Ghost Rider
Footballguy
My picks:
C.J. Spiller - I think Spiller is a great talent and is awesome to watch, especially once he gets in open space, but given that he is a mid first rounder is just about every mock draft right now, I just don't see him living up to that this year. Kevin Kolb as the Bills QB scares the hell out of me - if he couldn't produce with Larry Fitzgerald as his number 1 WR, how is gonna do it without him?. Ryan Fitzpatrick was erratic and turnover-happy, but at least he could move the ball all day and help the offense pile up yards. I am not convinced Kolb will be able to do the same, and if he doesn't, teams will jam the box to stop the running game and force Kolb to make them pay. I think Spiller is great enough to still fight through it and potentially be a top 12 RB, thanks to a handful of big games, but I just don't see him being the week in and week out stud that you expect out of a RB you take in the middle of the first round.
Ray Rice - The fact that he has slipped to the bottom of the first round in a lot of mock drafts tells me that a lot of people are also very nervous about this year, and there is much to be nervous about it: the Ravens passing game lost two big weapons, Bernard Pierce has looked great and will get plenty of touches and the Ravens look like a team that will suffer the dreaded Super Bowl hangover. I see Rice still having a solid season, but his days of being a top 5 fantasy RB might be over.
Cam Newton - His strong finish last year has many thinking he turned the corner as a passer and will take it to the next level, but I am not convinced. His threat as a runner always it possible for him to have good to great fantasy weeks even if he has a bad throwing day, so there is that, but I am just seeing him go as a top 5 QB in many mocks, and with the QB position so deep this year, I just don't see spending a top draft pick or a lot of auction money on a guy with his potential for inconsistency.
Brandon Marshall - Okay, I know Jay Cutler loves this guy and loves to throw him the ball all day and every day, but with a new coach in town, I think they will make a concerted effort to get other players more involved in the passing game on a regular basis. Marshall's numbers will still be damn good, but I think a lot of FF owners this year are gonna be left chasing last year's numbers.
Reggie Wayne - the Colts will still throw it a ton, but with the emergence of Ty Hilton, the TEs likely be used more and DHB possibly stepping up to be an occasional deep threat, I see Wayne's piece of the receiving pie in Indy not being nearly what it was last year. He wasn't nearly as productive in the second half of 2012 as he was in the first half, and I think that trend will continue in 2013.
C.J. Spiller - I think Spiller is a great talent and is awesome to watch, especially once he gets in open space, but given that he is a mid first rounder is just about every mock draft right now, I just don't see him living up to that this year. Kevin Kolb as the Bills QB scares the hell out of me - if he couldn't produce with Larry Fitzgerald as his number 1 WR, how is gonna do it without him?. Ryan Fitzpatrick was erratic and turnover-happy, but at least he could move the ball all day and help the offense pile up yards. I am not convinced Kolb will be able to do the same, and if he doesn't, teams will jam the box to stop the running game and force Kolb to make them pay. I think Spiller is great enough to still fight through it and potentially be a top 12 RB, thanks to a handful of big games, but I just don't see him being the week in and week out stud that you expect out of a RB you take in the middle of the first round.
Ray Rice - The fact that he has slipped to the bottom of the first round in a lot of mock drafts tells me that a lot of people are also very nervous about this year, and there is much to be nervous about it: the Ravens passing game lost two big weapons, Bernard Pierce has looked great and will get plenty of touches and the Ravens look like a team that will suffer the dreaded Super Bowl hangover. I see Rice still having a solid season, but his days of being a top 5 fantasy RB might be over.
Cam Newton - His strong finish last year has many thinking he turned the corner as a passer and will take it to the next level, but I am not convinced. His threat as a runner always it possible for him to have good to great fantasy weeks even if he has a bad throwing day, so there is that, but I am just seeing him go as a top 5 QB in many mocks, and with the QB position so deep this year, I just don't see spending a top draft pick or a lot of auction money on a guy with his potential for inconsistency.
Brandon Marshall - Okay, I know Jay Cutler loves this guy and loves to throw him the ball all day and every day, but with a new coach in town, I think they will make a concerted effort to get other players more involved in the passing game on a regular basis. Marshall's numbers will still be damn good, but I think a lot of FF owners this year are gonna be left chasing last year's numbers.
Reggie Wayne - the Colts will still throw it a ton, but with the emergence of Ty Hilton, the TEs likely be used more and DHB possibly stepping up to be an occasional deep threat, I see Wayne's piece of the receiving pie in Indy not being nearly what it was last year. He wasn't nearly as productive in the second half of 2012 as he was in the first half, and I think that trend will continue in 2013.
