Jumping into a meeting so can't get into specifics, but I think you all are really missing my point.
Its near impossible to know what "facts" are "facts" or what political slant a post or a study or an opinion piece may have. How am I, some lay person who is not reading the root reports and vetting which study is legit, where it may be flawed etc.
So, with the lefty alarmists pushing their agenda, the righty deniers vehemently discounting science (this goes beyond just this issue, and I hope folks who are Conservative by nature realize this... between not teaching evolution and the discounting of science, that is a mark against much of the rhetoric on this issue, as well), how can I really get to the root of the matter?
To me, the money talks. Especially when an industry that typically leans right and has strong financial ties to the right makes repeated claims (that I've heard in person) to the contrary of the right in general.
That's a heck of a tie-breaker in my book of admittedly not being able to really know what's what on this subject.
I don't think I've missed your point at all. To paraphrase what I wrote before...You're suggesting that we "follow the money". To that end, you say (anecdotally) that you're seeing investments that are banking on climate change occurring, but not seeing investments that are banking on climate change not occurring. What would an investment that banks on climate change not occurring look like? If we're not sure what such an investment might look like, how can we say it's not happening, even anecdotally?
As for whether the "follow the money" strategy can lead us to the right answers to our questions, that's certainly possible. The problem here is that the questions are different for different groups of people.
As you note, people making these investments wouldn't particularly care WHY climate change is occurring, just whether or not it is. For them, the question is "Is climate change occurring and/or likely to occur?" Assuming that your anecdotal observations are accurate, we could conclude that it is more likely than not that yes, climate change is occurring and/or likely to occur.
For policymakers, there are a lot more separate questions than just "Is climate change occurring and/or likely to occur?" Policymakers should also be asking and answering questions such as: "What are the causes of climate change?", "Is climate change necessarily bad?", "What policies could we implement that might reduce future climate change?", and "What are the likely costs of those policies?"
IMO, "follow the money" as you've outlined it doesn't really answer any of those other questions in any useful way, and therefore doesn't lead us to any useful policy recommendations.