Vick's just about a value play these days.
Vick's been a great value play for two straight years now. I've taken him around the 10th-12th QB off the board, and he's produced as the 10th-12th QB off the board. I expect more of the same this year- I'll grab him as my QB1 after everyone has taken a starter and even started in on the backups, and I'll get starter-caliber production from him all year long.
Vick's sporatic play makes it hard for me to agree that he is a value pick. It just seems so hard for me to pick a player like Vick as my QB 1 and then really have to worry if he is going to have one of those Mike Vick weeks where he throws for 0 TD with 150 yards passing. Never every player could have a week like this but with Vick it is definitely an increase as far as QB 1's are concerned.Vick finished as the 11th QB in my main money league last season, however this finish is a little misleading IMO and here is why. Vick finished 11th last season with a very mediocre season only because of the freak injuries that occured to QB's last season: McNabb, Culpepper, McNair, Bulger and Leftwich would have all finished higher than Vick last season if they had not been injured. This would have pushed Vick to the 15-18 QB range last season and it is where I feel he should be ranked and where he will end up finishing this year. Also, add Roethlisberger, Brooks, Favre, and Warner as guys who finished behind Vick last season that could easily out produce him this year who I would much rather take a chance on than Vick. So 9 QB's that Vick finished ahead of last season are QB's that I would rather take. Combine that with the 10 QB's that finished ahead of Vick last season and I would see myself taking at the minimum 15 QB's before Vick and possibly 19. Furthermore, Vick's inconsistency and his injury prone history make it hard for me to agree with anyone selecting him as their QB1.
5 out of the 15 games Vick started last season he failed to throw for a single TD. Also 3 out of those 15 games Vick failed to throw or run for a TD. In 8 of those 15 games he had 1 total combined rushing and passing TD.
2 years ago Vick had a combined 17 TD's and this past season he had 21 combined TD's which is not great at all. Heck G. Ferrote had 18 combined TD's last season in Miami. There was seventeen QB's last season who had at least 17 or more combined TD's this past season. McNabb had 17 TD's in only 9 games of action.
I will gladly take Vick as a QB2 on my teams if he falls in the draft, but I find it hard to ever select him as my QB1 at this point in his career. Yes, he has great upside, but at this point I feel he should be seen as a QB 2 with potential to be QB 1.