what % of ALL TD's are scored from inside the 5? (1 Viewer)

[mr. furley]

something i've often wondered. it's a point that people bring up a lot in the SP "you can't draft X that high because Y takes all his goal-line carries"

well.... okay..... what exactly does that mean though?

is Y scoring 15 td's from inside the 5 while X gets one or two?

is Y getting 100 carries inside the 5-yard line?

just exactly how many lost opportunities are we talking here? should THAT much emphasis be put on an RB situation where there is a "goal-line back" of sorts (Barber/Jacobs or Taylor/Jones, etc.)?

 

[Snotbubbles]

I took all the rushing TDs by QBs, RBs, WRs inside the 2 yard line.

I came up with 180 out of 431 or 41.8% of all rushing TDs are scored inside the 2.

247 out of 431 or 57.3% of all rushing TDs are scored inside the 5.

NOTE: My numbers may be off slightly, but I think you get the point that goalline carries and carries inside the 5 are important.

 

[mr. furley]

NICE WORK!!

thanks!

 

[Grigs Allmoon]

I took all the rushing TDs by QBs, RBs, WRs inside the 2 yard line.I came up with 180 out of 431 or 41.8% of all rushing TDs are scored inside the 2.247 out of 431 or 57.3% of all rushing TDs are scored inside the 5.NOTE: My numbers may be off slightly, but I think you get the point that goalline carries and carries inside the 5 are important.

Is that from last year?It's a pretty big sample, but I wonder how accurate that is with years past.Anyway, it really makes you realize that close to half of a team's rushing TDs will be in a GL situation.

 

[Snotbubbles]

Yes, it's from 2005.

 

[mr. furley]

any chance you can round up the # of carries & td's scored by "goal line backs"?

especially in situations where the starter was pulled.



TIA

 

[CalBear]

From 2002-2005, there were 965 RB TDs on carries from inside the 5, and 530 RB TDs from outside the 5. So, almost two-thirds of RB TDs were goal-line carries. (See the Data Dominator, which is perfect for this kind of analysis)

I don't have an easy way to distinguish between goal-line and non-goal-line backs, but if you use DD you can manually extract the seasons of the Zach Crocketts of the world.