Here's my very preliminary draft board in 1QB rookie/FA .5 PPR. My picks that I thought would matter are #7, #25, and 28. I didn't hate what I saw from the #7 spot. A lot of options on the table, but to some extent I'm hoping these will sort themselves out prior to the mid-August draft in training camp. #25 & #28 feels like junk unless you have room to stash flawed WR prospects. I'm stacked at the WR position in a 12-team start 2 + 1 Flex, which would be the reason for the hate:
1. Bijan
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2. Gibbs
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3. JSN - think he's can't miss, but not sold on the ceiling. Good spot, but closer to Addison and Flowers than some are thinking.
4. Richardson - I have him here purely for the trade-bait upside behind Mahomes.
5. Charbonnet - I respect the draft position and how run-heavy the Seahawks skew. I'm thinking Carroll might not love Walker as much as his fantasy shareholders.
6. Kincaid - long play, high risk, can't ignore the ceiling
7. Addison - landing spot matches the talent, very safe. Ceiling is very much capped.
8. Flowers - Some downside on the landing spot but not as bad as some are thinking. Unlike JA, he could emerge as the top receiving target and I believe in the talent.
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9. Kendre Miller - Stash. Like him enough that I would consider moving down from 1.7. Won't be surprised if he's always part of a split backfield.
10. Johnston - Not a fan of the prospect, but have to keep an open mind given the landing spot and draft capital.
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11. Spears - liked the talent. Mid-3rd capital is solid. Might have him this high in part for DH insurance.
12. Roschon - might belong at the top given the open competition. My gut says that he'd go earlier than mid-4th if he had the juice to go with the "jack of all trades" label.
13. Achane - this might be too high for lineup leagues but I'll gamble on the chance that he's a weight outlier. Like him more in best ball.
14. Stroud - Don't love the ceiling in a 1 QB.
15. Young - " "
16. Bigsby - wouldn't fault anyone for swapping spots with Spears.
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17. LaPorta - Not sure how high he ascends, but I like his chances of ultimately cracking top-12 TE.
18. Rashaad Penny (FA) - struggling with where to put the prized FA in our league
19. Rice - on the off chance that Mahomes is right this time, originally had him outside my top 28
20. Mayer - safe, but I don't like the ceiling
21. Musgrave - struggling with where I should stack him up relative to Kraft, not to mention Schoonmaker/Ferguson(UFA), I think Musgrave owns the upside over all
22. Mingo - as out on him as Rice, but have to respect the draft capital. I know many will have him higher.
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23. Levis -- it's going to take some buzz to keep him in my top 28
24. Abanikanda -- lotto ticket to share a backfield with Carter? yuck
25 Eric Gray -- lotto ticket behind Barkley
26. Sean Tucker -- I know, not a believer in R White
27. Zach Evans -- I know, old habits die hard, not a bullish on Akers
28. Vaughn -- fun way to waste a pick, I probably move these RBs ahead of him: (Chase Brown, Jerome Ford, Malik Davis, McBride)
I know this last tier is gross. Probably a reflection of my roster having zero room for any more WR projects. Here are the WRs that probably belong ahead of all of these guys in a dynasty startup. They're going to have to make some noise for me to consider at the 3.1 & 3.4. I realize many will be selected in the 2nd:
23-alt. Jayden Reed
24-alt. Hyatt
25-alt. Downs
26-alt. Mims
27-alt. Tillman
28-alt. Boutee - pending medical miracle