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The Good and Bad of the 1st Overall Pick... (1 Viewer)

pizzatyme

Footballguy
Every year there is discussion of the "ideal" draft slot. Obviously, if someone jumps up like LT did last season, then the 1st pick is ideal.

However, I think there are some things about this slot to consider.

Firstly, if you get this slot, you have immense pressure to not mess it up, both from your league mates as well as yourself. Since this slot gives you a leg up on the competition, if you don't make the championship game or worse, don't make the playoffs, you are in for a year or more of ridicule.

Second, the larger the league, the more bored I get between picks. It is a long time coming back to you. Many will say they'd take the boredom this year to get LT, but I'm not so sure.

Third, I don't think you get to capitalize enough on other people’s errors during the draft. How many times have you seen someone drop who represents great value only to know there is some savvy owner that will scoop then up before it ever gets back to you.

Obviously, having your stud RB out of the way in the first round, you can let the rest of the draft come to you, but I think you have to be more precise the balance of the draft than someone picking from the 1.06-1.08 range. They are getting the chance to capitalize on the mistakes of others up and down the serpentine.

Finally, I think having the 1st or 2nd pick puts a major target on your back as others will try to snipe you along the way. A good example of this is the discussion that keeps growing about defensive draft strategies to keep the person with the top pick from getting the best WRs or QB at the 2/3 turn.

These are just some thoughts that come to mind as I prepare for an “experts” draft this week where I have the 1st overall pick.

With all of that said, I’m taking LT!

Share your thoughts?

This is posted on my site along with other sites as well .

 
I love picking out of the 1 slot - obviously, you get LT, so you're a leg up on everyone from the start. In addition, you're at least mathematically a leg up on everyone value-wise at the start of every odd-numbered round, and with the back-to-back picks, you don't have to worry about adjusting your picking around who the owners ahead and behind you might be targeting. You just grab the best two guys off your board each and every turn.

 
I did a mock this morning @ the 1 spot and wasn't crazy about the rb's left. Benson got swiped the pick before me and I grabbed Edge/S. Smith with the 2/3.

 
I did a mock this morning @ the 1 spot and wasn't crazy about the rb's left. Benson got swiped the pick before me and I grabbed Edge/S. Smith with the 2/3.
So you came out of it with the consensus RB1 and WR1 (per FBG forecast). Sounds great to me. I'll go to war with Tomlinson/James over Rudi/Maroney or Bush/Portis 10 times out of 10.
 
Personally, I hate the first pick. I was awarded the first first pick in 1999. The obvious choice was 2000 yard Terrell Davis. I chose him and watched as his knee and my season blew apart. I would much rather draft 5-8 in any given year because the drop off in talent isn't so great. I feel comfortable in my preparation so that I will succeed in any draft spot.

 
I did a mock this morning @ the 1 spot and wasn't crazy about the rb's left. Benson got swiped the pick before me and I grabbed Edge/S. Smith with the 2/3.
I happen to like Edge this year. His SOS looks pretty good to me.
Agreed but the line not so much. Anxious to see how he does this year. I don't really have a strong opinion either way, he could stay the same or improve dramatically.
 
I did a mock this morning @ the 1 spot and wasn't crazy about the rb's left. Benson got swiped the pick before me and I grabbed Edge/S. Smith with the 2/3.
I happen to like Edge this year. His SOS looks pretty good to me.
Agreed but the line not so much. Anxious to see how he does this year. I don't really have a strong opinion either way, he could stay the same or improve dramatically.
I like his value to his current ADP. All is subject to change however with pre-season.
 
Personally, I hate the first pick. I was awarded the first first pick in 1999. The obvious choice was 2000 yard Terrell Davis. I chose him and watched as his knee and my season blew apart. I would much rather draft 5-8 in any given year because the drop off in talent isn't so great. I feel comfortable in my preparation so that I will succeed in any draft spot.
I kind of like picking back to back though, the wait between picks obviously sucks though.
 
I did a mock this morning @ the 1 spot and wasn't crazy about the rb's left. Benson got swiped the pick before me and I grabbed Edge/S. Smith with the 2/3.
I happen to like Edge this year. His SOS looks pretty good to me.
Agreed but the line not so much. Anxious to see how he does this year. I don't really have a strong opinion either way, he could stay the same or improve dramatically.
I like his value to his current ADP. All is subject to change however with pre-season.
I agree although I don't really see him rising up the ranks much though because it just seems that there are a lot of good backs ahead of him this year.
 
I did a mock this morning @ the 1 spot and wasn't crazy about the rb's left. Benson got swiped the pick before me and I grabbed Edge/S. Smith with the 2/3.
I happen to like Edge this year. His SOS looks pretty good to me.
Agreed but the line not so much. Anxious to see how he does this year. I don't really have a strong opinion either way, he could stay the same or improve dramatically.
I like his value to his current ADP. All is subject to change however with pre-season.
I agree although I don't really see him rising up the ranks much though because it just seems that there are a lot of good backs ahead of him this year.
Not so much about him rising rather injuries and a clearer picture of some of the RBBCs.
 
I do think you can win from anywhere in the draft. With that said, the only downside to picking first is the back-to-back picks each time. You have to wait so long between picks that you can't always get the value. Sometimes, you have to reach a little because you know the guy won't make it back to your next pick. If you were more towards the middle, you can sometimes wait and get a guy the next round.

 
Personally, I hate the first pick. I was awarded the first first pick in 1999. The obvious choice was 2000 yard Terrell Davis. I chose him and watched as his knee and my season blew apart. I would much rather draft 5-8 in any given year because the drop off in talent isn't so great. I feel comfortable in my preparation so that I will succeed in any draft spot.
I kind of like picking back to back though, the wait between picks obviously sucks though.
You get the same wait at the end of the 1st round, but you don't get the LT consolation prize.
 
Personally, I hate the first pick. I was awarded the first first pick in 1999. The obvious choice was 2000 yard Terrell Davis. I chose him and watched as his knee and my season blew apart. I would much rather draft 5-8 in any given year because the drop off in talent isn't so great. I feel comfortable in my preparation so that I will succeed in any draft spot.
I kind of like picking back to back though, the wait between picks obviously sucks though.
You get the same wait at the end of the 1st round, but you don't get the LT consolation prize.
good point!!
 

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