Time to sell on Kevin Jones? (1 Viewer)

[digitalamish]

My primary backs are Tiki and Portis, so I'm OK there. Now that Jones has had a good week, is this the time to sell him off, or should I hold him in case of injury? Because he shares a bye week with Portis, he's no help there.

 

[my man otis]

EDIT: I just took a look at the schedule and they've got:Sunday, October 22 @ New York Jets The Meadowlands 1:00 p.m. FOX Sunday, October 29 Bye Week Sunday, November 5 ATLANTA FALCONS Ford Field 1:00 p.m. FOX Sunday, November 12 SAN FRANCISCO 49ers Ford Field 1:00 p.m. * FOX Sunday, November 19 @ Arizona Cardinals Cardinals Stadium 4:05 p.m. * FOX Thursday, November 23 MIAMI DOLPHINS Ford Field 12:30 p.m. # CBSYou may want to hold on to him.

yup. he's a HOLD. Sell after the dolphins.

 

[Steve Dallas]

He's exceeded his projections almost every week, and he has a cakewalk schedule coming up. Jones might end up being a Top 5 back this season. He's a hold, unless you are deep at RB and can get a solid RB1/2 AND a Top WR for him.

 

[Gopher State]

People who waited on Jones and took him the 3rd or later rounds of FF drafts are getting real value now. I would rate him a buy if don't have him, and a hold if you do have him. He has a great shot of finishing in the top ten.

 

[Casper05]

I acquired him last week in a trade- LT2 for Jones, Gore, and R Smith...I'll probably try to sell him after the Miami game as my.man.otis said.

 

[Avery]

I acquired him last week in a trade- LT2 for Jones, Gore, and R Smith...I'll probably try to sell him after the Miami game as my.man.otis said.

If your league has a trading deadline, I think it's likely that after week 12 (the Miami game) is well after the trading deadline.

 

[jesse]

I acquired him last week in a trade- LT2 for Jones, Gore, and R Smith...I'll probably try to sell him after the Miami game as my.man.otis said.

If your league has a trading deadline, I think it's likely that after week 12 (the Miami game) is well after the trading deadline.

It's past the deadline in my league and in most leagues that I know of.

 

[GOroute]

EDIT: I just took a look at the schedule and they've got:Sunday, October 22 @ New York Jets The Meadowlands 1:00 p.m. FOX Sunday, October 29 Bye Week Sunday, November 5 ATLANTA FALCONS Ford Field 1:00 p.m. FOX Sunday, November 12 SAN FRANCISCO 49ers Ford Field 1:00 p.m. * FOX Sunday, November 19 @ Arizona Cardinals Cardinals Stadium 4:05 p.m. * FOX Thursday, November 23 MIAMI DOLPHINS Ford Field 12:30 p.m. # CBSYou may want to hold on to him.

yup. he's a HOLD. Sell after the dolphins.

based on that schedule he is a MUST hold!

 

[wilked]

EDIT: I just took a look at the schedule and they've got:

Sunday, October 22 @ New York Jets The Meadowlands 1:00 p.m. FOX

Sunday, October 29 Bye Week

Sunday, November 5 ATLANTA FALCONS Ford Field 1:00 p.m. FOX

Sunday, November 12 SAN FRANCISCO 49ers Ford Field 1:00 p.m. * FOX

Sunday, November 19 @ Arizona Cardinals Cardinals Stadium 4:05 p.m. * FOX

Thursday, November 23 MIAMI DOLPHINS Ford Field 12:30 p.m. # CBS

You may want to hold on to him.

After seeing that schedule DO NOT SELL!

 

[dparker713]

The Lions are likely to be behind early against the Falcons, Niners and Cards, so Im not so sure those are very favorable matchups. Frankly, even if he lined up against his own defense every week I dont think I'd be high on him.

After a stellar first quarter, he was very quiet the rest of the game. Neither he nor the Lions offense have shown any ability to consistently move or hold onto the ball. Nor is the defense good enough to consistently keep games close.

Sell him high after this week and leave someone to deal with his inconsistent play, bye week and 'potential'.

 

[JBTV]

Inconsistent? He's pretty consistent in the fact that he does well against bad defenses, and gets stopped by good ones. Bad weeks were against Minny, Chi, Seattle, who are currently ranked 4, 5, & 6 in rushing defense. He had big games against GB, StL, and Buf, who rank 13th, 22nd, and 19th. So he's done well against the teams he should do well against, and been stuffed by three elite rushing defenses.

Here's the ranks of his upcoming schedule:

@ New York Jets - 28th

ATLANTA FALCONS - 15th

SAN FRANCISCO - 20th

@ Arizona Cardinals - 23rd

MIAMI DOLPHINS - 10th

@ New England - 8th

MINNESOTA - 4th

@Green Bay - 13th

KANSAS CITY - 24th

So he's got a very easy schedule until Thanksgiving, then a tough stretch, but plays a terrible rushing defense in fantasy championship week. I'd say definite hold, hope other guys can get you through NE and Minny weeks, hope he can get something done at Green Bay, and then he's a guy who can win you the title the last week.

 

[my man otis]

I acquired him last week in a trade- LT2 for Jones, Gore, and R Smith...I'll probably try to sell him after the Miami game as my.man.otis said.

If your league has a trading deadline, I think it's likely that after week 12 (the Miami game) is well after the trading deadline.

ooh, good point.

 

[billymays]

The Lions are likely to be behind early against the Falcons, Niners and Cards, so Im not so sure those are very favorable matchups. Frankly, even if he lined up against his own defense every week I dont think I'd be high on him. After a stellar first quarter, he was very quiet the rest of the game. Neither he nor the Lions offense have shown any ability to consistently move or hold onto the ball. Nor is the defense good enough to consistently keep games close. Sell him high after this week and leave someone to deal with his inconsistent play, bye week and 'potential'.

i dont really get this post1)you make the niners and cards sound like a bunch of badasses(they have worse defenses than the lions)2)he was not quiet against the bills, he was involved all game3)other than about 3 quarters LJ has been "very quiet" but we know how those arguments are going4)with the exception of the bears game-every other game has come down to the last series or two(5 out of 6 games)im not saying "sell him or dont sell him"but take into account that he is the only RB that the lions use-no rbbc here, he will always be getting yards because of his involvement in the passing game whether the lions are winning or losing, he already has career highs in catches and yards receivingif you trade him get something good in return

 

[Real Man of Genius]

The Lions are likely to be behind early against the Falcons, Niners and Cards, so Im not so sure those are very favorable matchups. Frankly, even if he lined up against his own defense every week I dont think I'd be high on him. After a stellar first quarter, he was very quiet the rest of the game. Neither he nor the Lions offense have shown any ability to consistently move or hold onto the ball. Nor is the defense good enough to consistently keep games close. Sell him high after this week and leave someone to deal with his inconsistent play, bye week and 'potential'.

I am seeing him vs CHI in Week 16, not KC

 

[wraith5]

Inconsistent? He's pretty consistent in the fact that he does well against bad defenses, and gets stopped by good ones. Bad weeks were against Minny, Chi, Seattle, who are currently ranked 4, 5, & 6 in rushing defense. He had big games against GB, StL, and Buf, who rank 13th, 22nd, and 19th. So he's done well against the teams he should do well against, and been stuffed by three elite rushing defenses.Here's the ranks of his upcoming schedule New York Jets - 28th ATLANTA FALCONS - 15thSAN FRANCISCO - 20th@ Arizona Cardinals - 23rd MIAMI DOLPHINS - 10th@ New England - 8thMINNESOTA - 4th@Green Bay - 13thKANSAS CITY - 24thSo he's got a very easy schedule until Thanksgiving, then a tough stretch, but plays a terrible rushing defense in fantasy championship week. I'd say definite hold, hope other guys can get you through NE and Minny weeks, hope he can get something done at Green Bay, and then he's a guy who can win you the title the last week.

Except no KC - CHI in wk 16 and DAL to close the season. He's a hold/buy candidate IMO.

 

[Mr. Know-It-All]

Definite BUY/HOLD. He is a can't miss as a RB2, although I am not sure I would trust him as a RB1 even in a PPR league.

The Chicago matchup in Week 16 is daunting, so it might behoove you to ensure that you have a valid backup plan (i.e., Thomas Jones, Addai/Rhodes, etc.) in place. His value is in PPR leagues especially.

 

[azngangster]

Definite buy/hold. I have tried to shop him around for value, and people don't seem to give kevin jones any respect since his downright awful season last year. He has had 3 good games vs bad defenses and 2 bad games and 1 average game against good defenses. It might be harder after this week to get kevin jones on the cheap, but if you can I would try. He is very involved in the offense and he has no one to steal carries and his schedule coming up is beautiful. You might want to sell high before the miami game, but I definitealy like kevin jones. He was great value in drafts this year.

 

[BustedKnuckles]

Kevin Jones-RB- Lions Oct. 16 - 3:25 pm et

Kevin Jones is "day-to-day" because of his hip pointer.

He finished the game Sunday, so hopefully it's not a major concern. Keep an eye on Jones at practice this week, but he has an excellent matchup against the Jets in New York.

 

[dparker713]

Its simple, his games against StL and Buf give him borderline RB1 numbers for the year, even though he's had 1 atrocious game and 2 poor games. Based on his stats and relatively high TD production so far, I think this is at or near the peak for him this year. Since he's still fairly young and people believe he has upside, dump him if you can trade him as a borderline RB1 - thats great value IMO.

BTW, Im not suggesting the Niners or Cards have good defenses. Im saying that it wont matter too much if they jump out to an early lead and the Lions once again abandon the run. They havent exactly been pounding the ball when behind as KJ has only gotten 1 game with 20+ carries.

 

[azngangster]

Its simple, his games against StL and Buf give him borderline RB1 numbers for the year, even though he's had 1 atrocious game and 2 poor games. Based on his stats and relatively high TD production so far, I think this is at or near the peak for him this year. Since he's still fairly young and people believe he has upside, dump him if you can trade him as a borderline RB1 - thats great value IMO. BTW, Im not suggesting the Niners or Cards have good defenses. Im saying that it wont matter too much if they jump out to an early lead and the Lions once again abandon the run. They havent exactly been pounding the ball when behind as KJ has only gotten 1 game with 20+ carries.

I agree with your logic here, but is anyone really getting a borderline number 1 rb for kevin jones? He seems to be undervalued by most people, and that is why I feel he is a buy/hold, since he won't be as expensive as some of the other number 2/3 rbs (in non ppr since owners in those leagues probably value Kevin Jones highly) but could produce very good numbers.

 

[qimqam]

I acquired him last week in a trade- LT2 for Jones, Gore, and R Smith...I'll probably try to sell him after the Miami game as my.man.otis said.

Ouch! those 4tds must have been painful to watch