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Which teams will select a WR in the first round? (1 Viewer)

duaneok66

Footballguy
It's too difficult to say exactly which receivers will be chosen, but I will take a stab at predicting which teams will take a pass catcher in the first.

7) Tampa Bay

It seems like a cinch after the Williams trade - they have Vincent Jackson and no one else

16) Dallas

It's Jerry Jones, what more do you want? Especially in a class this deep!

19) Miami

Wallace is already underperforming, or maybe he was overrated. Also, Tannehill needs more than Wallace and Hartline

22) Philadelphia

Kelly just lost a bigtime weapon so he needs to reload - too many options to pass up in the first

27 New Orleans

Brees is aging, but Colston is too, and Moore is gone. I think Meachem re-signed (but he isn't that good) and Stills is limited

28 Carolina

Too easy.

Any different opinions??

 
The Steelers if the other options are gone, will default to a WR.

Robinson, Mathews, Lewan

Watkins, Evans

Clowney, Donald

Denard, Gilbert

Mack, and maybe Barr (if they think enough of him and then is their first default)

And Ill assume 1 safety (Pryor or HaHa)

Possibly Ebron...

They are pick #15 and that is a list of about 10 non-WRs.

 
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KC seemingly needs a #2, but with Smith reluctant to throw the ball downfield, why bother in the first??

Maybe the Jets - but Ryan is a pretty conservative guy (offensively) - I don't see it.

 
KC seemingly needs a #2, but with Smith reluctant to throw the ball downfield, why bother in the first??

Maybe the Jets - but Ryan is a pretty conservative guy (offensively) - I don't see it.
KC needs a 2 and a future behind Bowe. Smith will throw down field if someone would get open. The only guy who could even run more than 30 yds on the team last year was Avery and he dropped more than he caught.
 
duaneok66 said:
It's too difficult to say exactly which receivers will be chosen, but I will take a stab at predicting which teams will take a pass catcher in the first.

7) Tampa Bay

It seems like a cinch after the Williams trade - they have Vincent Jackson and no one else

16) Dallas

It's Jerry Jones, what more do you want? Especially in a class this deep!

19) Miami

Wallace is already underperforming, or maybe he was overrated. Also, Tannehill needs more than Wallace and Hartline

22) Philadelphia

Kelly just lost a bigtime weapon so he needs to reload - too many options to pass up in the first

27 New Orleans

Brees is aging, but Colston is too, and Moore is gone. I think Meachem re-signed (but he isn't that good) and Stills is limited

28 Carolina

Too easy.

Any different opinions??
Your list makes a lot of sense.

 
There aren't six first round WR talents so I'm pretty sure that won't happen. I'm sure all of those teams will take a wide receiver in some round, but there are other positions that are much more top heavy and shallow in this class so teams will address those positions before they take a WR. Miami needs an RCB, RT and RG, and tackle and corner are positions that can be difficult to address late in the draft so they more or less have to go CB and RT, or RT and CB. I agree with you on Tampa. They've done a really good job in free agency to plug holes and improve their roster and need another offensive weapon. Philadelphia needs to replace D-Jax but they also need an edge rushing OLB and they need help at safety. In this draft there are four good safeties and then pretty much nothing after that. If the OLB or safety they like is there at 22 they can't go WR. Carolina obviously needs WRs but their OL is a complete mess so can they afford to take a WR that early? If they don't protect Cam Newton they will lose him - through injury or through free agency. They also lost two starting DBs in free agency so they have gaping holes to fill there as well. Dallas have pretty much the worst DL in the league after Ware left so I would think they have to go DE. Either that or safety. I think there will be four WRs that go in the first. Two or three will go to teams like the Jets, Raiders, Tampa or Lions as they pick in the early/mid part of the draft, and one or two will go towards the end of the round to teams that can afford to pick the best player available.

 
I'll also add; there are a couple high end options at WR in this draft class but it is primarily a WR class that is deep with plenty of players that would normally have a high second round or late first round grade, which means that a lot of teams will likely address other positions in the first and rather take a WR in the second or third. Depth at WR doesn't translate to lots of teams going WR in the first.

 
KC seemingly needs a #2, but with Smith reluctant to throw the ball downfield, why bother in the first??

Maybe the Jets - but Ryan is a pretty conservative guy (offensively) - I don't see it.
KC needs a 2 and a future behind Bowe. Smith will throw down field if someone would get open. The only guy who could even run more than 30 yds on the team last year was Avery and he dropped more than he caught.
Reid goes OL or S if Pryor falls to 23 (or trades down to get a 2nd).

 
With the position so deep, dont be surprised if the Eagles wait till the 2nd to take a WR.
Despite what we might want, the Panthers might do the same unless one of their top targets falls. They need T more than WR and could use a better corner as well. Corners are about as deep as receivers this draft but if Lewan or Martin fall, they would be better picks unless somehow Evans falls that far.

I wouldn't be shocked if they actually trade down to the early 2nd to pick up an additional 3rd or 2015 pick if Houston, Jax or Oakland decide to pass on QB early.

 
There aren't six first round WR talents so I'm pretty sure that won't happen. I'm sure all of those teams will take a wide receiver in some round, but there are other positions that are much more top heavy and shallow in this class so teams will address those positions before they take a WR. Miami needs an RCB, RT and RG, and tackle and corner are positions that can be difficult to address late in the draft so they more or less have to go CB and RT, or RT and CB. I agree with you on Tampa. They've done a really good job in free agency to plug holes and improve their roster and need another offensive weapon. Philadelphia needs to replace D-Jax but they also need an edge rushing OLB and they need help at safety. In this draft there are four good safeties and then pretty much nothing after that. If the OLB or safety they like is there at 22 they can't go WR. Carolina obviously needs WRs but their OL is a complete mess so can they afford to take a WR that early? If they don't protect Cam Newton they will lose him - through injury or through free agency. They also lost two starting DBs in free agency so they have gaping holes to fill there as well. Dallas have pretty much the worst DL in the league after Ware left so I would think they have to go DE. Either that or safety. I think there will be four WRs that go in the first. Two or three will go to teams like the Jets, Raiders, Tampa or Lions as they pick in the early/mid part of the draft, and one or two will go towards the end of the round to teams that can afford to pick the best player available.
thanks - good post.

 
Louche -

"Carolina obviously needs WRs but their OL is a complete mess so can they afford to take a WR that early? If they don't protect Cam Newton they will lose him - through injury or through free agency. They also lost two starting DBs in free agency so they have gaping holes to fill there as well. "

Missed this earlier but you're absolutely right. Carolina is one of those teams with great talent at some positions (you won't find too many better front 7s on defense) but huge gaping holes at others like corner, OL, and receiver. This team could easily compete for the 1 seed in the NFC or finish last in their division.

 
With the position so deep, dont be surprised if the Eagles wait till the 2nd to take a WR.
Despite what we might want, the Panthers might do the same unless one of their top targets falls. They need T more than WR and could use a better corner as well. Corners are about as deep as receivers this draft but if Lewan or Martin fall, they would be better picks unless somehow Evans falls that far. I wouldn't be shocked if they actually trade down to the early 2nd to pick up an additional 3rd or 2015 pick if Houston, Jax or Oakland decide to pass on QB early.
I see the Eagles trying the same if who they want isnt there.

 
With the position so deep, dont be surprised if the Eagles wait till the 2nd to take a WR.
Despite what we might want, the Panthers might do the same unless one of their top targets falls. They need T more than WR and could use a better corner as well. Corners are about as deep as receivers this draft but if Lewan or Martin fall, they would be better picks unless somehow Evans falls that far.I wouldn't be shocked if they actually trade down to the early 2nd to pick up an additional 3rd or 2015 pick if Houston, Jax or Oakland decide to pass on QB early.
I see the Eagles trying the same if who they want isnt there.
I see the Eagles (and other teams in that range who need a WR) trying, if they can, to move down to the DEN / SEA / SF range in the 1st rather than the top of the 2nd. Having that extra contract year for first-round picks would, in my mind at least, make a pretty significant difference for teams going WR, many of whom don't become real impact players until Year 3.

 
With the position so deep, dont be surprised if the Eagles wait till the 2nd to take a WR.
Despite what we might want, the Panthers might do the same unless one of their top targets falls. They need T more than WR and could use a better corner as well. Corners are about as deep as receivers this draft but if Lewan or Martin fall, they would be better picks unless somehow Evans falls that far.I wouldn't be shocked if they actually trade down to the early 2nd to pick up an additional 3rd or 2015 pick if Houston, Jax or Oakland decide to pass on QB early.
I see the Eagles trying the same if who they want isnt there.
I see the Eagles (and other teams in that range who need a WR) trying, if they can, to move down to the DEN / SEA / SF range in the 1st rather than the top of the 2nd. Having that extra contract year for first-round picks would, in my mind at least, make a pretty significant difference for teams going WR, many of whom don't become real impact players until Year 3.
Yes but what would Den, Sea, Sf be moving up for?

 
I agree there is no guarantee that all the WRs go high and some teams might opt to wait because of the depth. That said, I don't know that teams are quite as loosey goosey on their preferences as us fantasy geeks might be. I don't care HOW a guy plays if he catches the ball a lot. But NFL teams are more likely to have specific needs that they want to fill, or better matches for their team. They might just out and out have stronger preferences for certain guys than we do.

My point is, if a team at the bottom of the first needs a WR and WE have a bucket of three or four guys that would be OK, the team may feel differently and only have one guy they really like left and they might just grab him.

 
duaneok66 said:
It's too difficult to say exactly which receivers will be chosen, but I will take a stab at predicting which teams will take a pass catcher in the first.

7) Tampa Bay

It seems like a cinch after the Williams trade - they have Vincent Jackson and no one else

16) Dallas

It's Jerry Jones, what more do you want? Especially in a class this deep!

19) Miami

Wallace is already underperforming, or maybe he was overrated. Also, Tannehill needs more than Wallace and Hartline

22) Philadelphia

Kelly just lost a bigtime weapon so he needs to reload - too many options to pass up in the first

27 New Orleans

Brees is aging, but Colston is too, and Moore is gone. I think Meachem re-signed (but he isn't that good) and Stills is limited

28 Carolina

Too easy.

Any different opinions??
I agree this is good.

How about KC?

I'd add Cleveland.

Also I've heard more than one pundit say that a team like the Panthers or the Saints would actually pass on a WR exactly because the WR draft is so deep. The idea being that a CAR should go ahead and get the best OT available, or the Saints should get their DE/OLB, because that pool is not as strong and they can come back and get one of the WRs later. It's counterintuitive and I don't agree with it, but thought I would mention it as one way some have viewed this could happen.

OTOH, teams are affected by what other teams might do. So for instance the Panthers pick right after NO; the Saints might want to jump on a highly rated WR just so their division rivals don't get him and also of course that he doesn't go off the board altogether.

 
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I don't think there's any way that Watkins makes it to 7.

Along with a host of other positions, Jaguars have a definite need at WR.

And he's a player that teams might be willing to trade up to 2 to get.

 
With the position so deep, dont be surprised if the Eagles wait till the 2nd to take a WR.
Despite what we might want, the Panthers might do the same unless one of their top targets falls. They need T more than WR and could use a better corner as well. Corners are about as deep as receivers this draft but if Lewan or Martin fall, they would be better picks unless somehow Evans falls that far.I wouldn't be shocked if they actually trade down to the early 2nd to pick up an additional 3rd or 2015 pick if Houston, Jax or Oakland decide to pass on QB early.
I see the Eagles trying the same if who they want isnt there.
I see the Eagles (and other teams in that range who need a WR) trying, if they can, to move down to the DEN / SEA / SF range in the 1st rather than the top of the 2nd. Having that extra contract year for first-round picks would, in my mind at least, make a pretty significant difference for teams going WR, many of whom don't become real impact players until Year 3.
Yes but what would Den, Sea, Sf be moving up for?
Anyone who's BPA on their board and has fallen a few spots more than they expected. That's how winning organizations think and work.

San Fran in particular has far more draft picks this year than spots on their roster that are reasonably open to competition. I'd be surprised if they didn't try to swing a deal to move up, maybe more than once.

 
Certainties:

Tampa Bay, Kansas City and the New York Jets will go WR in round 1.

Maybes:

  • Oakland, if they don't take a QB
  • Carolina, but their OL is even more in need than WR
  • San Fran, if they don't take a guard
I just feel many teams that could use them could think, "The position is so deep, we'll wait."

I think the really big run at WR will be in round 2.

 
With the position so deep, dont be surprised if the Eagles wait till the 2nd to take a WR.
:goodposting:

I get the impression Chip thinks he could grab a guy off the local flag football team and have him put up 1000 yards.

 
Spike said:
Certainties:

Tampa Bay, Kansas City and the New York Jets will go WR in round 1.
I agree with Tampa and Kansas City. Not sure with the Jets. I can certainly see the need, but if Ebron is still on the board. I could see them taking a TE here to pair with Cumberland to help augment their offensive line plus give another valve for Geno.

 
Why would the Jets give big money to Decker AND get a 1st round pass catcher??

How does their defense look for 2014??

 
by the way - good discussion all - we have plenty of threads about the actual players - I wanted to flip the script and have a discussion about the teams.

 
Why would the Jets give big money to Decker AND get a 1st round pass catcher??

How does their defense look for 2014??
I certainly don't think it is a certainty that they go WR in the first. They need a corner - preferably a very good one unless Dee Milliner is going to be their number one. Look for them to go for a physical press corner. However, they need to give Geno weapons if they are going to give him a fair chance to succeed. Decker is nice but he is ideally a number two. And even if you're kind and say he is a 1, who is their number two? Kerley is a slot and their other receivers are fringe situational players unless you're still holding your breath waiting for Stephen Hill to develop. So I would expect them to go for a WR in one of the first three rounds. If a WR they love is there in the first I would assume that they go WR CB OL. Or they could go TE CB OL. The most likely scenario is probably CB WR OL. But...it depends who is there when they are on the clock.

 
My guess is there will be 5 WRs will be drafted in the first round, I don't think Jets will take one in after the big commitment to Decker. Lots of teams have receiver needs, but it probably will come down to BPA, I don't think team will just take a WR no matter who's left on their draft board.

Spike said:
Certainties:

Tampa Bay, Kansas City and the New York Jets will go WR in round 1.

Maybes:

  • Oakland, if they don't take a QB
  • Carolina, but their OL is even more in need than WR
  • San Fran, if they don't take a guard
I just feel many teams that could use them could think, "The position is so deep, we'll wait."

I think the really big run at WR will be in round 2.
 
I think semi surprise teams could be Titans and Rams to take a WR. Later in the draft, I imagine every good team will consider one. Although not a need, deep teams are looking for better talent than what they have.

 
I think semi surprise teams could be Titans and Rams to take a WR. Later in the draft, I imagine every good team will consider one. Although not a need, deep teams are looking for better talent than what they have.
If the Titans take a receiver at 11 it will be very surprising. Hunter and Wright are perhaps their strong point right now. If Watkins fell, then sure. But that would be surprising.

 
I think semi surprise teams could be Titans and Rams to take a WR. Later in the draft, I imagine every good team will consider one. Although not a need, deep teams are looking for better talent than what they have.
If the Titans take a receiver at 11 it will be very surprising. Hunter and Wright are perhaps their strong point right now. If Watkins fell, then sure. But that would be surprising.
I don't disagree. The new staff has done a very good job of bringing some facts to light. Locker has played just a little over one season of games and Hunter hasn't played that much. When you think of it, Hunter has really only shown that he has some outstanding red zone ability. Somehow, in my mind, I had Locker playing more and thought Hunter was more of a sure thing. Take Locker for a sec- they have to review game tapes and make a decision yet could you properly evaluate a QB after (about) one season in the league? It's a tough spot for them.

 
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Jaguars - Watkins is a real possibility.

Lions - They openly lusted after Watkins, but maybe they're still looking WR later in the draft.

Patriots - Benjamin seems like a good fit and should be available. The way his stock is sliding, though, he may be available in the second.

Seahawks - As good as this team was last year, think about what they could have done with a healthy Harvin and a legit #2 next to him.

 
I wonder what the WR landscape is going to look like in FF in 2 years. So much potential drafted this year.

 
Jaguars - Watkins is a real possibility.Lions - They openly lusted after Watkins, but maybe they're still looking WR later in the draft.Patriots - Benjamin seems like a good fit and should be available. The way his stock is sliding, though, he may be available in the second.Seahawks - As good as this team was last year, think about what they could have done with a healthy Harvin and a legit #2 next to him.
Paul Richardson in the 2nd for the Seahawks. I'll post more on him later but I love the kids potential as Tate's replacement.

 

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