i am sorry i have taken so long to reply i tried to last night but my computer froze up and things just became frustrating. so i will introduce myself, and explain a few things about my list. first off donnybrook was right i was looking for just this type of thing. some heated debate about who is better and just getting into discussions not solely based on last years numbers (it helps me prepare anyway). i am not new to FFB i have been with my dad for about 4-5 years managing a team so i know a good bit about everything. the problem arises when i have to draft since he did most of it and i have started to just recently get my own teams but with a shortage of funds actual competition is hard to find. i am a lions fan by the way.
ok now to talk about this little list i made. when i looked at ADP i see a back that did not see alot of big hard grind it out games for him. mainly cause his oline kept him from seeing defenders for 7 yards a time. then when he had to really develop plays and not just follow blocks until he juked out a safety he did not seem to do very well. that and the fact that year 2 in the NFL does not bode well for RBs look at last year whether it was injuries or other circumstances bush, MJD, and maroney did not perform nearly as well as expected.
as for lynch i just forgot his name and at the time did not feel like trying to find it. bush i just forgot about completely and honestly what has he done in the NFL to show he is worth the chosing so high. i think he has talent but i have not seen it translate to the NFL. turner has nothing down there to help him out. they might have a new QB, they might have a new LT. all we do know is that he has receivers that have trouble catching colds, and joe horn is getting older and with no one to throw to i highly question the offensive abililty of the falcons in general. so after hearing your opinions i am going to restructure my list a bit. please tell me your opinions of it i really enjoy reading everything everyone has posted.
#1. westbrook/ he may haev hit his ceiling last year but he did very well adn i think with a healthy mcnabb westbrook will get even more plays his way, cause when he scrambles effectively westbrook is normally not too far behind with a reception.
#2 LT/ with a healthy oline from the start he should be able to produce consistent #s all year
#3. willie parker/ they still have not found a consistent RZ threat it is FWP's chance to get a few carries in there and with a full season he should be better.
#4. steven jackson/ i am very concerned with his oline, if it stays healthy than he will be able to produce the #s we all expect if not then get ready for a repeat of last year
#5. marion barber/ dallas will probably draft felix jones and give barber alot of carries all while having a guy who can keep Ds off balance he should have a good year.
#6 AP/ second year a history of injuries and the question how long will that oline be able to give him clear sailing all the time, he should do very well i just think his explosions will be limited.
#7. MJD/ talyor's year was outshadowed by all the other stories last year, still fred is no spring chicken and i expect JAX to give him more carries so he will be ready to take over the lead.
#8 addai/ staying healthy is key for him as well but harrison's health will determine much of his success as well. addai should be fine but the colts are prime examples of pass first run second when it comes to the RZ.
#9 jamal lewis/ lewis was key in making anderson successful now they will share a symbiosis, with stallworth out there some focus should be taken off lewis but they will still have to establish him to succeed in any game they play next year.
#10. willis mcgahee/ if heap stays healthy they get a QB and the oline does not drop off too much he should have a pretty consistent good year.
#11. frank gore/ martz should open things up and not make gore theor only offensive weapon.
#12. larry johnson/ a maturing QB and receiver will help him out but they need new olinmen if they get long, johnson could be back on top, if not it could be a long season.
#13. ryan grant/ with favre gone the consistentcy of the passing game should drop off a bit and rogers will not have near the freedom favre did, it all adds up to him getting more carries.
#14. marshawn lynch/ hopefully he can get on a roll and get some successful games under his belt.
#15 deangelo williams/ i like him but apparently the panthers do not, if he gets at least 15 carries a game he should have a decent year i do not know if that will happen.
#16. reggie bush/ he is westbrook without the expereince, without the bulk, and very dependent on defenses that are unset so that he can run through chaos.
#17. clinton portis/ if zorn does not give up on the run, if betts does not steal his RZ carries at all, and if he stays healthy. then yeah he could have a very good year.
#18 brandon jacobs/ he should be pushed back to more of RBC role with more carries than when tiki was there but more RZ carries than last year he should be good.
#19. rudi johnson/ i am not so sure about him his team os rotting from the inside out and his success is questionable, but if he stays healthy than he should produce those reliable #s again.
#20. maroney/ without stallworth the pats will probably run more giving him the opportunity to succeed.
#21. cadillac williams/ not sure about his future he keeps getting injured and last year they managed without him. i think they could go to a RBC and not give caddy the chance to get hurt as much.
#22. justin fargas/ even if they get mcfadden fargas is still going to play a big role in their offense especially when he got a 1000 yards in almost no time, he should at least be a RZ target.
#23. travis henry/ injuries are a question and with the history of dever to go committee on everyone i would not put it past to see selvin young in the mix more next year.
#24. ronnie brown/ was very good behind a bad oline and got alot of good #s for a long time, but that can only last so long and if that line stays bad i do not expect to see the injury history.
thanks for your opinions i really do appreciate your ideas and this list is as much of a draft list as it is a prediction of who will do good next year. so please try not to base your opinion entirely on where they should get drafted but try to take into consideration the potential each back has. oh and it sounds a little silly but if someone could explain how bush is still valued so high that would be appreciated. i think he has good talent but i would not draft him until the third round. just me but a guy with speed and has to share carries ad has not produce great numbers just does not deserve alot of respect and consideration. i think he can develop but i just do not see it right now he is a little bit aways still. anyways thanks for your opinions i am anxious to hear what everyone has to say about my new list, this has been very helpful in collecting my thoughts, thanks.