and for an extended period of time. We generally don’t go after players in the draft or via trade that we think will suck. So if a player starts performing well, or rather begins to perform up to your personal expectations, why would you immediately go to sell that player? For example, I had high hopes for Kevin Jones this year although I expected a slow start with his tough first few weeks and new offensive system. Once he began to perform up to my expectations why would I “sell” on him to get another player who is performing similarly?
If a player emerges leaving your team heavy at one position, a trade can make sense to bring balance to your team, but assuming that a player performing well will net a similarly performing player at the same position, the response to sell because he is playing well does not appear to be direct path to success. In fact in many ways it seems that to sell a playing who is playing well would be directly adverse to success.
The difficulty here is spotting “trend” versus “anomaly” in the performance. We can try to predict, but given our inability to forecast the future, we really don’t know. I do know that by trading for some of these high performing players, I have had success. Last year I traded for Gates who lead my team to great success. Image the fantasy roster you could have by adding guys like Colston, Chester Taylor, Kevin Jones and Marc Bulger when their owners wanted to “sell high” on them this year.
Not to say there aren’t a number of examples of players who should have been traded away with a strong anomaly performance that did not culminate in a trend, but I’m simply proffering some thought on using your leaguemates possibly impulsive and habitual response to “Sell high! Sell high!” I think that often we can try to be to smart for our own good and sell a player at what we deem as peak value when he is simply finally performing as we hoped he would and instead of “selling high”, just sit back and enjoy the ride!
