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Time to Sell high on Portis? (1 Viewer)

MarcO

Footballguy
Getting an awful lot of carries and seems to have a couple of nagging aches and pains. His matchups aren't good on paper but he's had success against some good run defenses in his division already so maybe we can't read too much into the matchups - with maybe the BAL and PIT games being exceptions.

PIT - #2 v run

OPEN

DAL #11 v run (went 21 -120 first time around...)

SEA #22 v run (good matchup here)

NYG #7 v run (23 - 84 1st time around)

BAL #1 v run (1st rnd playoffs)

CIN #27 v run (best matchup)

PHIL #9 v run (title game; went 29 -145 first time around...)

His value may be the highest it will be right now - might be good time to try to move him for the right price?

 
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Getting an awful lot of carries and seems to have a couple of nagging aches and pains. His matchups aren't good on paper but he's had success against some good run defenses in his division already so maybe we can't read too much into the matchups - with maybe the BAL and PIT games being exceptions. PIT - #2 v runOPENDAL #11 v run (went 21 -120 first time around...)SEA #22 v run (good matchup here)NYG #7 v run (23 - 84 1st time around)BAL #1 v run (1st rnd playoffs)CIN #27 v run (best matchup)PHIL #9 v run (title game; went 29 -145 first time around...)His value may be the highest it will be right now - might be good time to try to move him for the right price?
I think you answered your question here. Baltimore and Pittsburgh are the two notable matchups, but he's already done reasonably well against the NFC East foes with good defenses. So, it looks like he's a good play most of the year.The key thing here is that the Redskins need Portis so much that he will always get fed the ball. The injury bug is certainly a possibility, but I don't think you can let that stop you from riding it out with him. After all, any player can get injured, any time -- not just Portis.I'm sticking with him. But, I am a Redskins homer too. LOLM
 
In a dynasty, I think I'd try to sell, but not in a redraft. He is likely to outscore what you'd get for him in return, especially after he walked off the field with a sore ankle.

 
i wouldn't mind trying to get Westbrook in return for him right now.
I wouldn't trade Portis for Westbrook straight up right now. Westbrook did have a monster game last weekend, but Portis has been a monster all season long.My only fear with Portis is all the bumps and bruises he's endured so far with all the touches he's had. I hope it doesn't catch up to him. I plan on seeing how he does this weekend with the sprained ankle against one of the leagues best defenses (Pittsburgh). If he can perform this weekend, then he is good to go the rest of the year.
 
If you're contending this year you keep him and start him every week, redraft or dynasty. He's looking a lot like the end-of-year RB1 or close to it, and very few RB's are either as consistent or get as much of their team's carries as he does.

Consider this: in week 1, when nothing was going right for the Redskins offense and he was getting zero help from the passing game, Portis still ran for 23/84 on the road against an excellent Giants defense.

Yes, he has dings but he's also tough and he plays through pain and does so at an elite level. He also trained harder than ever before during the offseason, so he should be strong going into the last half of the season.

If you're out of your dynasty league's playoff race, then I'd definitely sell high as the mileage he's getting on him this year is worrisome longer term.

 
Portis is on pace for about 370 carries this season. That would make this the fourth season out of five in which he's had 325 or more carries. (The exception was 2006, when he was hurt and played only eight games.) He's probably due to start falling off before long. I'd definitely be wary of him in a dynasty league.

 
Getting an awful lot of carries and seems to have a couple of nagging aches and pains. His matchups aren't good on paper but he's had success against some good run defenses in his division already so maybe we can't read too much into the matchups - with maybe the BAL and PIT games being exceptions. PIT - #2 v runOPENDAL #11 v run (went 21 -120 first time around...)SEA #22 v run (good matchup here)NYG #7 v run (23 - 84 1st time around)BAL #1 v run (1st rnd playoffs)CIN #27 v run (best matchup)PHIL #9 v run (title game; went 29 -145 first time around...)His value may be the highest it will be right now - might be good time to try to move him for the right price?
Who do think is an upgrade?
 
I started a similar thread a week ago and got similar answers.

You can also add to the reasons to sell Portis the fact that it sounds like Chris Samuels will be playing at less than 100% and might need Surgery on his knee...

In the end, I will be riding portis down the stretch. I had Ronnie Brown and wanted to bump him into a starting roll, but an offer came alnog I couldn't pass on

 
He's the best RB in fantasy right now... I say ride him out. He hasn't shown any sign of decline. He will continue to get days off during the week to rest. Stick with this stud.

 
I plan on riding it out. He's proven that he's a good start regardless of the matchup. I do have one deal on the table for him, but it involves ADP in a dynasty league. Other than that I have no desire to move him until after the season.

 
He's the best RB in fantasy right now... I say ride him out. He hasn't shown any sign of decline. He will continue to get days off during the week to rest. Stick with this stud.
His bye is upcoming in week 10, BTW. That should help him.
 
I am planning on riding him to a championship if I can. He is a beast and the Skins are going to need to continue to lean on him for a playoff push.

 
He's the best RB in fantasy right now... I say ride him out. He hasn't shown any sign of decline. He will continue to get days off during the week to rest. Stick with this stud.
His bye is upcoming in week 10, BTW. That should help him.
:towelwave: I think this is HUGE for him/us as owners. Comes back week 11 hopefully 'recharged' and had some extra time off to help heal those injuries down the stretch for FF playoffs. Have to say this is one of the few times (between him and Witten) I'm glad to have a BYE this time of the season.
 
i wouldn't mind trying to get Westbrook in return for him right now.
I wouldn't trade Portis for Westbrook straight up right now. Westbrook did have a monster game last weekend, but Portis has been a monster all season long.
in ppr, i think i'd rather have Westbrook, especially since his bye is behind him.
I would trust Portis to stay healthier than I would Westbrook from here on out. That McNabb is also an injury risk doesn't help that any. Finally, now that the Redskins are consistently getting trips into the red zone, the fact that Portis is a legit goalline back is another clear advantage over Westbrook, even given Westy's PPR advantage over Portis. I wouldn't make that trade this year, certainly not straight up.
 
Tatum Bell said:
joffer said:
usdemienm said:
joffer said:
i wouldn't mind trying to get Westbrook in return for him right now.
I wouldn't trade Portis for Westbrook straight up right now. Westbrook did have a monster game last weekend, but Portis has been a monster all season long.
in ppr, i think i'd rather have Westbrook, especially since his bye is behind him.
I would trust Portis to stay healthier than I would Westbrook from here on out. That McNabb is also an injury risk doesn't help that any. Finally, now that the Redskins are consistently getting trips into the red zone, the fact that Portis is a legit goalline back is another clear advantage over Westbrook, even given Westy's PPR advantage over Portis. I wouldn't make that trade this year, certainly not straight up.
I would easily rather have Westbrook and I have niether. Portis plays Balt week 15. I plan on winning in the playoffs not just hetting there and I would not want to rely on my #1 agianst Balt run D
 
Tatum Bell said:
If you're contending this year you keep him and start him every week, redraft or dynasty. He's looking a lot like the end-of-year RB1 or close to it, and very few RB's are either as consistent or get as much of their team's carries as he does.

Consider this: in week 1, when nothing was going right for the Redskins offense and he was getting zero help from the passing game, Portis still ran for 23/84 on the road against an excellent Giants defense.

Yes, he has dings but he's also tough and he plays through pain and does so at an elite level. He also trained harder than ever before during the offseason, so he should be strong going into the last half of the season.

If you're out of your dynasty league's playoff race, then I'd definitely sell high as the mileage he's getting on him this year is worrisome longer term.
and he did lead the league in carries last year as well.
 
Tatum Bell said:
If you're contending this year you keep him and start him every week, redraft or dynasty. He's looking a lot like the end-of-year RB1 or close to it, and very few RB's are either as consistent or get as much of their team's carries as he does.

Consider this: in week 1, when nothing was going right for the Redskins offense and he was getting zero help from the passing game, Portis still ran for 23/84 on the road against an excellent Giants defense.

Yes, he has dings but he's also tough and he plays through pain and does so at an elite level. He also trained harder than ever before during the offseason, so he should be strong going into the last half of the season.

If you're out of your dynasty league's playoff race, then I'd definitely sell high as the mileage he's getting on him this year is worrisome longer term.
and he did lead the league in carries last year as well.
Portis is 27. Worry about his mileage in 2 more years. Not now.
 
At this point, I will definately ride him for the season. I do own him in a dynasty and I will look to unload him this offseason due to the fact that, his value should be as high as it has been, (if he sustains this throughout the year) and he will be hitting that stretch run into the 30's, when the dynasty backs start to lose a lot of value. (especially in my league)

 
Tatum Bell said:
If you're contending this year you keep him and start him every week, redraft or dynasty. He's looking a lot like the end-of-year RB1 or close to it, and very few RB's are either as consistent or get as much of their team's carries as he does.

Consider this: in week 1, when nothing was going right for the Redskins offense and he was getting zero help from the passing game, Portis still ran for 23/84 on the road against an excellent Giants defense.

Yes, he has dings but he's also tough and he plays through pain and does so at an elite level. He also trained harder than ever before during the offseason, so he should be strong going into the last half of the season.

If you're out of your dynasty league's playoff race, then I'd definitely sell high as the mileage he's getting on him this year is worrisome longer term.
and he did lead the league in carries last year as well.
Portis is 27. Worry about his mileage in 2 more years. Not now.
He's on pace for over 370 carries, especially if you include the (at this point) expected playoff game(s) following the season, and that number tends to not bode well for RBs' future performance if exceeded. Portis also is in his seventh year, and he's got a lot of mileage on him. I just think you have to start wondering how much longer he'll command the elite RB premium in trade that he does right now.
 
If you are in need for wins, and can pickup a RB to help you over the bye week then it might be good to trade him.

I am 4-4 now if I lose next week I'm probably done but at 5-4 I definately need a win in wk 10, and that matchup vs Baltimore in wk 13 is not good at all, no one scores vs Balt

If I could get Peterson (vs. Detroit) and a another Rb upgrade I would do it. Gaining a bye week and a much more favorable wk 13 matchup

 
Tatum Bell said:
Consider this: in week 1, when nothing was going right for the Redskins offense and he was getting zero help from the passing game, Portis still ran for 23/84 on the road against an excellent Giants defense.
There was a multiple-page thread full of Portis owners who were about ready to jump out of windows after week 1. Turns out that was his low point for the season so far.
 
I don't have Portis in one league, and I don't want him in any with that remaining schedule. Theres 5-10 guys in his class that can be obtained easier that are likely to outscore Portis from here on out imo.

 
I would hold on to him. Every year fantasy folks discount Portis due to injury concerns (all because of the one year he separated his shoulder in preseason) and fear of Betts.

Portis is likely to only get better down the stretch. The biggest issue is that if they keep winning then Portis may rest more, but given the division this is unlikely.

 
I don't have Portis in one league, and I don't want him in any with that remaining schedule. Theres 5-10 guys in his class that can be obtained easier that are likely to outscore Portis from here on out imo.
Not many guys are going to get 20 carries a game.
 

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