Colts fan here.The Colts definitely didn't have the 2nd best line in 2008. Their run blocking was probably among the worst actually. Of course, the line was decimated by injuries and the Colts had to start three rookies for a lot of the season.I think the biggest hint that their run blocking was horrendous last year (besides Addai getting hit in the backfield a lot) was that the team would usually pass on 3rd and inches.They've never had a great run blocking line and I think their pass blocking has been a bit overrated because of Manning's ability to get the ball out quickly.I've also read the Cardinals are pretty bad at run blocking. Not sure about the other teams.5. Cardinals4. Vikings3. Patriots2. Colts1. Eagles
Wow talk about being a homer. I realize that Philly has the potential to be elite but they have yet to play a down together. Add in the fact that a number of starters have question marks i.e. Peters allowing a high number of sacks last year, Stacy Andews coming off a significant injury, and Shawn Andrews dealing with depression and injuries I dont see how you could rank them as the best in football.5. Cardinals4. Vikings3. Patriots2. Colts1. Eagles
Ridiculous if you don't put the Titans on there.Whatever stat you use to grade an o-line, rush yards, sacks allowed, pro bowl nods, etc the Titans line was fantastic in 20085. Cardinals4. Vikings3. Patriots2. Colts1. Eagles
and missing the Titans too.Vikings line is great run blocking...check out their sacks allowed though. IMO that pushes them out of the top 5.Especially with Birk gone and possibly starting a rook at RT (even as talented as the Load may be).any top 5 o-line list without the G-men is bunk
If Loadholt doesn't improve his technique tremendously, he is going to get abused by speed rushers. Guy has very slow feet and is slow out of his stance.and missing the Titans too.Vikings line is great run blocking...check out their sacks allowed though. IMO that pushes them out of the top 5.Especially with Birk gone and possibly starting a rook at RT (even as talented as the Load may be).any top 5 o-line list without the G-men is bunk
Titans-Giants I'm neither here nor there on. Why would you put Denver or Carolina above the Titans?In no particular order:GiantsPanthersBroncos - Really underrated. I don't think Ryan Clady got enough credit for his monster rookie year. 1/2 a sack. He was a rookie left tackle. Wow.Tennessee - Solid set of bookends at tackleEagles
It's no particular order.Titans-Giants I'm neither here nor there on. Why would you put Denver or Carolina above the Titans?In no particular order:GiantsPanthersBroncos - Really underrated. I don't think Ryan Clady got enough credit for his monster rookie year. 1/2 a sack. He was a rookie left tackle. Wow.Tennessee - Solid set of bookends at tackleEagles
I'd vote close to it, may be there in 2009Jets have to be at the top.D'Brickshaw(I probably spelled that wrong), Faneca, Mangold...
Have to agree. Great run blocking line but pass blocking can be inconsistent. Remember, Gus nearly got killed last year. It's why I think a mobile QB works best with the Vikings, such as S. Rosenfels. If they decide to put an immobile near 40 year old back there this year I suggest they keep the stretcher close.and missing the Titans too.Vikings line is great run blocking...check out their sacks allowed though. IMO that pushes them out of the top 5.Especially with Birk gone and possibly starting a rook at RT (even as talented as the Load may be).any top 5 o-line list without the G-men is bunk
Wow talk about being a homer. I realize that Philly has the potential to be elite but they have yet to play a down together. Add in the fact that a number of starters have question marks i.e. Peters allowing a high number of sacks last year, Stacy Andews coming off a significant injury, and Shawn Andrews dealing with depression and injuries I dont see how you could rank them as the best in football.5. Cardinals4. Vikings3. Patriots2. Colts1. Eagles
Football Outsiders 2008 OL rankingsBri said:Titans-Giants I'm neither here nor there on. Why would you put Denver or Carolina above the Titans?Balco said:In no particular order:
Giants
Panthers
Broncos - Really underrated. I don't think Ryan Clady got enough credit for his monster rookie year. 1/2 a sack. He was a rookie left tackle. Wow.
Tennessee - Solid set of bookends at tackle
Eagles
enver: #1 in run blocking, #4 in pass blockingWow.I'd have to put the Broncos, Jets, Titans and Giants above all five of yours. In fact, both the Browns and Bucs had off years from their lines last year, but I expect both of them to be better than a couple of the teams on your list.Gachi said:5. Cardinals4. Vikings3. Patriots2. Colts1. Eagles
I don't think that's one of their better formulasFootball Outsiders 2008 OL rankingsBri said:Titans-Giants I'm neither here nor there on. Why would you put Denver or Carolina above the Titans?Balco said:In no particular order:
Giants
Panthers
Broncos - Really underrated. I don't think Ryan Clady got enough credit for his monster rookie year. 1/2 a sack. He was a rookie left tackle. Wow.
Tennessee - Solid set of bookends at tackle
Eaglesenver: #1 in run blocking, #4 in pass blocking
Carolina: #7 in run blocking, #9 in pass blocking
Tennessee: #17 in run blocking, #3 in pass blocking
By FO's ranking system, Denver's OL was easily the best last year.
Is too much about negatives and not positives.The great Barry Sanders got stuffed and even worse was tackled for a loss many times. I remember young Barry doing just too much dancing at times and getting caught behind the LOS. If they wanted to work up a formula to work in the losses and stuffs AND the successful runs, then fine but that first part of their ranking just seems too negative.* Losses: 120% value
* 0-4 Yards: 100% value
* 5-10 Yards: 50% value
* 11+ Yards: 0% value
The Vikings aren't even in the Top 10. Aside from Hutchinson (a stud), you have a solid but somewhat inconsistent McKinnie. Then a center who's never started an NFL game, a guard (Herrera) who's probably better suited to be a backup, and a talented 2009 2nd round pick who's never started an NFL game. Doesn't seem remotely close to Top 10 on paper. Could be by season's end, but I don't think you can project them in the Top 10, much less the Top 5.
Although I do think that Birk is being given too much credit in this thread. He did NOT play well at all last season.On the sacks, as it says on the page I linked, they use an adjusted sack rate, which takes into account passing attempts, opponent, down, and distance. I don't know exactly what the formula is, but the concept seems reasonable IMO.One other thing about those rankings, when you read across the sacks are listed as different teams in a different order than the teams on the left. The Titans were tied for best in the NFL only allowing 12 sacks for the year yet, they're 3rd there to teams that allowed 13 and 14. Denver, who tied them at 12, is ranked 4th.Titans are also listed next to the NY Giants.
You think McKinney is a top 5 tackle?Id disagree there. He might get there...but not so far in his career.There seem to be plenty of pretty good o-lines in the NFL at the moment so narrowing it down to a top-5 is tough.I'd say:1. Eagles, they were solid last year and only got better. Peters may have given up a higher sack count, but he's the best run-blocking OT in the NFL, also most of his sacks are due to having to cover for Dockery who was awfu(and cut)l last year. If Shawn Andrews is back to form than its a sizable drop off to 2nd place.2. Titans, great set of tackles and in my opinion the best center of the last 10 years anchoring the line.3. Giants, very good line, probably the best at run blocking, but they are inconsistent at times pass blocking. Eli really doesn't get enough credit for covering that up.4. Panthers, they are the youngest line on the list and have the most potential to move up. They may have the OT combo in the league and Kalil really came on last year.5. Vikings, can Sullivan replace Birk? If he can then maybe they should be higher. they have the best Guard in the NFL and a top-5(ish) Tackle. If Loadholt is the mauler he's projected to be than they may best the Giants as the best run blockers.
Id still put them top 10 just because of Hutch.I don't give Birk as much credit physically as far as the last year or two...but the Center spot is pretty important to the line as far as keeping guys together. And he was a big time leader on the line.The Vikings aren't even in the Top 10. Aside from Hutchinson (a stud), you have a solid but somewhat inconsistent McKinnie. Then a center who's never started an NFL game, a guard (Herrera) who's probably better suited to be a backup, and a talented 2009 2nd round pick who's never started an NFL game. Doesn't seem remotely close to Top 10 on paper. Could be by season's end, but I don't think you can project them in the Top 10, much less the Top 5.Although I do think that Birk is being given too much credit in this thread. He did NOT play well at all last season.
Their point here is how to assess responsibility to the OL for runs. They are saying with this formula that the OL should be heavily penalized for losses and get no credit for the rushing yards gained beyond 10 yards. Note that the OL does get credit for the first 10 yards of long runs, just not the yards beyond that, which are assumed to be a result of the RB's ability.I don't think that's one of their better formulasFootball Outsiders 2008 OL rankings:
Denver: #1 in run blocking, #4 in pass blocking
Carolina: #7 in run blocking, #9 in pass blocking
Tennessee: #17 in run blocking, #3 in pass blocking
By FO's ranking system, Denver's OL was easily the best last year.Is too much about negatives and not positives.The great Barry Sanders got stuffed and even worse was tackled for a loss many times. I remember young Barry doing just too much dancing at times and getting caught behind the LOS. If they wanted to work up a formula to work in the losses and stuffs AND the successful runs, then fine but that first part of their ranking just seems too negative.* Losses: 120% value
* 0-4 Yards: 100% value
* 5-10 Yards: 50% value
* 11+ Yards: 0% value
Nowhere near Barry but I would guess Chris Johnson had a good number of losses AND runs over 11 yards.
I'm wondering if their "power rank" is off. Lendale led the AFC in rushing TDs and they punched thru a ton of 3rd and 4th down runs for firsts. 26th seems far too low which leads me to guess something is off.
I don't see any reason to their power success data/formula is off. Here is their definition for power success:We have enough data amassed that we can try to separate the effect that the running back has on a particular play from the effect of the offensive line (and other offensive blockers) and the effect of the defense. A team might have two running backs in its stable: RB A, who averages 3.0 yards per carry, and RB B, who averages 3.5 yards per carry. Who is the better back? Imagine that RB A doesn't just average 3.0 yards per carry, but gets exactly 3 yards on every single carry, while RB B has a highly variable yardage output: sometimes 5 yards, sometimes -2 yards, sometimes 20 yards. The difference in variability between the runners can be exploited to not only determine the difference between the runners, but the effect the offensive line has on every running play.
We know that at some point in every long running play, the running back has gotten past all of his offensive line blocks. From here on, the rest of the play is dependent on the runner's own speed and elusiveness, combined with the speed and tackling ability of the defensive players. If Tiki Barber breaks through the line for 50 yards, avoiding tacklers all the way to the goal line, his offensive line has done a great job -- but they aren't responsible for most of that run. How much are they responsible for?
For each running back carry, we calculated the probability that the back involved would run for the specific yardage on that play, based on that back's average yardage per carry and the variability of their yardage on every play. We also calculated the probability that the offense would get the yardage based on the team's rushing average and variability without the back involved in the play, and the probability that the defense would give up the specific amount of yardage based on its average rushing yards allowed per carry and variability. For example, based on his rushing average and variability, the probability in 2004 that Tiki Barber would have a positive carry was 80% while the probability that Giants would have a positive carry without Barber running was only 73%.
Yardage ends up falling into roughly the following combinations: Losses, 0-4 yards, 5-10 yards, and 11+ yards. In general, the offensive line is 20% more responsible for lost yardage than it is for yardage gained up to four yards, but 50% less responsible for yardage gained from 5-10 yards, and not responsible for yardage past that. Thus, the creation of Adjusted Line Yards.
Adjusted Line Yards take every carry by a running back and apply those percentages. (We don't include carries by receivers, which are usually based on deception rather than straight blocking, or carries by quarterbacks, which are generally busted passing plays except in Atlanta.) Those numbers are then adjusted based on down, distance, and situation as well as opponent (similar to DVOA) and then normalized so that the league average for Adjusted Line Yards per carry is the same as the league average for RB yards per carry (currently, we use 4.08).
Runs are listed by the NFL in seven different directions: left/right end, left/right tackle, left/right guard, and middle. Further research showed no statistically significant difference between how well a team performed on runs listed middle, left guard, and right guard, so we also list runs separated into five different directions. Note that there may not be a statistically significant difference between right tackle and middle/guard either, but until we can research further (and for the sake of symmetry) we do still split out runs behind the right tackle separately.
The system is far from perfect. We don't know when a guard is pulling and when a guard is blocking straight ahead. We know that some runners are just inherently better going up the middle, and some are better going side to side, and we can't measure how much that impacts these numbers. We have no way of knowing the blocking contribution made by fullbacks, tight ends, or wide receivers.
Power success measures the success of specific running plays rather than the distance. This number represents how often a running attempt on third or fourth down, with two yards or less to go, achieved a first down or touchdown. Since quarterback sneaks, unlike scrambles, are heavily dependent on the offensive line, this percentage does include runs by all players, not just running backs. This is the only stat given that includes quarterback runs. It is not adjusted based on game situation or opponent.
Well, a big factor in having more rushing yards, rushing TDs, and rushing first downs is that the Titans ran the ball 508 times compared to Denver's 387. The FO formula is an average per attempt.And I'm not sure why you say the Titans had a higher average per carry... they didn't. Denver was #3 in the league, averaging 4.8 ypc... the Titans averaged 4.3 ypc, tied for #10 in the league.As per Denver vs Titans, (same in sacks above IMO discounting FO formula) Titans had more rush yards, more rushing TDs, more first downs rushing, and a higher average per carry BUT that formula scores Denver 16 spots ahead of the Titans. Sure seems to me like if a team is ahead in all those categories they should fare better in a ranking. In the least, they should be far closer. 17 is a shade past middle of the league and .....it just doesn't fit.
Inspiration said:Interesting. I disagree with some of your selections; I don't think Arizona's line is worthy of even a top-10 consideration. In no particular order, I would probably go with Tennessee, Denver, New York Giants, New England, and Carolina.
I dont think so either. The run game was adequate... good at best. But was never dominating in any way.I'd say they are an average to slightly better than average line. This would place thim around 12-15.Whaat? I was critical of the trade so I'm not just some bitter Bills fan. But even when Peters was at the top of his game in 06-07 he was never a great run-blocker. His protection is what made him a pro-bowler.There seem to be plenty of pretty good o-lines in the NFL at the moment so narrowing it down to a top-5 is tough.I'd say:1. Eagles, they were solid last year and only got better. Peters may have given up a higher sack count, but he's the best run-blocking OT in the NFL, also most of his sacks are due to having to cover for Dockery who was awfu(and cut)l last year. If Shawn Andrews is back to form than its a sizable drop off to 2nd place.
Last season Peters was the best run blocking tackle(maybe o-lineman in general) in the NFL. He had something like a 95% success rate at the point of attack. KC Joyner had a big article about it right after the trade when people were bringing up the sacks Peters had given up.Whaat? I was critical of the trade so I'm not just some bitter Bills fan. But even when Peters was at the top of his game in 06-07 he was never a great run-blocker. His protection is what made him a pro-bowler.There seem to be plenty of pretty good o-lines in the NFL at the moment so narrowing it down to a top-5 is tough.I'd say:1. Eagles, they were solid last year and only got better. Peters may have given up a higher sack count, but he's the best run-blocking OT in the NFL, also most of his sacks are due to having to cover for Dockery who was awfu(and cut)l last year. If Shawn Andrews is back to form than its a sizable drop off to 2nd place.
Atlanta: #10 in run blocking, #5 in pass blockingFootball Outsiders 2008 OL rankingsBri said:Titans-Giants I'm neither here nor there on. Why would you put Denver or Carolina above the Titans?Balco said:In no particular order:
Giants
Panthers
Broncos - Really underrated. I don't think Ryan Clady got enough credit for his monster rookie year. 1/2 a sack. He was a rookie left tackle. Wow.
Tennessee - Solid set of bookends at tackle
Eaglesenver: #1 in run blocking, #4 in pass blocking
Carolina: #7 in run blocking, #9 in pass blocking
Tennessee: #17 in run blocking, #3 in pass blocking
By FO's ranking system, Denver's OL was easily the best last year.
the last point is just an oops on my part, you're correct. Looking across at a stats page my eyes must have wound up at the team above in the chart.I've thought about this some more and I really don't like their formula one bit. I think they're trying a little too hard and it needs to be slimmed down. Not so dissimilar to how some feel about QB rating. The bottom-line for me is, there is no way the Titans should be 17th. Your formula has issues if they are. I mean you can pick a stat that you think denotes a top OL and they had it in 2008. When they combine the stats, then the Titans suffer....it's just not a good formula IMO.I don't agree at all that the Broncos were better. Aside from what I mentioned above, if you want to discuss per attempt versus total attempts ...not sure what we'll gain anything. I guess the Titans had more confidence in their run game (and the benefits of it) than the Broncos. (Yes similarly this could be flip flopped with Broncos having more confidence in passing) I would also blame lack of rushing attempts on Broncos poor D and not having a lead to run out the clock. There could be plenty of reasons given. However, I don't think you discount that a team didn't something well often, versus a team that did something well sparingly. (sparingly might be poor choice of words-121 less times) If a team does anything 121 times well, they deserve credit for it.So if I've got this figured correctly, that formula minimizes 121 more rushes AND omits any run over 11 yards. If that were done here and we were just debating Broncos vs Titans line, someone would say that they are making the numbers read a certain way to prove a point and not taking them at face value.Well, a big factor in having more rushing yards, rushing TDs, and rushing first downs is that the Titans ran the ball 508 times compared to Denver's 387. The FO formula is an average per attempt.And I'm not sure why you say the Titans had a higher average per carry... they didn't. Denver was #3 in the league, averaging 4.8 ypc... the Titans averaged 4.3 ypc, tied for #10 in the league.As per Denver vs Titans, (same in sacks above IMO discounting FO formula) Titans had more rush yards, more rushing TDs, more first downs rushing, and a higher average per carry BUT that formula scores Denver 16 spots ahead of the Titans. Sure seems to me like if a team is ahead in all those categories they should fare better in a ranking. In the least, they should be far closer. 17 is a shade past middle of the league and .....it just doesn't fit.
On the subject of the disparity between the number of rushing attempts between the Broncos and Titans, I think it had much more to do with the following factors than with the teams' respective confidence in their running games:1. The Broncos having a much better passing game than the Titans.2. The Titans having a much better defense than the Broncos.3. The Broncos having several RBs injured over the course of the season.Measuring effectiveness is the goal of the FO formula... not measuring production. The Broncos' 4.8 ypc blows away the Titans' 4.3 ypc... to some extent, that is no doubt because the factors above caused defenses facing the Broncos to focus on the pass, providing more favorable running situations, whereas Titans opponents focused on stopping the run. But it's a huge gap, nevertheless, especially when considering they had to do it with so many RBs. Just looking at the ypc gap, IMO it would be hard to say the Titans were more effective running the ball.the last point is just an oops on my part, you're correct. Looking across at a stats page my eyes must have wound up at the team above in the chart.I've thought about this some more and I really don't like their formula one bit. I think they're trying a little too hard and it needs to be slimmed down. Not so dissimilar to how some feel about QB rating. The bottom-line for me is, there is no way the Titans should be 17th. Your formula has issues if they are. I mean you can pick a stat that you think denotes a top OL and they had it in 2008. When they combine the stats, then the Titans suffer....it's just not a good formula IMO.I don't agree at all that the Broncos were better. Aside from what I mentioned above, if you want to discuss per attempt versus total attempts ...not sure what we'll gain anything. I guess the Titans had more confidence in their run game (and the benefits of it) than the Broncos. (Yes similarly this could be flip flopped with Broncos having more confidence in passing) I would also blame lack of rushing attempts on Broncos poor D and not having a lead to run out the clock. There could be plenty of reasons given. However, I don't think you discount that a team didn't something well often, versus a team that did something well sparingly. (sparingly might be poor choice of words-121 less times) If a team does anything 121 times well, they deserve credit for it.So if I've got this figured correctly, that formula minimizes 121 more rushes AND omits any run over 11 yards. If that were done here and we were just debating Broncos vs Titans line, someone would say that they are making the numbers read a certain way to prove a point and not taking them at face value.Well, a big factor in having more rushing yards, rushing TDs, and rushing first downs is that the Titans ran the ball 508 times compared to Denver's 387. The FO formula is an average per attempt.And I'm not sure why you say the Titans had a higher average per carry... they didn't. Denver was #3 in the league, averaging 4.8 ypc... the Titans averaged 4.3 ypc, tied for #10 in the league.As per Denver vs Titans, (same in sacks above IMO discounting FO formula) Titans had more rush yards, more rushing TDs, more first downs rushing, and a higher average per carry BUT that formula scores Denver 16 spots ahead of the Titans. Sure seems to me like if a team is ahead in all those categories they should fare better in a ranking. In the least, they should be far closer. 17 is a shade past middle of the league and .....it just doesn't fit.
I'm not saying FO's formula is perfect. But what is better for measuring effectiveness? I'd love to see some better methods to measure OL performance, so let's hear it if there are better formulas/methods out there.As for FO trying to "make the numbers read a certain way to prove a point," what would be their rationale for that? 
For the last part-I didn't say FO, I said if someone had posted that here, it wasn't so....I stand by my rationale that if the Titans were 17th the formula is not a good one.On the subject of the disparity between the number of rushing attempts between the Broncos and Titans, I think it had much more to do with the following factors than with the teams' respective confidence in their running games:1. The Broncos having a much better passing game than the Titans.2. The Titans having a much better defense than the Broncos.3. The Broncos having several RBs injured over the course of the season.Measuring effectiveness is the goal of the FO formula... not measuring production. The Broncos' 4.8 ypc blows away the Titans' 4.3 ypc... to some extent, that is no doubt because the factors above caused defenses facing the Broncos to focus on the pass, providing more favorable running situations, whereas Titans opponents focused on stopping the run. But it's a huge gap, nevertheless, especially when considering they had to do it with so many RBs. Just looking at the ypc gap, IMO it would be hard to say the Titans were more effective running the ball.the last point is just an oops on my part, you're correct. Looking across at a stats page my eyes must have wound up at the team above in the chart.I've thought about this some more and I really don't like their formula one bit. I think they're trying a little too hard and it needs to be slimmed down. Not so dissimilar to how some feel about QB rating. The bottom-line for me is, there is no way the Titans should be 17th. Your formula has issues if they are. I mean you can pick a stat that you think denotes a top OL and they had it in 2008. When they combine the stats, then the Titans suffer....it's just not a good formula IMO.I don't agree at all that the Broncos were better. Aside from what I mentioned above, if you want to discuss per attempt versus total attempts ...not sure what we'll gain anything. I guess the Titans had more confidence in their run game (and the benefits of it) than the Broncos. (Yes similarly this could be flip flopped with Broncos having more confidence in passing) I would also blame lack of rushing attempts on Broncos poor D and not having a lead to run out the clock. There could be plenty of reasons given. However, I don't think you discount that a team didn't something well often, versus a team that did something well sparingly. (sparingly might be poor choice of words-121 less times) If a team does anything 121 times well, they deserve credit for it.So if I've got this figured correctly, that formula minimizes 121 more rushes AND omits any run over 11 yards. If that were done here and we were just debating Broncos vs Titans line, someone would say that they are making the numbers read a certain way to prove a point and not taking them at face value.Well, a big factor in having more rushing yards, rushing TDs, and rushing first downs is that the Titans ran the ball 508 times compared to Denver's 387. The FO formula is an average per attempt.And I'm not sure why you say the Titans had a higher average per carry... they didn't. Denver was #3 in the league, averaging 4.8 ypc... the Titans averaged 4.3 ypc, tied for #10 in the league.As per Denver vs Titans, (same in sacks above IMO discounting FO formula) Titans had more rush yards, more rushing TDs, more first downs rushing, and a higher average per carry BUT that formula scores Denver 16 spots ahead of the Titans. Sure seems to me like if a team is ahead in all those categories they should fare better in a ranking. In the least, they should be far closer. 17 is a shade past middle of the league and .....it just doesn't fit.I'm not saying FO's formula is perfect. But what is better for measuring effectiveness? I'd love to see some better methods to measure OL performance, so let's hear it if there are better formulas/methods out there.As for FO trying to "make the numbers read a certain way to prove a point," what would be their rationale for that? <_<
Hang on let me tweet to CJ that the run game is getting dissed by alot of people.... Good. I love it when the Titans get no credit. We just play that much harder.For the last part-I didn't say FO, I said if someone had posted that here, it wasn't so....I stand by my rationale that if the Titans were 17th the formula is not a good one.On the subject of the disparity between the number of rushing attempts between the Broncos and Titans, I think it had much more to do with the following factors than with the teams' respective confidence in their running games:1. The Broncos having a much better passing game than the Titans.2. The Titans having a much better defense than the Broncos.3. The Broncos having several RBs injured over the course of the season.Measuring effectiveness is the goal of the FO formula... not measuring production. The Broncos' 4.8 ypc blows away the Titans' 4.3 ypc... to some extent, that is no doubt because the factors above caused defenses facing the Broncos to focus on the pass, providing more favorable running situations, whereas Titans opponents focused on stopping the run. But it's a huge gap, nevertheless, especially when considering they had to do it with so many RBs. Just looking at the ypc gap, IMO it would be hard to say the Titans were more effective running the ball.the last point is just an oops on my part, you're correct. Looking across at a stats page my eyes must have wound up at the team above in the chart.I've thought about this some more and I really don't like their formula one bit. I think they're trying a little too hard and it needs to be slimmed down. Not so dissimilar to how some feel about QB rating. The bottom-line for me is, there is no way the Titans should be 17th. Your formula has issues if they are. I mean you can pick a stat that you think denotes a top OL and they had it in 2008. When they combine the stats, then the Titans suffer....it's just not a good formula IMO.I don't agree at all that the Broncos were better. Aside from what I mentioned above, if you want to discuss per attempt versus total attempts ...not sure what we'll gain anything. I guess the Titans had more confidence in their run game (and the benefits of it) than the Broncos. (Yes similarly this could be flip flopped with Broncos having more confidence in passing) I would also blame lack of rushing attempts on Broncos poor D and not having a lead to run out the clock. There could be plenty of reasons given. However, I don't think you discount that a team didn't something well often, versus a team that did something well sparingly. (sparingly might be poor choice of words-121 less times) If a team does anything 121 times well, they deserve credit for it.So if I've got this figured correctly, that formula minimizes 121 more rushes AND omits any run over 11 yards. If that were done here and we were just debating Broncos vs Titans line, someone would say that they are making the numbers read a certain way to prove a point and not taking them at face value.Well, a big factor in having more rushing yards, rushing TDs, and rushing first downs is that the Titans ran the ball 508 times compared to Denver's 387. The FO formula is an average per attempt.And I'm not sure why you say the Titans had a higher average per carry... they didn't. Denver was #3 in the league, averaging 4.8 ypc... the Titans averaged 4.3 ypc, tied for #10 in the league.As per Denver vs Titans, (same in sacks above IMO discounting FO formula) Titans had more rush yards, more rushing TDs, more first downs rushing, and a higher average per carry BUT that formula scores Denver 16 spots ahead of the Titans. Sure seems to me like if a team is ahead in all those categories they should fare better in a ranking. In the least, they should be far closer. 17 is a shade past middle of the league and .....it just doesn't fit.I'm not saying FO's formula is perfect. But what is better for measuring effectiveness? I'd love to see some better methods to measure OL performance, so let's hear it if there are better formulas/methods out there.As for FO trying to "make the numbers read a certain way to prove a point," what would be their rationale for that?
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