smcindoe
Footballguy
Watching the Rams yesterday, I had that nagging deja vu feeling watching them work at the goal line. So I thought I'd look it up...
From NFL.com's play-by-play, here's how the Rams goal-to-go possessions have gone so far this year:
A few observations:
- Out of seven goal-to-go possesions and 18 offensive plays, they've run the ball only five times
- All five of those were to the right
- All five of those were on first down
- The most recent three of those were for a loss
- All ten second-and-goal and third-and-goal plays have been passes
- Their only two TDs have come on passes
So a typical Rams goal-to-go possession has gone like this: run to the right for little or even negative yards, then give up and start throwing.
Now seven series isn't much of a sample size, but given we're three weeks into the season it's not tiny either. And if somebody with my football IQ (only slightly above Art Shell's) can pick up on this pattern, I'm sure NFL teams are too.
Now, does anyone smarter than me want to take over and guess at what this might mean? Do the Rams start to mix it up more? Does that help Bulger? Jackson? Both? Or will we see the same "run it into the stacked side of the line, then chuck it twice" play calling the rest of the way?
From NFL.com's play-by-play, here's how the Rams goal-to-go possessions have gone so far this year:
(I left out one additional series at the end of a game that had nothing but Bulger kneel-downs.)1-8-DEN8 (4:33) M.Bulger pass incomplete short right to I.Bruce.
2-8-DEN8 (4:28) M.Bulger pass short middle to S.Jackson to DEN 7 for 1 yard (C.Bailey). Penalty on SL-A.McCollum, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.
3-7-DEN7 (3:55) (Shotgun) M.Bulger pass incomplete short middle to S.McDonald (D.Foxworth).
4-7-DEN7 (3:48) J.Wilkins 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Massey, Holder-D.Looker.
1-2-DEN3 (1:19) S.Jackson right guard to DEN 2 for 1 yards (K.Lang, DJ.Williams).
2-2-DEN240) M.Bulger pass incomplete short left to D.Looker.
PENALTY on SL-M.Bulger, Intentional Grounding, 14 yards, enforced at DEN 2.
3-16-DEN1635) M.Bulger pass incomplete short middle to T.Holt.
4-16-DEN1629) PENALTY on SL-M.Hedgecock, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 16 - No Play.
4-26-DEN2625) J.Wilkins 44 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-C.Massey, Holder-D.Looker.
1-9-DEN9 (7:23) S.Jackson right end to DEN 6 for 3 yards (J.Lynch).
2-6-DEN6 (6:39) M.Bulger pass incomplete short middle to T.Holt.
3-6-DEN6 (6:33) (Shotgun) M.Bulger pass incomplete short left to I.Bruce.
4-6-DEN6 (6:28) J.Wilkins 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Massey, Holder-D.Looker.
1-2-SF2 (3:00) S.Jackson right guard to SF 3 for -1 yards (I.Sopoaga).
2-3-SF3 (2:21) M.Bulger pass short right to T.Holt for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
1-6-ARI6 (12:20) S.Jackson right tackle to ARZ 8 for -2 yards (A.Wilson, C.Okeafor).
2-8-ARI8 (11:39) M.Bulger pass incomplete short middle to T.Holt (M.Ware).
3-8-ARI8 (11:33) (Shotgun) M.Bulger pass incomplete short middle to I.Bruce (A.Wilson).
4-8-ARI8 (11:28) J.Wilkins 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Massey, Holder-D.Looker.
1-9-ARI9 (3:25) M.Bulger pass short left to T.Holt for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
1-6-ARI6 (9:43) S.Jackson right end to ARZ 10 for -4 yards (G.Hayes).
2-10-ARI10 (9:01) (Shotgun) M.Bulger pass short middle to S.McDonald to ARZ 3 for 7 yards (G.Hayes).
3-3-ARI3 (8:20) M.Bulger pass incomplete short right to T.Holt (R.Griffith). Penalty on ARZ-R.Griffith, Taunting, offsetting. Penalty on SL-T.Holt, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting. Penalty on SL-T.Holt, Taunting, offsetting.
4-3-ARI3 (8:10) J.Wilkins 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Massey, Holder-D.Looker.
A few observations:
- Out of seven goal-to-go possesions and 18 offensive plays, they've run the ball only five times
- All five of those were to the right
- All five of those were on first down
- The most recent three of those were for a loss
- All ten second-and-goal and third-and-goal plays have been passes
- Their only two TDs have come on passes
So a typical Rams goal-to-go possession has gone like this: run to the right for little or even negative yards, then give up and start throwing.
Now seven series isn't much of a sample size, but given we're three weeks into the season it's not tiny either. And if somebody with my football IQ (only slightly above Art Shell's) can pick up on this pattern, I'm sure NFL teams are too.
Now, does anyone smarter than me want to take over and guess at what this might mean? Do the Rams start to mix it up more? Does that help Bulger? Jackson? Both? Or will we see the same "run it into the stacked side of the line, then chuck it twice" play calling the rest of the way?