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Weekly Point Spreads (pick six) (1 Viewer)

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Footballguy
Jets at Pats -12
Chargers at Eagles -9
Browns at Ravens -7
Titans at Texans -9
Dolphins at Colts -3
Panthers -3 at Bills
Rams at Falcons -7
Redskins at Packers -7.5
Cowboys at Chiefs -3
Vikings at Bears -6.5
Saints -4 at Bucs
Lions -2.5 at Cardinals
Jaguars at Raiders -6
Broncos -5.5 at Giants
Niners at Seahawks -2.5
Steelers at Bengals -7

Same rules as last week - have to pick six games. The Thursday game cannot be picked in my game, but I included it here so all lines can be discussed. The dogs won out week 1, and I'm leaning towards some dogs again.

Top 4 ("lock" picks)

CLEVELAND +7 at Baltimore - Baltimore has a longer break, but I really don't think they are good. I have them down for an 8-8 season overall, and I think they will be over-valued in lines because they won the Super Bowl last year.

NO -4 at Tampa Bay - I'm also very down on the Bucs this season, and last week certainly didn't change my mind. I don't pick many road favorites, but I like the Saints to win by double digits in this one.

ARIZONA +2.5 vs Detroit - Detroit still looks undisciplined and mistake prone. I think Arizona, with Carson Palmer, is a pretty good team. I would absolutely bet the ML in single tickets and in some parlays if I were in Vegas this weekend.

JACKSONVILLE +6 at Oakland - Last week, I said I expect the Jaguars to be undervalued early. Then they got murdered by the Chiefs. So...they aren't good. But...seriously, Oakland cannot give six points to anyone.

Next 3 (under consideration)

Tennessee +9 at Houston - mainly playing the short week/big line angle here, but not a lot of confidence in it.

Cincinnati -7 vs Pittsburgh - injury bug already rampant in Steel-town. Bengals D-line should dominate. I'd be all over this at 6.5, but the 7 put a push in play.

KC -3 vs. Dallas - keep an eye out for any updates on Romo, but I expect the Cowboys to be very quiet this week. Arrowhead!
 
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i like the Saints and Colts.

- Saints even with the intra-division make up of the game here should win by more than a FG based on what we saw last Sunday.

- Colts have more ways to beat Miami than Cleveland did. The margin of victory reflects this.

 
Washington. GB D is softer than butter on a hot summer day. No way this game ends more than a TD either way.

 
Washington. GB D is softer than butter on a hot summer day. No way this game ends more than a TD either way.
i agree with that but the skins secondary is terrible. rogers will pick them apart all day and im not expecting griffin to come out looking much better than he did against the iggles

my plays this week are on the saints but i see that line climbing, and possibly playing the low on the carolina game. i will also take the jets if the line keeps climbing for the pats

 
Jets look good getting 12 against a depleted NE offense.

I can't believe I just typed that...

 
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Jets look good getting 12 against a depleted NE offense.

I can't believe I just typed that...
bradys options are running thin and i think the jets defense can contain them quite well. if the jets can manage somehow to get an early td its gona be hard for the pats to catch up

 
Rams +7 all day long. Rams d-line is going to be all over Ryan. Having a gimpy Roddy and molasses SJax won't help either. For the Rams, Cook and Austin are going to light it up.

 
Jets look good getting 12 against a depleted NE offense.

I can't believe I just typed that...
I'd absolutely be on the Jets if I could use the Thursday night game. I appreciate Brady's greatness, but there is nobody else left on that offense. The Jets will keep this game within 10 points.

 
Bucs +4 (NO is not the same team on the road and outside)

Cards + 2 1/2 (same for the Lions; Arizona wins this one)

Jags +6 (neither of these teams is good enough to lay 6, so take the dog: Henne will help the Jags O, too)

 
I'm -1 after week 1. (Rams for 4 units.Cowboys for 3 units.Texans for 2 units.Lions for 2 units)

I'll double up on the Lions for 4 units - that wasn't a fluke what they did to the Vikings. Very balanced run/pass offense.

I'll take the 9ers on the road getting 2.5 from anybody - 2 units.

Giants getting 5.5 at home. Won't be a Broncos cakewalk many are expecting. - 3 units.

And my "just cuz" is the Jags getting 6 from the Raiders. 3 units. Jags offense is pathetic but it's not that pathetic - Henne gets the nod.

 
Jets look good getting 12 against a depleted NE offense.

I can't believe I just typed that...
I'd absolutely be on the Jets if I could use the Thursday night game. I appreciate Brady's greatness, but there is nobody else left on that offense. The Jets will keep this game within 10 points.
I want to be on board with this, but my question is more about the Pats' D. I know the O will kind of meander toward 24 or so points. But will the Pats be able to keep the Jets down to 13? I just didn't get a good enough feel about them from week 1.

 
Rams +7 all day long. Rams d-line is going to be all over Ryan. Having a gimpy Roddy and molasses SJax won't help either. For the Rams, Cook and Austin are going to light it up.
I'd go with it at +7.5, but as high as I am on the Rams this year, I'm still a bit gunshy on betting against a perennial power.

 
Rams +7 all day long. Rams d-line is going to be all over Ryan. Having a gimpy Roddy and molasses SJax won't help either. For the Rams, Cook and Austin are going to light it up.
I'd go with it at +7.5, but as high as I am on the Rams this year, I'm still a bit gunshy on betting against a perennial power.
Rams are going to win the game out right. The Falcons will have no answer for the Rams pass rush and their D won't be able to cover Cook, Austin, Givens and Quick. Sam will torch them

 
Rams +7 all day long. Rams d-line is going to be all over Ryan. Having a gimpy Roddy and molasses SJax won't help either. For the Rams, Cook and Austin are going to light it up.
I'd go with it at +7.5, but as high as I am on the Rams this year, I'm still a bit gunshy on betting against a perennial power.
Rams are going to win the game out right. The Falcons will have no answer for the Rams pass rush and their D won't be able to cover Cook, Austin, Givens and Quick. Sam will torch them
I agree with your assessment of Rams O vs. Falcons D, but can't follow you there re: the Rams D vs. Falcons O. Matt Ryan has multiple answers for the Rams pass rush.

 
Rams +7 all day long. Rams d-line is going to be all over Ryan. Having a gimpy Roddy and molasses SJax won't help either. For the Rams, Cook and Austin are going to light it up.
I'd go with it at +7.5, but as high as I am on the Rams this year, I'm still a bit gunshy on betting against a perennial power.
Rams are going to win the game out right. The Falcons will have no answer for the Rams pass rush and their D won't be able to cover Cook, Austin, Givens and Quick. Sam will torch them
I agree with your assessment of Rams O vs. Falcons D, but can't follow you there re: the Rams D vs. Falcons O. Matt Ryan has multiple answers for the Rams pass rush.
Roddy is gimpy, and SJax looks slow as a turtle. Gonzo will do some damage in the middle.

 
Rams +7 all day long. Rams d-line is going to be all over Ryan. Having a gimpy Roddy and molasses SJax won't help either. For the Rams, Cook and Austin are going to light it up.
I'd go with it at +7.5, but as high as I am on the Rams this year, I'm still a bit gunshy on betting against a perennial power.
Rams are going to win the game out right. The Falcons will have no answer for the Rams pass rush and their D won't be able to cover Cook, Austin, Givens and Quick. Sam will torch them
I agree with your assessment of Rams O vs. Falcons D, but can't follow you there re: the Rams D vs. Falcons O. Matt Ryan has multiple answers for the Rams pass rush.
I'm also basing that on a fierce pass rush. True, their weapons are great, but if Ryan is under constant duress, that changes things. And he will be

 
bulger2holt said:
Rams +7 all day long. Rams d-line is going to be all over Ryan. Having a gimpy Roddy and molasses SJax won't help either. For the Rams, Cook and Austin are going to light it up.
I'd go with it at +7.5, but as high as I am on the Rams this year, I'm still a bit gunshy on betting against a perennial power.
Rams are going to win the game out right. The Falcons will have no answer for the Rams pass rush and their D won't be able to cover Cook, Austin, Givens and Quick. Sam will torch them
I agree with your assessment of Rams O vs. Falcons D, but can't follow you there re: the Rams D vs. Falcons O. Matt Ryan has multiple answers for the Rams pass rush.
Roddy is gimpy, and SJax looks slow as a turtle. Gonzo will do some damage in the middle.
sjax threw on the burners last week looked 3 years younger

 
Line updates (using http://www.sportsbook.ag/livesports/football):

NE -12 to NE -11.5

Phi from -9 to -8 (might put this one in play - SD late Monday/cross country/new offense to scheme for...blowout potential)

Hou from -9 to -9.5

I thought Seattle would move to -3 by now, but it hasn't. I will really think about it at -2.5.

 
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Jets at Pats -12
Chargers at Eagles -9
Browns at Ravens -7
Titans at Texans -9
Dolphins at Colts -3
Panthers -3 at Bills
Rams at Falcons -7
Redskins at Packers -7.5
Cowboys at Chiefs -3
Vikings at Bears -6.5
Saints -4 at Bucs
Lions -2.5 at Cardinals
Jaguars at Raiders -6
Broncos -5.5 at Giants
Niners at Seahawks -2.5
Steelers at Bengals -7
Chargers +8. I was impressed by Rivers in week 1, aside from the INT. His passes were extremely accurate.

Dolphins +3. Tannehill looked pretty good while the run game did not. Indy's defense isn't good and their o-line is questionable. I think Miami might win this one, but I definitely expect it to be close.

Packers -7.5. They are going to crush the Skins.

Cowboys +3. I don't believe in the Chiefs yet. Dallas D looks legit.

Saints -4. Easy W for the Saints.

Cards +2.5. The Lions almost lost to Ponder while the Palmer to Fitz connection looked solid. Zona has a good D, too.

Edit: changed Chargers from +9 to +8

 
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Jets at Pats -12
Chargers at Eagles -9
Browns at Ravens -7
Titans at Texans -9
Dolphins at Colts -3
Panthers -3 at Bills
Rams at Falcons -7
Redskins at Packers -7.5
Cowboys at Chiefs -3
Vikings at Bears -6.5
Saints -4 at Bucs
Lions -2.5 at Cardinals
Jaguars at Raiders -6
Broncos -5.5 at Giants
Niners at Seahawks -2.5
Steelers at Bengals -7
Chargers +8. I was impressed by Rivers in week 1, aside from the INT. His passes were extremely accurate.

Dolphins +3. Tannehill looked pretty good while the run game did not. Indy's defense isn't good and their o-line is questionable. I think Miami might win this one, but I definitely expect it to be close.

Packers -7.5. They are going to crush the Skins.

Cowboys +3. I don't believe in the Chiefs yet. Dallas D looks legit.

Saints -4. Easy W for the Saints.

Cards +2.5. The Lions almost lost to Ponder while the Palmer to Fitz connection looked solid. Zona has a good D, too.

Edit: changed Chargers from +9 to +8
Yea, I think the Packers blow out the Redskins this week. The 'skins defense is suspect and RG3 had no offense whatsoever until the Eagles went into "prevent" and let him throw underneath for the last two quarters.

I see GB moving the pocket and making RG3 be mobile - where he clearly didn't look comfortable last week. The Packers did a fantastic job of moving Kaep off the spot last week; unfortunately, Kaep torched them when throwing on the run or after being flushed to one side of the field. I don't think RG3 is going to be that capable on Sunday.

I would not be surprised to see GB win by 20+ and Lacy have the first Packer 100+ yard rushing effort in the last 3 years as they milk the clock after getting a large early lead.

 
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Jagsuars +6

Chargers +9

Giants +5.5

Bucs +4

Rams +7

Bills +3

Wow dogs all the way. Last week was brutal for me (1-4-1)? Still think the Bengals/Panthers/Giants were the right side (hopefully that stuff evens out in time). Steelers & Browns were pure whiffs.

 
Jets look good getting 12 against a depleted NE offense.

I can't believe I just typed that...
I'd absolutely be on the Jets if I could use the Thursday night game. I appreciate Brady's greatness, but there is nobody else left on that offense. The Jets will keep this game within 10 points.
I want to be on board with this, but my question is more about the Pats' D. I know the O will kind of meander toward 24 or so points. But will the Pats be able to keep the Jets down to 13? I just didn't get a good enough feel about them from week 1.
buf O = 14 pts

buf rb - 3.6 ypc

buf qb - 5.5 ypa

2 forced fumbles + very nearly a couple picks

think pats D was 2nd in to last year and 9th in points allowed

buf drives:

2 plays to

buf38 punt

buf22 punt

nep44 punt

3 and out

5 plays to

buf28 punt

td starting at nep37

td

buf40 punt

-2 yd drive

buf49 punt

3 and out

buf O crossed midfield twice in 13 possessions

jets O vs tb scored a legit 13 pts

geno 256/1/1

rb 2 ypc

tb D was 12th in to and 23rd in points allowed last year

 
Jets look good getting 12 against a depleted NE offense.

I can't believe I just typed that...
I'd absolutely be on the Jets if I could use the Thursday night game. I appreciate Brady's greatness, but there is nobody else left on that offense. The Jets will keep this game within 10 points.
I want to be on board with this, but my question is more about the Pats' D. I know the O will kind of meander toward 24 or so points. But will the Pats be able to keep the Jets down to 13? I just didn't get a good enough feel about them from week 1.
buf O = 14 pts

buf rb - 3.6 ypc

buf qb - 5.5 ypa

2 forced fumbles + very nearly a couple picks

think pats D was 2nd in to last year and 9th in points allowed

buf drives:

2 plays to

buf38 punt

buf22 punt

nep44 punt

3 and out

5 plays to

buf28 punt

td starting at nep37

td

buf40 punt

-2 yd drive

buf49 punt

3 and out

buf O crossed midfield twice in 13 possessions

jets O vs tb scored a legit 13 pts

geno 256/1/1

rb 2 ypc

tb D was 12th in to and 23rd in points allowed last year
wut?

 
Jets look good getting 12 against a depleted NE offense.

I can't believe I just typed that...
I'd absolutely be on the Jets if I could use the Thursday night game. I appreciate Brady's greatness, but there is nobody else left on that offense. The Jets will keep this game within 10 points.
Had a good read on the first game this week...too bad I couldn't use it in my contest. Lines for the contest locked last night, I'm on these six picks barring any late adjustments:

Cleveland +7 at Baltimore
NO -4 at Tampa Bay
Arizona +2.5 vs. Detroit
Jacksonville +6 at Oakland
Seattle -2.5 vs. San Francisco
Cincinnati -7 vs. Pittsburgh
 
Chargers at Eagles -9
Browns at Ravens -7 - Browns cover easily.
Titans at Texans -9
Dolphins at Colts -3 - Colts cover.
Panthers -3 at Bills
Rams at Falcons -7
Redskins at Packers -7.5
Cowboys at Chiefs -3
Vikings at Bears -6.5 - Bears cover easily.
Saints -4 at Bucs - Saints cover easily.
Lions -2.5 at Cardinals - Lions cover.
Jaguars at Raiders -6
Broncos -5.5 at Giants
Niners at Seahawks -2.5 - Seahawks cover.
Steelers at Bengals -7
 
Chargers +8. I was impressed by Rivers in week 1, aside from the INT. His passes were extremely accurate.

Dolphins +3. Tannehill looked pretty good while the run game did not. Indy's defense isn't good and their o-line is questionable. I think Miami might win this one, but I definitely expect it to be close.

Packers -7.5. They are going to crush the Skins.

Cowboys +3. I don't believe in the Chiefs yet. Dallas D looks legit.

Saints -4. Easy W for the Saints.

Cards +2.5. The Lions almost lost to Ponder while the Palmer to Fitz connection looked solid. Zona has a good D, too.
Damn it, Brees. Why'd you have to throw that pick 6? Should've been an easy W...

 
Chargers +8. I was impressed by Rivers in week 1, aside from the INT. His passes were extremely accurate.

Dolphins +3. Tannehill looked pretty good while the run game did not. Indy's defense isn't good and their o-line is questionable. I think Miami might win this one, but I definitely expect it to be close.

Packers -7.5. They are going to crush the Skins.

Cowboys +3. I don't believe in the Chiefs yet. Dallas D looks legit.

Saints -4. Easy W for the Saints.

Cards +2.5. The Lions almost lost to Ponder while the Palmer to Fitz connection looked solid. Zona has a good D, too.
Damn it, Brees. Why'd you have to throw that pick 6? Should've been an easy W...
or kicking a fg at 4th and 2 instead of pressing your luck with #### ingram

 
Bigboy10182000 said:
Where's the week 3 ones?
Thursday

Kansas City Chiefs (+3) at Philadelphia Eagles, 50.5

Sunday

San Diego Chargers (+3) at Tennessee Titans, 44

Cleveland Browns (+5) at Minnesota Vikings, 40.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) at New England Patriots, 44.5

Houston Texans (-2.5) at Baltimore Ravens, 44.5

St. Louis Rams (+4) at Dallas Cowboys, 47

Arizona Cardinals (+7.5) at New Orleans Saints, 48.5

Detroit Lions (+1.5) at Washington Redskins, 49

Green Bay Packers (-1) at Cincinnati Bengals, 48.5

New York Giants (+1.5) at Carolina Panthers, 45.5

Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) at Miami Dolphins, 44

Indianapolis Colts (+10.5) at San Francisco 49ers, 46

Jacksonville Jaguars (+19.5) at Seattle Seahawks, 40.5

Buffalo Bills (+2.5) at New York Jets, 39

Chicago Bears (-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers, 41

Monday

Oakland Raiders (+14.5) at Denver Broncos, 49.5

 
I don't like these games as much as last week. But if the rules are to pick 6 games...

San Diego Chargers (+3) at Tennessee Titans

Have not been impressed with the Titans offense, while I have been impressed with the Chargers offense. I don't think Tenn can keep up.

Houston Texans (-2.5) at Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore looks horrible. Houston had better be scared straight after the last two weeks. Play 60 minutes this week, please.

St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-4)

I feel most shaky about this one. How did the Cowboys lose to the Chiefs? I still think the Rams offense sucks.

Arizona Cardinals (+7.5) at New Orleans Saints

Feel pretty shaky about this one, too. But the Saints haven't been able to close one out yet, so I'll take the Cards here. Please be healthy, Fitz.

Green Bay Packers (-1) at Cincinnati Bengals

Easy.

New York Giants (+1.5) at Carolina Panthers

Are the Panthers favored? Can this be right?

Bonus:

Chicago Bears (-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Probably should've picked this one instead of the Cowboys. The Steelers look bad, but they might get Heath Miller back.

 
Thursday

Kansas City Chiefs (+3) at Philadelphia Eagles, 50.5

Sunday

San Diego Chargers (+3) at Tennessee Titans, 44

Cleveland Browns (+5) at Minnesota Vikings, 40.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) at New England Patriots, 44.5

Houston Texans (-2.5) at Baltimore Ravens, 44.5

St. Louis Rams (+4) at Dallas Cowboys, 47

Arizona Cardinals (+7.5) at New Orleans Saints, 48.5

Detroit Lions (+1.5) at Washington Redskins, 49

Green Bay Packers (-1) at Cincinnati Bengals, 48.5

New York Giants (+1.5) at Carolina Panthers, 45.5

Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) at Miami Dolphins, 44

Indianapolis Colts (+10.5) at San Francisco 49ers, 46

Jacksonville Jaguars (+19.5) at Seattle Seahawks, 40.5

Buffalo Bills (+2.5) at New York Jets, 39

Chicago Bears (-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers, 41

Monday

Oakland Raiders (+14.5) at Denver Broncos, 49.5

 
Cleveland Browns (+5) at Minnesota Vikings - Cleveland looks fairly bad right now. Their D should do okay, but will eventually break down.

Houston Texans (-2.5) at Baltimore Ravens - Texans have been underwhelming, but a field goal in overtime still covers the spread, right?

St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys, OVER 47 - Someone is reaching at least 30 and the other someone is reaching at least the mid 20s.

St. Louis Rams (+4) at Dallas Cowboys - Guess who I think will get 30?

Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) at Miami Dolphins - Dolphins have done well against a couple of patsies. Not believing they'll hold up against the Falcons, even with Roddy and Jackson down.

Indianapolis Colts (+10.5) at San Francisco 49ers - Niners will be out for blood, but I think the Colts have enough to keep it within ten. The hook is what sold me.

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets UNDER 39 - An absolute layup. 21-13 is the absolute ceiling for this game. The floor is even more abyssmal.

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos OVER 49.5 - Do I trust the Raiders to come up with 10 points? Yeah, they can manage that.
A whole lot of inconvenient hooks this week. Broncos giving 14 or Saints giving 7 would be good plays, but 14.5 and 7.5 makes me think the oddsmakers know what's up.

 
Bigboy10182000 said:
Where's the week 3 ones?
Thursday

Kansas City Chiefs (+3) at Philadelphia Eagles, 50.5

Sunday

San Diego Chargers (+3) at Tennessee Titans, 44

Cleveland Browns (+5) at Minnesota Vikings, 40.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) at New England Patriots, 44.5

Houston Texans (-2.5) at Baltimore Ravens, 44.5

St. Louis Rams (+4) at Dallas Cowboys, 47

Arizona Cardinals (+7.5) at New Orleans Saints, 48.5

Detroit Lions (+1.5) at Washington Redskins, 49

Green Bay Packers (-1) at Cincinnati Bengals, 48.5

New York Giants (+1.5) at Carolina Panthers, 45.5

Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) at Miami Dolphins, 44

Indianapolis Colts (+10.5) at San Francisco 49ers, 46

Jacksonville Jaguars (+19.5) at Seattle Seahawks, 40.5

Buffalo Bills (+2.5) at New York Jets, 39

Chicago Bears (-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers, 41

Monday

Oakland Raiders (+14.5) at Denver Broncos, 49.5
i only like Chicago and Minnesota this week. I think injuries are killing Pittsburgh while Chicago is clicking. Cleveland is starting Hoyer in Minnesota. the Vikes are not worldbeaters but they should be able to handle the Browns.

 
The updated lines from the site we use:

SD at Ten -3
Cle at Min -6
TB at NE -7
Hou at Bal +3
StL at Dal -4.5
Arz at NO -7.5
Det at Was -1.5
GB at Cinci +3
NYG at Car pk
Atl at Mia -2
Indy at SF -10.5
Jax at Sea -20
Buff at NYJ -2.5
Chi at Pitt +2.5
Oak at Den -15.5

First reaction to the lines:

Vikings -6 vs Browns - our lines close Thursday night...we'll see if it gets to 7. I'll take it at 6 or 6.5 but probably not at 7.

Cardinals +7.5 at Saints - Another one I'd drop if it moves to 7. I think Arizona is sneaky good, but I want to hear some good news about Fitzgerald.

Lions +1.5 at Washington team - Big passing day. Bell is fine if Bush can't go.

Bengals +3 vs Packers - I thought the Bengals looked good Monday night. I think they can slow down GB, so it's a question of them scoring enough points.

Dolphins -2 vs. Falcons - I'm up on Miami and down on Atlanta...so no problem on this line.

Steelers +2.5 vs Bears - I'm probably alone on this one since the Steelers don't look like a good team. I also don't like the Bears, so I'm going to ride the Steelers at home in a prime time game receiving points.
 
Jax at Sea -20
:lmao:

With an O/U of 40.5, that means Vegas is predicting a 10-point performance out of your Jacksonville Jaguars. How many years do you think it's been since Vegas gave any NFL team that little respect?

If the Jags' single-team line worked its way down to 9.5, I'd bet the under just so I could frame the betting slip.

 

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