Week 7: Road teams look strong (1 Viewer)

[kupcho1]

Is it just me, or does it seem like a lot of road teams have a very good chance of winning this week?

(I'm talking straight up, not against the spread.)

ARI @ OAK

CAR @ CIN

DEN @ CLE

DET @ NYJ

GB @ MIA

JAX @ HOU

MIN @ SEA

NE @ BUF

NYG @ DAL

PHI @ TB

PIT @ ATL

SD @ KC

WAS @ IND

I don't think its out of the realm of possibility that all 13 road teams could win this week. Highly unlikely that it happens, but this week looks as good as any where it might. (Personally, I think 11 of 13 road teams will win this week, with SEA and IND holding serve. Probably too high, but what the hell.)

 

[Doug Drinen]

Useless trivia: the post-merger record for road wins in a week is 12 out of 14 in week one of 1983.

 

[Stompin' Tom Connors]

Useless trivia: the post-merger record for road wins in a week is 12 out of 14 in week one of 1983.

That the record occurred in week one of a season makes sense to me -- though teams have all of preseason to gel, they sometimes don't until the games mean something. There is no season gamefilm at that point, and it's hard to gameplan against an apposing team's tendencies if those tendencies are based on last year's performance.In week one of this season, we saw Baltimore blow apart TB, Indy beat the Giants, Minny outlast Washington, SD destroy Oakland, Chicago obliterate GB, Cincy beat KC, New Orleans beat Cleveland, Atlanta trounce Carolina, Philly beat Houston, the Jets beat Tennessee, and Seattle beat Detroit. Now the SD/OAK, PHI/HOU, and SEA/DET were fairly easy to see coming, though SEA barely escaped that game. The others weren't so easy to call, IMHO. It's my feeling that home team advantage really takes into effect once we're in the meat of the season, when despite how bad a team is, they have the chance to study opponents and what they've done in previous weeks. There is no "perceived" psychological value or strength of teams in week one as there is in later weeks when they have a record behind them.This week, I agree there may be more than a few road teams who win, but the only ones that look callable to me are JAX @ HOU, PHI @ TB, DEN @ CLE and ARI @ OAK (though it can be argued that ARI is deflated and OAK needs this win more).Cinci is due to bounce back after two straight losses.Detroit is coming into their own, offensively -- this could be a shootout.Miami ain't great, but it's not as if GB has won more games.Minny might give Seattle a run for its money, but despite the loss of personnel and injury, SEA is a strong 4-1.NE/BUF, NYG/DAL and SD/KC are all the kinds of tough divisional games that are tough to call either way.Atlanta will play a schizophrenic PIT team very tough at home.Sure, Indy's defense is anemic, but they are unbeaten at this point.

 

[kupcho1]

Useless trivia: the post-merger record for road wins in a week is 12 out of 14 in week one of 1983.

Not useless at all. Although with 14 games then vs. 13 this week, a percentage comparison might be in order (depending on road wins this week).

 

[Stompin' Tom Connors]

Bumping just to close the circle.

At best, road teams win 42% of the games this week.

 

[kupcho1]

Bumping just to close the circle.At best, road teams win 42% of the games this week.

The correct answer was 5.

 

[Stompin' Tom Connors]

Bumping just to close the circle.At best, road teams win 42% of the games this week.

The correct answer was 5.

I was off by one game in terms of the percentage prediction.As for calling which road games those were...not so good. I went 1/4 out of the games I thought the road team would win.Wow, talking about closing the circle. What made you bump this again?

 

[kupcho1]

Bumping just to close the circle.At best, road teams win 42% of the games this week.

The correct answer was 5.

I was off by one game in terms of the percentage prediction.As for calling which road games those were...not so good. I went 1/4 out of the games I thought the road team would win.Wow, talking about closing the circle. What made you bump this again?

 

[Stompin' Tom Connors]

Bumping just to close the circle.At best, road teams win 42% of the games this week.

The correct answer was 5.

I was off by one game in terms of the percentage prediction.As for calling which road games those were...not so good. I went 1/4 out of the games I thought the road team would win.Wow, talking about closing the circle. What made you bump this again?