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Week 11 RB's tough choices after the top 20 (1 Viewer)

dmac37

Footballguy
Who are you taking a chance on beyond the top 20 RB's this week? There are many tough choices due to bad matchups, RBBC, and injuries this week.

A few I like:

Hillis- I know the Denver RB's is playing with fire, but.... Denver is now a passing offense and Hillis is a great receiving option, good pass blocker, and goal line back. I'm not a Tatum Bellhop believer.

Betts- First off I don't see Portis suiting up this week. Washington is a running team and Dallas is about average vs the run. Betts has proven to produce when given the chance, also a good receiving option out of the backfield. Don't see SA stealing many looks.

R. Williams- Miami should run all day on the Raiders and there should be plenty for both Brown and Williams. Ricky has also looked better the last few weeks.

A top 20 list to use as a reference

1 Adrian Peterson at TB -

2 Matt Forte at GB -

3 Frank Gore vs. STL -

4 Michael Turner vs. DEN -

5 Brian Westbrook at CIN -

6 Marion Barber at WAS -

7 Chris Johnson at JAC -

8 DeAngelo Williams vs. DET -

9 Ronnie Brown vs. OAK -

10 Steve Slaton at IND -

11 Brandon Jacobs vs. BAL -

12 Marshawn Lynch vs. CLE -

13 LaDainian Tomlinson at PIT -

14 Tim Hightower at SEA -

15 Joseph Addai vs. HOU -

16 Willie Parker vs. SD -

17 Ryan Grant at CHI -

18 Larry Johnson vs. NO -

19 Jamal Lewis at BUF -

20 Deuce McAllister at KC -

 
Jon Stewart is back after being nicked up for the last couple weeks, and should see 10+ carries. Vs Detroit, 8 of those could be from inside the 5.

 
In a yardage heavy format (td = 30 yards) I am giving Antonio Pittman a shot. I suspect he'll carry the load in a game that they shouldn't get blown out of. I wouldn't be shocked to see 80-20-1.

 
I am rolling the dice on Willis, he is all i have left
I want to play Willis, still beleive in the Cam effect but I have been burned the last 2 weeks with the McGahee & Rice shuffle. Somebody state a case for Willis over Hillis or Betts :shrug:
 
I am rolling the dice on Willis, he is all i have left
I want to play Willis, still beleive in the Cam effect but I have been burned the last 2 weeks with the McGahee & Rice shuffle. Somebody state a case for Willis over Hillis or Betts :scared:
Sorry, I wish I could (at this point benching Willis for Bradley@ Flex). Giants run d just shut down Westbrook, who had a lock on the carries. I just don't think this week is good for Willis.
 
I think Jacobs will surprise against Baltimore's D. Baltimore has been tough against the run statistically, but they really haven't played alot of strong running teams.

They have played:

Cin (# 30 in rushing)

Cle (not much of a run...#21 in rushing)

Pit (w/o FWP and Mendenhall, his backup, and a OL were injured in game)

Ten (still relatively early into CJ's career, maybe not ready for a tough D?)

Ind (dead last in rushing)

Mia (#20 in rushing...pre-Wildcat I think)

Oak (Statistically strong...#9, but no other weapons let Baltimore stuff the box)

Cle (again)

Houston (middle of the pack...#17...another rookie RB)

Seems like their only true test was Tennessee so far and even though the are 9-0, I still think the Giants have a more balanced attack offensively.

I think the Giants have the weapons to open up Balt's D and Jacobs will have a big game. Probably not his best game, but probably much higher than most predictions.

At least thats how I am rationalizing starting him over Kevin Smith this week.

 
I think Jacobs will surprise against Baltimore's D. Baltimore has been tough against the run statistically, but they really haven't played alot of strong running teams.They have played:Cin (# 30 in rushing)Cle (not much of a run...#21 in rushing)Pit (w/o FWP and Mendenhall, his backup, and a OL were injured in game)Ten (still relatively early into CJ's career, maybe not ready for a tough D?)Ind (dead last in rushing)Mia (#20 in rushing...pre-Wildcat I think)Oak (Statistically strong...#9, but no other weapons let Baltimore stuff the box)Cle (again)Houston (middle of the pack...#17...another rookie RB)Seems like their only true test was Tennessee so far and even though the are 9-0, I still think the Giants have a more balanced attack offensively.I think the Giants have the weapons to open up Balt's D and Jacobs will have a big game. Probably not his best game, but probably much higher than most predictions.At least thats how I am rationalizing starting him over Kevin Smith this week.
I agree, especially with the balanced offense argument. Landry & McAllister being done, they will have to either lay a little more into coverage, or try to bring more pressure, which could be a mistake vs. the Giants O-line & deep-ball Burress. I don't see Baltimore playing 8 in the box, and Jacobs has O.K. stats, but wears heavily on the Raven defense. Ward and Bradshaw start getting bigger gains in the 2nd half.
 
Jerious Norwood. He has been doing some damage in the passing game in recent weeks. This week he is at home facing DEN. Turner should also have a good game, but Norwood could be a sneaky play.

 
Kevin Smith. Detroit will be down early, so he could have 6-7 catches to go w/ his 60 rushing yards & a probable TD.

I have to choose between Smith, LenWhale, & Hillis. Smith is the only one guaranteed 10+ touches.

 
I like J. Stewart as well this week. He should be able to cash in on at least one or two of the 4-5 Tds the Panthers score this week.

 
I dont know how healthy he is but you have to pick up Betts, he is the most valuable of the guys you mentioned and could have a big game against Dallas if he gets the call. If not then I like J. Stewart as well. He is actually probably a safer play than Betts but Betts would be the man where J. Stewart gets seconds.

 
I dont know how healthy he is but you have to pick up Betts, he is the most valuable of the guys you mentioned and could have a big game against Dallas if he gets the call. If not then I like J. Stewart as well. He is actually probably a safer play than Betts but Betts would be the man where J. Stewart gets seconds.
I have Betts, but I'm not sure his matchup plus having SA on the team equals more opportunity than what J. Stew will have vs the Lions.
 
I dont know how healthy he is but you have to pick up Betts, he is the most valuable of the guys you mentioned and could have a big game against Dallas if he gets the call. If not then I like J. Stewart as well. He is actually probably a safer play than Betts but Betts would be the man where J. Stewart gets seconds.
I have Betts, but I'm not sure his matchup plus having SA on the team equals more opportunity than what J. Stew will have vs the Lions.
The Washington/Dallas game should be close so I would be surprised if SA gets more than a couple of touches. As a Detroiter I pay a "little" attention to the Lions and it seems like they keep the road games closer than the home blowouts. J Stew may not be a slam dunk to get a lot of touches.
 
I dont know how healthy he is but you have to pick up Betts, he is the most valuable of the guys you mentioned and could have a big game against Dallas if he gets the call. If not then I like J. Stewart as well. He is actually probably a safer play than Betts but Betts would be the man where J. Stewart gets seconds.
I have Betts, but I'm not sure his matchup plus having SA on the team equals more opportunity than what J. Stew will have vs the Lions.
The Washington/Dallas game should be close so I would be surprised if SA gets more than a couple of touches. As a Detroiter I pay a "little" attention to the Lions and it seems like they keep the road games closer than the home blowouts. J Stew may not be a slam dunk to get a lot of touches.
Betts is a dangerous play IMO. He is coming off a knee injury, was limited in practice all week, has an average matchup at best and there is no reason to think he has a better grasp of the Washington offense than Alexander who played in a similar version of it in Seattle. Zorn probably has some faith in Alexander considering their history together.I know this may be Betts' only shot to produce this season and he is probably a more talented player than Alexander at this point in his career but Betts is not a special back either and fantasy players usually take a "show me something first" approach with players who have missed significant time due to injury and Betts should be no exception to that philosophy.ETA: Of your choices I would be more inclined to roll the dice on a guy like Hillis who, while likely having only average talent, is not injured, is definitely starting, is a good receiver in a pass heavy offense and will get the goal line rushes (something not guaranteed to Betts considering Alexander was one of the best in the league at finding the end zone from the goal line).I would also go with Williams over Betts. Ricky has a far better matchup and is easily the most talented of the three choices.
 
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In PPR, I like Chester Taylor - I am starting him in place of Portis and over Betts. Look for 5 catches or more if TB gets ahead.

 
am playing Betts and Willis over LenDale. Betts is an excellent runner in this system and a much better player (at this point) than SA. As long as Portis is out, I like the Betts matchup this week. As for Willis, it makes me nervous, but it's windy out there and the Ravens will need to run if they are going to have a shot in this game.

 
am playing Betts and Willis over LenDale. Betts is an excellent runner in this system and a much better player (at this point) than SA. As long as Portis is out, I like the Betts matchup this week. As for Willis, it makes me nervous, but it's windy out there and the Ravens will need to run if they are going to have a shot in this game.
I think benching the guy leading the NFL in TDs for a guy coming off a knee injury who hasn't played in four weeks is an ill considered decision.
 
cosjobs said:
cosjobs said:
I am going with LJ this week. Could be 50 points or 0. :wall:
I think LJ could have a very good week, but I'd have to sit Barber or Deuce to start him and I do not think I can do that.
Screw it, I'm sitting Deuce.But not for LJ - I'm going Antonio Bryant in the flex...
Doing sort of the same thing -- sitting LJ for Bryant. I think TB is going to struggle running vs MIN, so they will live and die by having to move the ball through the air. With Hilliard ailing, and galloway sucking, it's all up to Bryant.This could backfire as the D will really only need to key in on Bryant as the only surefire weapon. But LJ scares me this week with a touch count. Net net, I think I mitigate risk by going with the hot hand in Bryant, see what LJ has and how the team uses him before feeling comfortable starting him.
 

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