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Who are your 52-week low - time to buy guys? (1 Viewer)

TheDirtyWord

Footballguy
Often times, it's not your 1st/2nd rounders that drive you to the title, but moreso, the forgotten values and players coming off bad years or perceived dissolving situations. Think Mike Evans, Kyler Murray, Courtland Sutton, Isaiah Pacheco, Rachaad White who last offseason at this time were generating little buzz...but feel much more logical in hindsight. So who are yours? Here's my sampling...

My 52-week lows?

Tony Pollard RB25-28;
I'm probably getting downright annoying now with how much I'm on his train. But he was coming off a bad leg injury...also assuming a much larger workload. Meanwhile Dak returned to form. So off he goes to TEN (3yr, $21M) where he'll split work with 2nd year RB Tyjae Spears. With Will Levis likely not passing the ball 580-600 times like you'd see Dak do. Still just 27 with 938 career touches. Yes, his workload likely won't be 70% of the touches...but I could see efficiency returning and OL is built to bruise.

Austin Ekeler RB32-35; Longer in the tooth (29 back in May) and he looked like he lost a step last year. But I'm betting that was due to that ankle he injured in Week 1. His career touches are in a bit of a danger zone (1430)...but a third of those are receptions so the less concerning kind. And while he was probably consensus RB2 overall last year...that's coming off 38 TD's in 21-22. But I'm guessing that his versatility inside the RZ will be a boon to Daniels who'll also draw alot of attention himself. 225 touches/65 being receptions feels about right.

Deshaun Watson QB20;-22 His 'brand' still feels radioactive...perhaps deservedly so. but let's take out the game he got hurt early in...he was on pace for 3775 passing yards, 480 rushing yards 24 passing TD's/4 rushing TD's. And people seem to be calling it a career. And that 3rd game of 2023 was what I'd term a vintage Deshaun game. And they got him Jerry Jeudy.

Aaron Rodgers QB20-22; Is there a more powerful player in the NFL right now? The Jets clearly need him more than he needs them. His offensive coordinator has become a punchline...after talking about 'what it takes to win'...blew off a mandatory minicamp and left his HC to explain the absence. He might have more organizational power than Woody Johnson - I mean I kind of feel like he's running his own NFL franchise how he sees fit. I have to think that means having the ball in his hands A TON. QB21 seems quite low for that kind of power. It could all blow-up and it is the Jets...but it's not like the personnel sucks here.

Christian Kirk WR30-35; Since he's gotten to JAX, his 17-game averages are 83/1111/6. You can argue that his TD production is what keeps him low although he had 8 in 2022. But he's the #1 WR on an offense that just made their QB the highest paid one in the game and let the other quasi #1 WR on the roster go (Ridley). Really feels overlooked, almost like Tyler Lockett's successor.

Quentin Johnson WR60-70; Yes, it was a rough rookie season. But wasn't it generally acknowledged that his game coming into the NFL was raw? Yes, Harbaugh likes to run the ball. But he's not running the ball 750 times this year and Justin Herbert is still there. Plus, that type of philosophy is designed to open up plays downfield - Johnson's strength. I'm not saying draft this guy as your WR2, but going in the same range Darnell Mooney, Marvin Mims?

Brock Bowers TE10-14; I almost got the sense that the NFL was apologetic for having Bowers drop to 13...and to LV no less. but TE is a position you draft on upside. Aside from the elites, the week-to-week production simply isn't there and even then...the elites have to put up elite numbers. In a world where Trey McBride and Dalton Kincaid are going TE3/4 in some cases, Bowers feels criminally low.
 
I have scooped up Pollard and Ekeler in several redrafts to be part of the RB2/3 Platoon, if one catches fire, always room in the Flex-1 and Flex-2 spots.

-Excellent thread topic and long time fan
 
I don't buy the Watson love. If he falls in drafts anymore than he already does I'll take a chance on him as my backup but all I hear are excuses. He hasn't been good in a few years and ol Flacco was in the very same offense with the same players. Jeudy is always hurt and hasn't reached near his potential and while about the same feel if he falls even more...but mostly I don't get it.
Aaron Rodgers I like a lot. His ADP is low for a guy that puts up stats that he has and that compensates me for his age. I enjoy the super Mario mushroom jokes w him and can totally appreciate the whole risk reward premise with him.
Bowers...I can't do it. Shockey was a terrific rookie TE and he was a ways behind Tony G and Gates. You've got him at 13. I haven't experienced him going lower than the 5-8 range. At 13 he could backup Kelce and ok that's a different perspective.
I love Mims. Idk what the world wants to see to convince them that he hasn't done already. Rocked in college, subbed in well, made plays when they threw to him.
Quentin is a pain like any year two guy that struggled. You're a moron for drafting a struggling guy and a genius for being patient he developed. He's a fun risk reward guy

I appreciate the post just countering
 
I like your Watson, Rodgers, and Johnston calls. I've been scooping all of them up cheaply.

Rhamondre is (was) another one before this contract news. He was going for late 2nds in my Superflex leagues.

Other names I'm trying to acquire:

QBs - Purdy (buy high), Young, Fields, and, as mentioned, Watson & Rodgers

RBs - Rhamondre, Najee, Brian Robinson, Spears, and Corum

WRs- Waddle, Metcalf, Godwin, and C. Watson

TEs - Andrews and Hock (trending towards a buy) are my elite buys. Muth, Darnell Washington, and Mayer, if you want a cheap TE
 
QB: Rodgers, Daniel Jones, Justin Fields

RB: Almost all the rookies drafted on day three are going too low

WR: Pickens, Cooper, Pearsall, Palmer, A Mitchell, Dotson, Sutton

TE: Juwan Johnson, Chig Okonkwo, Jonnu Smith, Noah Fant
 
QB: Rodgers, Daniel Jones, Justin Fields

RB: Almost all the rookies drafted on day three are going too low

WR: Pickens, Cooper, Pearsall, Palmer, A Mitchell, Dotson, Sutton

TE: Juwan Johnson, Chig Okonkwo, Jonnu Smith, Noah Fant
What round is day three?
My brain only knows this in April
 
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I don't buy the Watson love.
I get that, but when I was trying to sell in SF, the best (only) offer was a 4th round pick. Obviously holding on that, but if someone wants him he’s cheap.
I didn’t even get a reply when I offered him for Levis.
 
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I'm scooping these guys up in best ball. Some are practically free. I like them all to have 3+ weeks getting above the cutoff into the lineup:

QB:

Baker Mayfield

Aiden O’Connell

RB:

Javonte Williams

Gus Edwards

Antonio Gibson

Dylan Laube

WR:

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Wan’Dale Robinson

Curtis Samuel

TE:

Chigodem Ok

Jujuan Johnson

Mike Gesicki

K (Yes, some of us play in FFPC :))

Evan McPherson

Dustin Hopkins

Matt Prater

Defense:

Eagles

Colts
 
Deshaun Watson QB20;-22 His 'brand' still feels radioactive...perhaps deservedly so. but let's take out the game he got hurt early in...he was on pace for 3775 passing yards, 480 rushing yards 24 passing TD's/4 rushing TD's. And people seem to be calling it a career. And that 3rd game of 2023 was what I'd term a vintage Deshaun game. And they got him Jerry Jeudy.
If we remove the game he only played 12 snaps vs IND, that gives him 11 full games as the Browns QB over the last 2 seasons. He has averaged 15.7 fantasy points for those 11 games, which would put him at QB22 last year. His rushing stats were similar to HOU, but his passing yardage and TD/INT ratio plummeted. IMO, he is priced at his floor, and would consider him around QB15.
 

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