I like to follow a plan similar to that. I feel RB's are far more volatile than WR's, with injuries and youth etc. Only a few top caliber WRs though, where as any RB can come out of the blue to finish in the top 10, a lot more rare with WRs. Last year we saw Forte, Slaton, Johnson, Turner, DWill... a bunch of guys without any or a large track record make noise. Where as the top WRs were the usual names (aside from maybe Royal, and D Jackson if you got lucky). Just think it's easier to find a replacement RB, specially with all the RBBC who can put up points, than it is to get a top tier WR.I love that fact that these called 'experts' based their rankings almost solely on last year's stats so now I don't have to reach for Reggie Wayne in the 1st. I can get him in the second round now in my PPR leagues. As the Colts struggled at the beginning of last season, Wayne's stats were down, so he drops from being a top 3 WR to a 7th, 8th.I now found myself getting both Fitzgerald and Wayne... love it.I do 'reach' for Reggie Bush (3rd) and Willie Parker (4th). Bush can be great in a PPR league and I see Pierre Thomas continuing growth as being able to take pressure off of Bush. Parker suffered from injuries last year, and with a healthy Mendenhall to spell him I see FWP staying fresher and healthier. Plus FWP is good in PPR leagues as well. Plus as I go WR-WR in the first two rounds I am looking for RBs with lots of upside.I hedge my bets by grabbing Beanie Wells and/or Moreno later on in the draft. I was even able to get Graham with a very late pick in one league. So my RBs might have questions, but I get enough of them to find two starters among them.(I get my QB in round 5...)Von
I understand what you are saying and I'm not trying to dispute your strategy, but....You said you want to go Fitz, Wayne, Bush, Parker, QB which is very doable, but then you said you want to hedge your bets by grabbing Wells and/or Moreno later in the draft. Well, you are not going to get Moreno in the 6th, and possibly Wells will be gone as well. You may want to start looking at other RB's to hedge your bets with, Donald Brown perhaps.VonRomig said:I love that fact that these called 'experts' based their rankings almost solely on last year's stats so now I don't have to reach for Reggie Wayne in the 1st. I can get him in the second round now in my PPR leagues. As the Colts struggled at the beginning of last season, Wayne's stats were down, so he drops from being a top 3 WR to a 7th, 8th.I now found myself getting both Fitzgerald and Wayne... love it.I do 'reach' for Reggie Bush (3rd) and Willie Parker (4th). Bush can be great in a PPR league and I see Pierre Thomas continuing growth as being able to take pressure off of Bush. Parker suffered from injuries last year, and with a healthy Mendenhall to spell him I see FWP staying fresher and healthier. Plus FWP is good in PPR leagues as well. Plus as I go WR-WR in the first two rounds I am looking for RBs with lots of upside.I hedge my bets by grabbing Beanie Wells and/or Moreno later on in the draft. I was even able to get Graham with a very late pick in one league. So my RBs might have questions, but I get enough of them to find two starters among them.(I get my QB in round 5...)Von
I think that is the definition of a reach. Why would you keep Thomas. You could probably get him with your 1st or 2nd pick plus have LT.Harry Beanbag said:In a keep 2 league, no PPR, I am considering keeping Pierre Thomas and tossing Tomlinson on the scrap heap. (Keeping Michael Turner as the other keeper) Not sure if that is considered a reach or not because it is a choice of a keeper rather than drafting someone.
good luck with that.Harry Beanbag said:In a keep 2 league, no PPR, I am considering keeping Pierre Thomas and tossing Tomlinson on the scrap heap. (Keeping Michael Turner as the other keeper) Not sure if that is considered a reach or not because it is a choice of a keeper rather than drafting someone.
Who defines what early is? What if early to the mags for Rice is 7th round, but guys in your league like him in the 5th? If Rice is going to see most of the carries/catches out of the backfield there will be no such thing as early for him, and there's no way you're going to get him for a cheap 6/7/8th round pick.Reaching for players makes drafts so great. If no one ever made a reach all drafts would look like projection lists on down - BORING. Intelligent reaching wins championships.bcr8f said:2 rpunds early no one, 1 round Ryan Grant, Ray Rice.
Upside. many people think he can better fill the RZ void left by Housh. I can easily see 700yrds 6-7 td's out of henry. By all reports he has worked hard this off-season and could be back in favor with the coaching staff.Why all the Chris Henry love in here? What am I missing? I mean, I can understand drafting him at his ADP or slightly sooner as a depth WR - but to see him being mentioned multiple times in here has me wondering. I'm apparently missing the boat, someone fill me in... He's still in Cincy behind Chad and Coles right?
orton has no deep ball.tombonneau said:Eddie Royal. He'll have more fantasy points than Marshall.
Royal averaged 10.8 yards per catch last year. He wasn't really used much as a deep threat. I'm guessing he will be a PPR machine out of the slot in 3 WR sets.orton has no deep ball.tombonneau said:Eddie Royal. He'll have more fantasy points than Marshall.
Housh was Cincy's 'red zone' target. Ocho has never been a 'red zone' guy and Coles doesn't have the size to be one either.Are you confident that Benson will be a goaline gold ? Henry is 6ft 4inches 200lbs- Can you say TARGET ?!?Here's a quote from Palmer a week ago- "Henry could be on the verge of a Randy Moss-type career."Upside. many people think he can better fill the RZ void left by Housh. I can easily see 700yrds 6-7 td's out of henry. By all reports he has worked hard this off-season and could be back in favor with the coaching staff.Why all the Chris Henry love in here? What am I missing? I mean, I can understand drafting him at his ADP or slightly sooner as a depth WR - but to see him being mentioned multiple times in here has me wondering. I'm apparently missing the boat, someone fill me in... He's still in Cincy behind Chad and Coles right?
so do you think he'll be close to Randy Moss numbers? I hear you on the TDs (> 6 possible if Palmer stays intact), but 45-50 rec is his ceiling assuming both Chad and Coles dont get hurt.Housh was Cincy's 'red zone' target. Ocho has never been a 'red zone' guy and Coles doesn't have the size to be one either.Are you confident that Benson will be a goaline gold ? Henry is 6ft 4inches 200lbs- Can you say TARGET ?!?Here's a quote from Palmer a week ago- "Henry could be on the verge of a Randy Moss-type career."Upside. many people think he can better fill the RZ void left by Housh. I can easily see 700yrds 6-7 td's out of henry. By all reports he has worked hard this off-season and could be back in favor with the coaching staff.Why all the Chris Henry love in here? What am I missing? I mean, I can understand drafting him at his ADP or slightly sooner as a depth WR - but to see him being mentioned multiple times in here has me wondering. I'm apparently missing the boat, someone fill me in... He's still in Cincy behind Chad and Coles right?
Not to hijack, but if you feel like there is guy in the sixth round that is going to produce like a 1st or second rounder, it is probably a good idea to reach for him in the fifth, then sit and hope that you can get him at his current adp in the sixth. This is how you win championships.No one, if I have a decent chance of waiting and getting the same player.I will let value cmoe to me, not reach for it befores it's time.
I think you read my post wrong bro.Housh was Cincy's 'red zone' target. Ocho has never been a 'red zone' guy and Coles doesn't have the size to be one either.Are you confident that Benson will be a goaline gold ? Henry is 6ft 4inches 200lbs- Can you say TARGET ?!?Here's a quote from Palmer a week ago- "Henry could be on the verge of a Randy Moss-type career."Upside. many people think he can better fill the RZ void left by Housh. I can easily see 700yrds 6-7 td's out of henry. By all reports he has worked hard this off-season and could be back in favor with the coaching staff.Why all the Chris Henry love in here? What am I missing? I mean, I can understand drafting him at his ADP or slightly sooner as a depth WR - but to see him being mentioned multiple times in here has me wondering. I'm apparently missing the boat, someone fill me in... He's still in Cincy behind Chad and Coles right?

I'm sorry. I must have worded my post wrong. I was not saying that I was just going to try and get them, I was saying that I did get them in a few leagues and will try to do likewise in future drafts if I am in the same situation.In one league on CBSsports my roster is: (pick 10 of 12)McNabbReggie BushWillie ParkerLarry FitzgeraldReggie WayneJason Wittenwith my bench of: RBs Wells, Moreno, Graham; WRs Coles, BerrianAnother league, at Yahoo! I have: (pick 12 of 12)RodgersReggie BushWillie ParkerLarry FitzgeraldReggie WayneChad OchocincoOwen Danielswith my bench of: RBs D. Ward, Wells; WRs H. Ward, HixonNow these are free leagues, ones I use to test draft strategies, but the players were there for me to take. Now from experience, people in re-draft money leagues are less willing to grab at players who are unproven (like Wells, Moreno) or have question marks (like Bush. Parker). I'm grabbing Bush and Parker while most of the others are starting to pick up their WRs, and I'm after Wells and Moreno while the others are taking QBs, TEs, and their 3rd WR (2RB, 3WR leagues).Is this best I could do? Probably not. Are these championship teams? Who knows, and maybe not. But I like the rosters in a PPR format.VonI understand what you are saying and I'm not trying to dispute your strategy, but....You said you want to go Fitz, Wayne, Bush, Parker, QB which is very doable, but then you said you want to hedge your bets by grabbing Wells and/or Moreno later in the draft. Well, you are not going to get Moreno in the 6th, and possibly Wells will be gone as well. You may want to start looking at other RB's to hedge your bets with, Donald Brown perhaps.
No? He had multiple doctors look at his elbow to evaluate it for surgery and they all agreed he didn't need it?You obviously think he should have?Did you stay at a Holiday Inn last night?pantherclub said:Based on last year and what I read about Palmer, there is no way he makes it through the whole year.
Wayne put up 86/1, 93/1,74/0,97/1, 118/1- to open the season. The Colts slow start did not coincide with Wayne. It was week 6-14 that dragged his numbers down. Hes been a top 3 receiver once in his career and a top 5 receiver twice. Chad Johnson has more top 5 seasons and more top 10 seasons than Wayne in the same number of years in the league + playing with Kitna for 3 years. Wayne is probably the most overrated receiver in the top 10.I love that fact that these called 'experts' based their rankings almost solely on last year's stats so now I don't have to reach for Reggie Wayne in the 1st. I can get him in the second round now in my PPR leagues. As the Colts struggled at the beginning of last season, Wayne's stats were down, so he drops from being a top 3 WR to a 7th, 8th.
Wally Cleaver said:Not to hijack, but if you feel like there is guy in the sixth round that is going to produce like a 1st or second rounder, it is probably a good idea to reach for him in the fifth, then sit and hope that you can get him at his current adp in the sixth. This is how you win championships.ookook said:No one, if I have a decent chance of waiting and getting the same player.I will let value cmoe to me, not reach for it befores it's time.

Make a note of the names mentioned multiple times here as they will be the players who end up being overvalued by the time most drafts roll around.
I guess one would be better off looking to consistency, rather than just last year stats. It is a good thing you used Chad as an example... he has been very consistent, yet one bad season and now he drops out of the top 20 in several rankings. The opposite can be said of Andre Johnson; he is a rollercoaster WR, and so every other year he pops in the top 5. Last year he maxed out and now he is seen as the number 2 best receiver. Haw. If he kept to his history this will be a down year for him. Regardless he has not shown me the consistency to pick him over Wayne. As for Chad, I am glad he had an off year, it now gives me a chance to grab him as my WR3, to go with Fitz and Wayne.I like to have owners in my leagues who look at the consistent players, and down grade them due to one poor season the year before. They're grabbing at the Andre Johnsons and Calvin Johnsons of the league and leaving the guys who have proven over time I can count on them... This goes for QBs, RBs, etc as well.(as for Calvin; he broke out last year, but this year he will likely be breaking in a new QB and the team shows an indication that they will try to run more... try to control the game a little better. I see a big drop-off, not worthy of a top 5 pick)But this is all just IMHO VonWayne put up 86/1, 93/1,74/0,97/1, 118/1- to open the season. The Colts slow start did not coincide with Wayne. It was week 6-14 that dragged his numbers down. Hes been a top 3 receiver once in his career and a top 5 receiver twice. Chad Johnson has more top 5 seasons and more top 10 seasons than Wayne in the same number of years in the league + playing with Kitna for 3 years. Wayne is probably the most overrated receiver in the top 10.I love that fact that these called 'experts' based their rankings almost solely on last year's stats so now I don't have to reach for Reggie Wayne in the 1st. I can get him in the second round now in my PPR leagues. As the Colts struggled at the beginning of last season, Wayne's stats were down, so he drops from being a top 3 WR to a 7th, 8th.
I believe this is the time when most people get the true sense of the players. They have seen the changes made by the teams, and have evaluated the off-season actions. They are, for the most part, over the hype of the rookies coming into the league. Everyone is knee-deep in research material and projections. While the vast networking of fantasy footballers have formed an averaged value of the players... ignoring the extremes of man-crushes and haters.This all gets ruined when the pre-season games begin. That is when players start to get overvalued. When 2 receptions, for 54 yards, and a touchdown kicks a top 25 player into the mid-teens. Or people start grabbing at players like David Clowney and Tashard Choice in the middle rounds.VonMake a note of the names mentioned multiple times here as they will be the players who end up being overvalued by the time most drafts roll around.
I think this is valid. Every year, some scrub WR goes off in a nationally televised preseason game, and flies up draft boards.This all gets ruined when the pre-season games begin. That is when players start to get overvalued. When 2 receptions, for 54 yards, and a touchdown kicks a top 25 player into the mid-teens. Or people start grabbing at players like David Clowney and Tashard Choice in the middle rounds.Von