The_Man
Footballguy
I spent a lot of the Packers-Seahawks NFC Championship steaming over the Ravens' loss to the Patriots the previous week, feeling like Baltimore had blown this year's Super Bowl title by losing in the Divisional Round – that if they had just hung on to win at New England, they would have cruised to the championship.
Once Seattle rallied, I no longer felt that way. But it did get me thinking about if/when a Divisional Playoff game has turned out to be the de facto Super Bowl. Has there ever been a time when the 2 best teams in the entire NFL met in that round, where the loser would have been likely to go on and win the Super Bowl if they hadn’t lost the Divisional game?
Here are the criteria I came up with:
1. Team that won the divisional game went on to win the Super Bowl (obviously)
2. Team that won the divisional game went on to easier victories in the Conference Championship and Super Bowl than they had in the divisional game
3. Team that lost the divisional game would have been favored to win both the Conference Championship and Super Bowl
I came up with 2, dating back to the late 70s and the advent of the Wild Card.
The 2000 Ravens – at the time they were the only visitor ever to have won at Tennessee, and they knocked off the defending AFC Champion Titans in the divisional round on a blocked FG returned for a TD and a late Ray Lewis INT for a TD. They then went on to win the AFC Championship at Oakland and destroyed the Giants in the Super Bowl. If the Titans had won that game, they would have hosted Oakland in the Championship, and presumably beaten them and the Giants.
1987 Redskins – on the Saturday of the Divisional Weekend, the Vikings pulled off a huge upset over the 49ers in SF. That meant the winner of Sunday’s Redskins-Bears game at Solider Field would host the NFC Championship. Darrell Green returned a punt for a TD late, and the Redskins won, 21-17, then went on to beat the Vikings at home in the Championship and destroy the Broncos. If the Bears had won, they would have presumably done the same.
I also came up with a couple of Honorable Mentions.
The 1980 Browns were the #1 seed and hosted Oakland in the divisional round. Trailing 14-12 with under a minute left and in FG range on the Raiders’ 13-yard line, Browns QB Brian Sipe threw a game-ending INT. The Raiders went on to beat San Diego 34-27 and top Philly in the Super Bowl. You have to think the Browns would have had a very good chance to beat San Diego at home in the AFC Championship and who knows about the Super Bowl.
The 2005 Colts were also the #1 seed, but lost to the Wild Card Steelers in the Vanderjagt game, where Bettis fumbled on the goal line. The Steelers then went on to beat Denver 34-17 and Seattle 21-10. It’s not clear to me that the Colts would have rolled over both those teams, but they would have played both games in a dome and you think Manning would have been favored to win them both.
Once Seattle rallied, I no longer felt that way. But it did get me thinking about if/when a Divisional Playoff game has turned out to be the de facto Super Bowl. Has there ever been a time when the 2 best teams in the entire NFL met in that round, where the loser would have been likely to go on and win the Super Bowl if they hadn’t lost the Divisional game?
Here are the criteria I came up with:
1. Team that won the divisional game went on to win the Super Bowl (obviously)
2. Team that won the divisional game went on to easier victories in the Conference Championship and Super Bowl than they had in the divisional game
3. Team that lost the divisional game would have been favored to win both the Conference Championship and Super Bowl
I came up with 2, dating back to the late 70s and the advent of the Wild Card.
The 2000 Ravens – at the time they were the only visitor ever to have won at Tennessee, and they knocked off the defending AFC Champion Titans in the divisional round on a blocked FG returned for a TD and a late Ray Lewis INT for a TD. They then went on to win the AFC Championship at Oakland and destroyed the Giants in the Super Bowl. If the Titans had won that game, they would have hosted Oakland in the Championship, and presumably beaten them and the Giants.
1987 Redskins – on the Saturday of the Divisional Weekend, the Vikings pulled off a huge upset over the 49ers in SF. That meant the winner of Sunday’s Redskins-Bears game at Solider Field would host the NFC Championship. Darrell Green returned a punt for a TD late, and the Redskins won, 21-17, then went on to beat the Vikings at home in the Championship and destroy the Broncos. If the Bears had won, they would have presumably done the same.
I also came up with a couple of Honorable Mentions.
The 1980 Browns were the #1 seed and hosted Oakland in the divisional round. Trailing 14-12 with under a minute left and in FG range on the Raiders’ 13-yard line, Browns QB Brian Sipe threw a game-ending INT. The Raiders went on to beat San Diego 34-27 and top Philly in the Super Bowl. You have to think the Browns would have had a very good chance to beat San Diego at home in the AFC Championship and who knows about the Super Bowl.
The 2005 Colts were also the #1 seed, but lost to the Wild Card Steelers in the Vanderjagt game, where Bettis fumbled on the goal line. The Steelers then went on to beat Denver 34-17 and Seattle 21-10. It’s not clear to me that the Colts would have rolled over both those teams, but they would have played both games in a dome and you think Manning would have been favored to win them both.