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weekly insight from yahoo (1 Viewer)

Kool-Aid Larry

Footballguy
here's the claim

Beware of running backs playing in hot weather. When the temperature is above 80 degrees, the top 32 RBs from 2013 average 26% fewer fantasy points than their historical weekly average
 
Interesting and worth noting. Doug Martin and Shane Vereen are in hot ones.

Almost the entire league is looking at mid 70s or above. Dome RBs get a bump early in the year? Something I'll keep an eye on this year.

Could give a few pts advantage in DFS games.

 
I wonder if there are possibly some other factors at play here that aren't being taken into account. I'm sure weather has an effect but a 26% reduction from the average seems like a bit much. Either way, I can't wait to see Vereen's stats after this week and go "..and that was with a 26% reduction?! STUD!".

 
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I wonder if there are possibly some other factors at play here that aren't being taken into account. I'm sure weather has an effect but a 26% reduction from the average seems like a bit much. Either way, I can't wait to see Vereen's stats after this week and go "..and that was with a 26% reduction?! STUD!".
Did you know that Matt Flynn threw for over 400 yards and 6 TDs when he wears the colors green and yellow, but he sucks when he wears any other teams colors?

 
should we count ppr backs?
What would be the difference between Ridley getting 15 carries and Vereen getting 15 touches as it pertains to the weather?
'cuz in ppr you get a point for a catch, but not a carry, and this weekly insight didn't include receivers.

anyway, I'm still using it on vereen after the game to pimp him up whether he puts up numbers or not.
Yeah, I'm not buying that only the RB is going to affected by hotter weather. I also don't believe correlation implies causation here but it's all very interesting non the less.

 
Makes sense.

I'd assume there's a corresponding increase in the amount of touches that go to the subs vs an average, cooler week. When you exert in the heat, you lose fluids faster, and need to be subbed for quicker and more often. :shrug:

Logically, I wouldn't think there'd be much decrease in production per touch. Just fewer touches.

 
Not that I don't believe it...but my first question is how does it handle players like Jennings or Donald Brown, where the first couple weeks (where temp is more likely to be above 80) they were playing a minor role and then become major contributors.

My 2nd question is then how many games last year involved a temp over 80?

 
Guessing a couple different factors can be at play here. How does the average early season performance compare to the season average? My assumption is that it is lower based on things like rust, new situations, OL coming together, new offenses, etc. And if that's the case, then you have the simple fact that hot games are more likely to take place earlier in the season, when more areas of the country face higher temperatures.

 

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