BobbyLayne
Footballguy
1-5 Tennessee at 5-1 Detroit
For the Lions, this is the highest favored point spread for them in the last 29 seasons.
Week 15 v Jacksonville in 1995 at -13 (they covered and won 44-0).
Lions are 8-2 in their last 10 games ATS. The only two they did not cover was the WC playoff win v the Rams and Week 2 v the Bucs this year.
Titans have done well in the first half of most games. The Malik Willis-led Packers were up 20-7 at halftime, and the Colts were tied 10-10 after 30 minutes. Tennessee led at the half the other four games they’ve played.
Only the Raiders (16) have more turnovers than the Titans (12). Out of 39 qualifying quarterbacks, only Bryce Young has played worse than Will Levis.
WR Calvin Ridley had a remarkable game this year with 8 targets and 0 catches. On the season his catch rate is 33.33% (12 rec, 36 targets). The other Titans have more or less normal completion % so not sure what’s up with that.
Levis has 4 interceptions on deep passes, and is particularly inept when pressured. Have a feeling his shelf life as an NFL starter might not extend beyond the 11 games remaining in the current season.
Tony Pollard has been decent running the ball, but this is a non-functioning offense. Their 3rd down conversion rate is a woeful 31.1%. The one thing that seems to be keeping them in games is their very good defense, which allows only a 31.6% conversion rate on 3rd down. Somewhat surprising for a 1-5 team, they have outrushed their opposition and have held a ToP advantage in 4 out of 6 games. But turnovers are a lopsided (-9) with 12 turnovers and only 3 takeaways.
Looking over Detroit’s schedule this summer, there were two games that stood out as possible trap games. This one and at the Colts a month from now. Almost every other game has meaning - division games , NFC games, likely playoff teams.
They should be at a point where an easy game = putting them away early. Last year Weeks 3-6 they won four straight by 14-18 points.
It’s important to bank these easier games because the remaining schedule is difficult (6th hardest RoS.)
No Jamo this week and next. Should see an expanded role for Tim Patrick and perhaps Sam LaPorta - 1 target each of the last two games. Former Titan Kalif Raymond is Detroit’s best deep threat with Williams on the shelf, and I'm expecting Ben Johnson to take a deep shot with him.
But we're probably looking at another game with sub-30 pass attempts with a ton of Sonic and Knuckles.
For the Lions, this is the highest favored point spread for them in the last 29 seasons.
Week 15 v Jacksonville in 1995 at -13 (they covered and won 44-0).
Lions are 8-2 in their last 10 games ATS. The only two they did not cover was the WC playoff win v the Rams and Week 2 v the Bucs this year.
Titans have done well in the first half of most games. The Malik Willis-led Packers were up 20-7 at halftime, and the Colts were tied 10-10 after 30 minutes. Tennessee led at the half the other four games they’ve played.
Only the Raiders (16) have more turnovers than the Titans (12). Out of 39 qualifying quarterbacks, only Bryce Young has played worse than Will Levis.
WR Calvin Ridley had a remarkable game this year with 8 targets and 0 catches. On the season his catch rate is 33.33% (12 rec, 36 targets). The other Titans have more or less normal completion % so not sure what’s up with that.
Levis has 4 interceptions on deep passes, and is particularly inept when pressured. Have a feeling his shelf life as an NFL starter might not extend beyond the 11 games remaining in the current season.
Tony Pollard has been decent running the ball, but this is a non-functioning offense. Their 3rd down conversion rate is a woeful 31.1%. The one thing that seems to be keeping them in games is their very good defense, which allows only a 31.6% conversion rate on 3rd down. Somewhat surprising for a 1-5 team, they have outrushed their opposition and have held a ToP advantage in 4 out of 6 games. But turnovers are a lopsided (-9) with 12 turnovers and only 3 takeaways.
Looking over Detroit’s schedule this summer, there were two games that stood out as possible trap games. This one and at the Colts a month from now. Almost every other game has meaning - division games , NFC games, likely playoff teams.
They should be at a point where an easy game = putting them away early. Last year Weeks 3-6 they won four straight by 14-18 points.
It’s important to bank these easier games because the remaining schedule is difficult (6th hardest RoS.)
No Jamo this week and next. Should see an expanded role for Tim Patrick and perhaps Sam LaPorta - 1 target each of the last two games. Former Titan Kalif Raymond is Detroit’s best deep threat with Williams on the shelf, and I'm expecting Ben Johnson to take a deep shot with him.
But we're probably looking at another game with sub-30 pass attempts with a ton of Sonic and Knuckles.
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