Top 20 Value Picks in PPR (1 Viewer)

[KellysHeroes]

If VJax sits out Antonio Gates is going to EXPLODE. Like T1 receiver explode.

Don't see it...if Gates is the best receiver in San Diego, they will be shadowing him with a corner...last year, he benefited from defenses having to contain Jackson, LT and Sproles...two are basically gone...he should be seeing close to 2008 numbers but a slight dip in TDs.

Gates was the number one target for yrs... I wouldn't worry at all.

 

[Tackling Dummies]

If we're talking round 13/14 gamble WRs, I like McCluster more and would take him with Chambers still on the board. I think McCluster's upside for TDs and receptions is higher than Chambers. The risk is higher - maybe a lot higher - but I usually wouldn't make a low upside/safe pick at that point in the draft. If Chambers' upside is top 40, he's not worth drafting in a typical league with 3 starting WRs and 7 or 8 bench spots.I also think the Urban signing is a little under the radar. He's not going to kill it, but he's a reliable target with experience with Haley that should eat up 35-40 receptions that might have otherwise padded Chambers stats a little. A better version of Lance Long.

And twice on Sundays regarding taking McCluster over Chambers if they are both there late.

 

[az_prof]

I like Michael Bush and think he will win the starting job, but is he really a great PPR player? He can catch well, but that is one thing that McFadden does better than him. I forsee M. Bush being the first down back, the short yardage back, the goal line back; but I see McFadden as the third and long or second and long back who gets spread out and who catches a lot. In short, McFadden is closer to Reggie Bush and M. Bush is closer to Pierre Thomas or moreso, Brandon Jacobs in terms of usage. I like Bush better in TD heavy leagues than PPR.

 

[thriftyrocker]

Montario Hardesty at RB 38 is a potential value pick. Hardesty is a complete back, and while Harrison will certainly get his touches, I expect Hardesty to be the main guy in the Cleveland backfield.

Cadillac Williams is a steal at RB 36. He finished last season at RB 25, and there is no reason to think he will not repeat about the same this season.

I'm staying away from the Cleveland RB situation until I see what unfolds in TC/PreseasonI actually like Caddy as well... another guy that I missed. He should be a good RB3/4 this year.

Great point. Much like the Houston situation, the Cleveland RB job is still undefined. Hardesty has some potential, but Harrison (currently listed as the starter) finished the season strong, and Peyton Hillis and James Davis will both be vying for touches. I like Hardesty's potential to outproduce his ADP . . . but this position battle deserves careful monitoring.

I guess there's just two different strategies here. I would much rather have Hardesty and Foster than Caddy or (to add another name around the same ADP) Sproles. You know what you're getting with Caddy and Sproles - a RB3 with no chance of being a RB1. I think with Hardesty and Foster the RB1 upside is worth the gamble at a 9th through 12th round pick.Some of the OP's WR picks are pure upside guys. Jacoby Jones might do nothing. Chaz Schilens might do nothing. I think there's relatively few RBs available after round 8 that have even an outside chance to be RB1s - Hardesty, DBrown, Foster. Grabbing as many of those as you can is probably a good strategy. Worst case scenario, if your RB depth is shot, it's easier to trade a middling QB or WR midseason for a boring RB like Caddy than it is to land a RB1 that hit.

 

[footballman_696969]

Montario Hardesty at RB 38 is a potential value pick. Hardesty is a complete back, and while Harrison will certainly get his touches, I expect Hardesty to be the main guy in the Cleveland backfield.

Cadillac Williams is a steal at RB 36. He finished last season at RB 25, and there is no reason to think he will not repeat about the same this season.

I'm staying away from the Cleveland RB situation until I see what unfolds in TC/PreseasonI actually like Caddy as well... another guy that I missed. He should be a good RB3/4 this year.

Great point. Much like the Houston situation, the Cleveland RB job is still undefined. Hardesty has some potential, but Harrison (currently listed as the starter) finished the season strong, and Peyton Hillis and James Davis will both be vying for touches. I like Hardesty's potential to outproduce his ADP . . . but this position battle deserves careful monitoring.

I guess there's just two different strategies here. I would much rather have Hardesty and Foster than Caddy or (to add another name around the same ADP) Sproles. You know what you're getting with Caddy and Sproles - a RB3 with no chance of being a RB1. I think with Hardesty and Foster the RB1 upside is worth the gamble at a 9th through 12th round pick.Some of the OP's WR picks are pure upside guys. Jacoby Jones might do nothing. Chaz Schilens might do nothing. I think there's relatively few RBs available after round 8 that have even an outside chance to be RB1s - Hardesty, DBrown, Foster. Grabbing as many of those as you can is probably a good strategy. Worst case scenario, if your RB depth is shot, it's easier to trade a middling QB or WR midseason for a boring RB like Caddy than it is to land a RB1 that hit.

For me it depens who I have already drafted. If I have guys who are high risk/high reward like Jamaal Charles and Jahvid Best at RB then I might feel comfortable grabbing Caddy as my RB3. If I have guys who have consistantly produced like Ryan Grant and Joseph Addai at RB then I might want to grab a high upside guy like Hardesty or Tate as my RB3.

 

[socrates]

Montario Hardesty at RB 38 is a potential value pick. Hardesty is a complete back, and while Harrison will certainly get his touches, I expect Hardesty to be the main guy in the Cleveland backfield.

Cadillac Williams is a steal at RB 36. He finished last season at RB 25, and there is no reason to think he will not repeat about the same this season.

I'm staying away from the Cleveland RB situation until I see what unfolds in TC/PreseasonI actually like Caddy as well... another guy that I missed. He should be a good RB3/4 this year.

Great point. Much like the Houston situation, the Cleveland RB job is still undefined. Hardesty has some potential, but Harrison (currently listed as the starter) finished the season strong, and Peyton Hillis and James Davis will both be vying for touches. I like Hardesty's potential to outproduce his ADP . . . but this position battle deserves careful monitoring.

I guess there's just two different strategies here. I would much rather have Hardesty and Foster than Caddy or (to add another name around the same ADP) Sproles. You know what you're getting with Caddy and Sproles - a RB3 with no chance of being a RB1. I think with Hardesty and Foster the RB1 upside is worth the gamble at a 9th through 12th round pick.Some of the OP's WR picks are pure upside guys. Jacoby Jones might do nothing. Chaz Schilens might do nothing. I think there's relatively few RBs available after round 8 that have even an outside chance to be RB1s - Hardesty, DBrown, Foster. Grabbing as many of those as you can is probably a good strategy. Worst case scenario, if your RB depth is shot, it's easier to trade a middling QB or WR midseason for a boring RB like Caddy than it is to land a RB1 that hit.

For me it depends who I have already drafted. If I have guys who are high risk/high reward like Jamaal Charles and Jahvid Best at RB then I might feel comfortable grabbing Caddy as my RB3. If I have guys who have consistantly produced like Ryan Grant and Joseph Addai at RB then I might want to grab a high upside guy like Hardesty or Tate as my RB3.

I tend to lean toward the strategy of loading up with some high-risk/high-reward type players, but as was pointed out, sometimes you need to balance that with a player you can depend on for some point production. Caddy is a solid bye-week replacement and an insurance policy behind injury-prone or otherwise high-risk starters. I would be interested to know, however, how many teams won their league championship starting the likes of Cadillac Williams. I am certain there are some.IMO, Hardesty carries little risk. Even if he does not prevail as Cleveland's starter, he is likely to get enough touches to at least make him worthy of his draft position (which makes him a fantasy RB4 in most formats), and if he overtakes Harrison, he could be a viable weekly fantasy starter.

 

[footballman_696969]

I like Michael Bush and think he will win the starting job, but is he really a great PPR player? He can catch well, but that is one thing that McFadden does better than him. I forsee M. Bush being the first down back, the short yardage back, the goal line back; but I see McFadden as the third and long or second and long back who gets spread out and who catches a lot. In short, McFadden is closer to Reggie Bush and M. Bush is closer to Pierre Thomas or moreso, Brandon Jacobs in terms of usage. I like Bush better in TD heavy leagues than PPR.

I don't see him catching more than 1.5 - 2 balls a game, but I still think he'll be good value. I have him ranked inside the top 30 even in PPR leagues, and I think his upside is top 15-20.

 

[the spanker]

The more I look at TE's, the more I'm warming up to Tony Gonzalez (ADP 6.12 PPR Fantasy Football Calculator). He's the only respectable target besides Roddy White in the passing game for ATL. I'm surprised he was mentioned as a value at his ADP unless I'm missing something here?