How many of you know that WRs Mark Clayton, Brandon Jones and Mark Bradley were all on the 2004 Oklahoma Sooners?
Given the top-15 in 2-3 year parameters -
Mark Clayton - Should be productive but not top-15. Not in a top-flight offense for the forseeable future. McNair's skills declining, Boller is behind him, and the team prefers to run the ball. Clayton shares catches with McNair-favorite Mason (aging but still good for this 2-3 year window) and Heap.
Troy Williamson - Surprised many to be drafted so high, with lots of raw talent but much to learn. Path to top-15 in 2-3 years possible but I wouldn't count on it. Could definitely emerge ahead of KRob in that time, but QB situation iffy with 37 year old Johnson near the end and a big drop off after that. T. Jackson's learning curve (if he becomes the starter) would probably mean a drop in passing numbers overall for awhile. We'll see Williamson's best 4-5 years away and maybe top-15 then.
Mike Williams - He has shown a lack of conditioning, motivation, and maturity since being drafted. Let's see him climb the depth chart and actually be on the field before thinking top-anything. Even then, he's too slow to ever be a top-15.
Roddy White - Seems to have lots of talent and motivation, and that's a good sign. Has a small chance, but he's sharing balls with Crumpler and Jenkins. More troublesome, Atlanta's run-first philosophy, Vick's low pass attempts (many planned pass plays become runs) and low completion percentage put Atlanta perennially near the bottom of the league in WR pass completions. I see White moving up the rankings in the next 2-3 years, but probably not to top-15.
Mark Bradley - I like his situation, but not for top-15 status. Muhammad, aside from 2004, has never been special (lots of years with injuries) and is now getting long in the tooth. TE is not much of a pass-catching position for the Bears, and once Benson takes over completely in the next couple of years RB will not be a big pass-catching position either. Berrian or a rookie will likely replace Muhammad at some point in the next 2-3 years and Bradley will be the WR1. So, Bradley should get a relatively good share of the Bears targets. They have never been a pass-happy team, though, and that isn't likely to change any time soon given their great defense and mediocre QB situation.
Roscoe Parrish - Most viewed him as a reach in the 2nd round. He's small even compared to S. Moss and S. Smith, and doesn't have elite pass-catching skills. Will never be the Bills' WR1 and probably not a WR2 either. No chance at top-15.
Terrance Murphy - Damaged goods. Just playing again would be an accomplishment.
Vincent Jackson - Excellent situation to emerge in the next 2-3 years, with high 1st-round QB Rivers development, McCardell near the end, and Parker not a WR1. Gates will get a lot of catches though, and Jackson hasn't shown yet that he can make the transition to effective NFL starter having never played Division I ball. Still, monster production at Div. 2, and his great speed and size, and the chance to become the WR1 in a productive offense at least give him a chance to reach top-15 if all goes right.
Brandon Jones - Too much going against him in the next 2-3 years. ACL tear last year will pretty much make him a non-factor in 2006 (PUP list has been mentioned to start the year), giving other young WRs Roby, Williams, Calico, Orr and chance to impress. Givens and Bennett ahead of him as starters. Could earn a starting role in 2007 maybe, but definitely not top-15 material.
Chris Henry - T-R-O-U-B-L-E, stay away. With all his problems, no team will put a lot of their eggs in the Henry basket. Never mind the talent, he'll be a role player if he's even in the league. No way he'll be a WR1 in the next 2-3 years.
I voted Vincent Jackson, and I'd follow that with Williamson, then Clayton. If I had to bet, though, it would be that none of them make top-15 in 2-3 years.