Andy Dufresne
Footballguy
Assuming no trades, which is a BAD assumption...
1. Oakland - Jamarcus Russell (QB - L.S.U.)
I'm still not sold on Russell being a #1 overall talent, but after letting Brooks go, Walters can't be the answer.
2. Detroit - Joe Thomas (OT - Wisconsin)
I highly doubt the Lions stay in this spot. But if they do, Thomas is the safest pick - which is probably paramount for this franchise.
3. Cleveland - Calvin Johnson (WR - Georgia Tech)
A surprise? Possibly. But he is the #1 BPA in the draft, both Edwards and Winslow are "mercurial" at best, and they can find a runner later in the draft.
4. Tampa Bay - Brady Quinn (QB - Notre Dame)
Another surprise? I don't think so. Gruden really doesn't seem to like Simms all that much and Gradowski isn't the answer.
5. Arizona - Adrian Peterson (RB - Oklahoma)
James is on the downside and they want to work him less. Given the league's trend to two rotating backs, this makes too much sense.
6. Washington - Alan Branch (DT - Michigan)
Their d-line is not good.
7. Minnesota - Amobi Okoye (DT - Louisville)
They have ZERO depth at the position. Fat Pat is fantastic, but also wears down and is entering his 10th year. A three DT rotation such as this would be
8. Houston - Jamaal Anderson (DE - Georgia)
Paired opposite Williams, "the plan" starts to make more sense.
9. Miami - Darrelle Revis (CB - Pitt)
Their d-backs only had 5 INT's total last year.
10. Atlanta - Gaines Adams (DE - Clemson)
Losing Kerney hurts but lining Adams up opposite Abraham would be NICE.
11. San Francisco - Adam Carriker (DE - Nebraska)
Stud.
12. Buffalo - Robert Meachem (WR - Tennessee)
Add a better #2 WR than the other Volunteer they currently have. Running that time at the combine shoots him up the charts.
13. St. Louis - Patrick Willis (LB - Ole Miss)
Other than Witherspoon, they have nothing at LB. Their d-line is miserable, but this is a better value.
14. Carolina - Laron Landry (SS - L.S.U.)
Lots of needs all of a sudden for this team. But they could lose both Minter and Williams at the safety spots.
15. Pittsburgh - Levi Brown (OT - Penn St.)
Hard team to project.
16. Green Bay - Marshawn Lynch (RB - Cal)
If they let Ahman Green go, this is automatic.
17. Jacksonville - Ted Ginn Jr. (WR - tOSU)
A WR is necessary to stretch the field, and criticisms of Ginn are overblown.
18. Cincinnati - Chris Houston (CB - Arkansas)
Their corners suck. 'Nuff said.
19. Tennessee - Leon Hall (CB - Michigan)
Ditto. And Pac Man may be released.
20. New York Giants - Ryan Kalil (C - USC)
Sounds like O'Hara may choose the "leave it" option of the "take it or leave it" option presented to him.
21. Denver - Charles Johnson (DE - Georgia)
Need more pressure on the QB plus better run "D".
22. Dallas - Justin Blalock (OG/OT - Texas)
Now that Parcells is gone, they can finally fix a broken line.
23. Kansas City - Dwayne Bowe (WR - L.S.U.)
Hey look! An actually #1 WR playing for the Chiefs.
24. New England (from Seattle) - Michael Griffin (S - Texas)
Ahead of Nelson?
25. New York Jets - Aaron Ross (CB - Texas)
Dyson and Poteat? Yikes!
26. Philadelphia - Lawrence Timmons (LB - Florida St.)
Need LB help even after drafting it the last couple years.
27. New Orleans - Greg Olsen (TE - Miami, Fl)
About the only area left that needs upgrading on the Saints offense.
28. New England - Paul Pozluszny (LB - Penn St.)
The rich get richer. MUCH richer.
29. Baltimore - Jarvis Moss (DE - Florida)
Losing Thomas hurts. Moss should be able to transition to the OLB in a 3-4.
30. San Diego - Reggie Nelson (FS - Florida)
Since Kiel may be in jail, Nelson steps into the FS position. He would have been an upgrade regardless.
31. Chicago - Tony Ugoh (T, Arkansas)
Nice combine allows the Bears to draft a replacement for their aging tackles.
32. Indianapolis - Justin Harrell (DT - Tennessee)
Recovering from injury and Pitcock and Tyler just don't cut it for me.
No Dwayne Jarrett? Not when you run a 4.7.
1. Oakland - Jamarcus Russell (QB - L.S.U.)
I'm still not sold on Russell being a #1 overall talent, but after letting Brooks go, Walters can't be the answer.
2. Detroit - Joe Thomas (OT - Wisconsin)
I highly doubt the Lions stay in this spot. But if they do, Thomas is the safest pick - which is probably paramount for this franchise.
3. Cleveland - Calvin Johnson (WR - Georgia Tech)
A surprise? Possibly. But he is the #1 BPA in the draft, both Edwards and Winslow are "mercurial" at best, and they can find a runner later in the draft.
4. Tampa Bay - Brady Quinn (QB - Notre Dame)
Another surprise? I don't think so. Gruden really doesn't seem to like Simms all that much and Gradowski isn't the answer.
5. Arizona - Adrian Peterson (RB - Oklahoma)
James is on the downside and they want to work him less. Given the league's trend to two rotating backs, this makes too much sense.
6. Washington - Alan Branch (DT - Michigan)
Their d-line is not good.
7. Minnesota - Amobi Okoye (DT - Louisville)
They have ZERO depth at the position. Fat Pat is fantastic, but also wears down and is entering his 10th year. A three DT rotation such as this would be

8. Houston - Jamaal Anderson (DE - Georgia)
Paired opposite Williams, "the plan" starts to make more sense.
9. Miami - Darrelle Revis (CB - Pitt)
Their d-backs only had 5 INT's total last year.
10. Atlanta - Gaines Adams (DE - Clemson)
Losing Kerney hurts but lining Adams up opposite Abraham would be NICE.
11. San Francisco - Adam Carriker (DE - Nebraska)
Stud.
12. Buffalo - Robert Meachem (WR - Tennessee)
Add a better #2 WR than the other Volunteer they currently have. Running that time at the combine shoots him up the charts.
13. St. Louis - Patrick Willis (LB - Ole Miss)
Other than Witherspoon, they have nothing at LB. Their d-line is miserable, but this is a better value.
14. Carolina - Laron Landry (SS - L.S.U.)
Lots of needs all of a sudden for this team. But they could lose both Minter and Williams at the safety spots.
15. Pittsburgh - Levi Brown (OT - Penn St.)

16. Green Bay - Marshawn Lynch (RB - Cal)
If they let Ahman Green go, this is automatic.
17. Jacksonville - Ted Ginn Jr. (WR - tOSU)
A WR is necessary to stretch the field, and criticisms of Ginn are overblown.
18. Cincinnati - Chris Houston (CB - Arkansas)
Their corners suck. 'Nuff said.
19. Tennessee - Leon Hall (CB - Michigan)
Ditto. And Pac Man may be released.
20. New York Giants - Ryan Kalil (C - USC)
Sounds like O'Hara may choose the "leave it" option of the "take it or leave it" option presented to him.
21. Denver - Charles Johnson (DE - Georgia)
Need more pressure on the QB plus better run "D".
22. Dallas - Justin Blalock (OG/OT - Texas)
Now that Parcells is gone, they can finally fix a broken line.
23. Kansas City - Dwayne Bowe (WR - L.S.U.)
Hey look! An actually #1 WR playing for the Chiefs.
24. New England (from Seattle) - Michael Griffin (S - Texas)
Ahead of Nelson?

25. New York Jets - Aaron Ross (CB - Texas)
Dyson and Poteat? Yikes!
26. Philadelphia - Lawrence Timmons (LB - Florida St.)
Need LB help even after drafting it the last couple years.
27. New Orleans - Greg Olsen (TE - Miami, Fl)
About the only area left that needs upgrading on the Saints offense.
28. New England - Paul Pozluszny (LB - Penn St.)
The rich get richer. MUCH richer.
29. Baltimore - Jarvis Moss (DE - Florida)
Losing Thomas hurts. Moss should be able to transition to the OLB in a 3-4.
30. San Diego - Reggie Nelson (FS - Florida)
Since Kiel may be in jail, Nelson steps into the FS position. He would have been an upgrade regardless.
31. Chicago - Tony Ugoh (T, Arkansas)
Nice combine allows the Bears to draft a replacement for their aging tackles.
32. Indianapolis - Justin Harrell (DT - Tennessee)
Recovering from injury and Pitcock and Tyler just don't cut it for me.
No Dwayne Jarrett? Not when you run a 4.7.
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