Who are your mid-first round targets? (2 Viewers)

[ignatiusjreilly]

I was looking for one of those "6th pick redraft" threads but it seems like no one does those anymore, because all the search results were from like 2018.

In any event, my question really isn't about a specific draft slot. It's a dilemma I find I'm encountering as I prepare for my main money draft that I would imagine also applies to others drafting in the same area.

Background: 14-team non-PPR, start 2 RBs/3WRs/no flex. The non-PPR makes RBs. more valuable, but the 3 WRs makes WRs more scarce. I'm slated to pick 6th.

I'm assuming the first four picks in most drafts will be some combo of Chase, Saquon, Gibbs and Bijan. Maybe in PPRs Jefferson or Lamb will sneak in there, but knowing my league's history it's unlikely to happen. That's when things get interesting.

Here's who I could see going in the next few picks:

RBs
Henry (remember, this is non-PPR)
CMC
Jeanty

WRs
Jefferson
Lamb
ARSB
Puka

Here's my current decision flowchart (definitely subject to change before Monday's draft):

• If any of the Big Four fall to me at 6, smash the Draft button
• If Henry/CMC are available, take them, in that order
• By definition, I would have to get one of the Big Four or those 2 RBs by the time I pick at 6, but speaking more generally, after those I would go JJ, Lamb and ARSB . Then Puka, though I'm a little nervous about taking any Rams because of the Stafford situation. I'd really prefer not to take Jeanty in the first round (maaaaybe at the end of the first, but I'd go Jacobs before I'd take him).

Also, one way I like to look at decisions like that is to see what options it leaves me with in the following round and then decide which combo I like better. In a 14-team league, I really hate to go too long before drafting my RB1 and WR1, so I probably want to get one of each in the first two rounds. If I take a RB first, I'm probably looking at the likes of AJ Brown, JSN or Ladd at the 2.09 (possibly even London). If I take a WR, then best case I could hope for Jacobs or Taylor to fall to me, but worst case it's more like Kyren, Hampton or Cook. Having one of those guys as my RB1 wouldn't be the end of the world, but I'd much rather have one of those wideouts as my WR1.

The other thing I should add about my league is that, with 2RBs and no flex, I tend to go Hero RB. Get a stud early and hope my RB2 pans out, but if not there's a good chance I can fill that spot with either a later-round pick or a WW add.

Anyway, that's my thinking. How are others viewing the middle of the first round?

 

[Krilons Resa]

Once the first half of the 1st round is behind me, it's all BTJ, all the time.

 

[ignatiusjreilly]

Once the first half of the 1st round is behind me, it's all BTJ, all the time.

I'm confused. Are you saying you would take him in the mid-first, like at 6 or 7? That's a bit aggressive relative to ADP, but not totally out of line if you think he's going up a level this year

 

[Krilons Resa]

I just noticed this is a standard league. Sorry! In that case, I'd definitely go Henry/CMC if available, then Ceedee, then BTJ but I am highly aggressive on BTJ this year.

 

[ignatiusjreilly]

I just noticed this is a standard league. Sorry! In that case, I'd definitely go Henry/CMC if available, then Ceedee, then BTJ but I am highly aggressive on BTJ this year.

Clearly. But you're saying you'd take him ahead of Jefferson?

 

[Krilons Resa]

Once the first half of the 1st round is behind me, it's all BTJ, all the time.

I'm confused. Are you saying you would take him in the mid-first, like at 6 or 7? That's a bit aggressive relative to ADP, but not totally out of line if you think he's going up a level this year

I just noticed this is a standard league. Sorry! In that case, I'd definitely go Henry/CMC if available, then Ceedee, then BTJ but I am highly aggressive on BTJ this year.

Clearly. But you're saying you'd take him ahead of Jefferson?

Yes. But I am in the minority on this. I tend to be contrarian and aggressive. It's hard to go wrong and easy to overthink it at that drat position this year.

 

[Smack Tripper]

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

 

[Chaka]

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

 

[travdogg]

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

 

[Chaka]

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

 

[Raback]

I’m taking Lamb there

 

[joey]

Picking at 7.
If I could GUARANTEE I could get Jacobs on the way back, I’d take Lamb for sure.
But I don’t think that’s going to happen in my long time, 12 team, 0.5ppr draft on Wednesday.
So I’ll probably go “safe” with Henry and then take BPA on the way back.

 

[Ray Barboni]

Picking at 7.
If I could GUARANTEE I could get Jacobs on the way back, I’d take Lamb for sure.
But I don’t think that’s going to happen in my long time, 12 team, 0.5ppr draft on Wednesday.
So I’ll probably go “safe” with Henry and then take BPA on the way back.

You know your league better than I do, but it's doubtful Ceedee would even be there for you at 7.

 

[joey]

Picking at 7.
If I could GUARANTEE I could get Jacobs on the way back, I’d take Lamb for sure.
But I don’t think that’s going to happen in my long time, 12 team, 0.5ppr draft on Wednesday.
So I’ll probably go “safe” with Henry and then take BPA on the way back.

You know your league better than I do, but it's doubtful Ceedee would even be there for you at 7.

Could be.

 

[Mookie Gizzy]

Picking at 7.
If I could GUARANTEE I could get Jacobs on the way back, I’d take Lamb for sure.
But I don’t think that’s going to happen in my long time, 12 team, 0.5ppr draft on Wednesday.
So I’ll probably go “safe” with Henry and then take BPA on the way back.

You know your league better than I do, but it's doubtful Ceedee would even be there for you at 7.

FYI Jacob’s went at 11 in my draft last night.The team at 7 took Achane in round 2

 

[joey]

Picking at 7.
If I could GUARANTEE I could get Jacobs on the way back, I’d take Lamb for sure.
But I don’t think that’s going to happen in my long time, 12 team, 0.5ppr draft on Wednesday.
So I’ll probably go “safe” with Henry and then take BPA on the way back.

You know your league better than I do, but it's doubtful Ceedee would even be there for you at 7.

FYI Jacob’s went at 11 in my draft last night.The team at 7 took Achane in round 2

I think people are finally looking at stats and saying, “oh yeah, this dude finished at RB5 last year” and it’s not like the offense got WORSE.

 

[Uncle Leo]

Picking at 7.
If I could GUARANTEE I could get Jacobs on the way back, I’d take Lamb for sure.
But I don’t think that’s going to happen in my long time, 12 team, 0.5ppr draft on Wednesday.
So I’ll probably go “safe” with Henry and then take BPA on the way back.

You know your league better than I do, but it's doubtful Ceedee would even be there for you at 7.

12 Man PPR league. Lamb was there due to the person ahead of me taking Henry. I had to think for a bit, but stuck with my plan and took CMC. The next person happily took Lamb at 8.

 

[rockaction]

Picking at 7.
If I could GUARANTEE I could get Jacobs on the way back, I’d take Lamb for sure.
But I don’t think that’s going to happen in my long time, 12 team, 0.5ppr draft on Wednesday.
So I’ll probably go “safe” with Henry and then take BPA on the way back.

You know your league better than I do, but it's doubtful Ceedee would even be there for you at 7.

12 Man PPR league. Lamb was there due to the person ahead of me taking Henry. I had to think for a bit, but stuck with my plan and took CMC. The next person happily took Lamb at 8.

Gotta love sticking with the plan. I’ve come around on McCaffrey this year. If you are playing with sharps then he’s the way to go. Everybody says you win in the later rounds when everybody drafts stupidly (I prefer the term suboptimally), but if you’re playing with guys that both know and act like you, you’re looking for any advantage in any round because otherwise it’s just luck.

And CMC is that advantage in the first.

 

[massraider]

I think people are finally looking at stats and saying, “oh yeah, this dude finished at RB5 last year” and it’s not like the offense got WORSE.

I've been goofing around with Best Ball drafts, and anytime I am picking late in the 1st, I really love going RB/RB.

And really fun builds is when I take Trevyon in the 3rd. Going RB/RB/RB, if you love all three backs, is a fun way to go.

 

[Smack Tripper]

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

All things being equal, I'd take chase I think, over say prime CMC, less injury risk in a vacuum and more ceiling to be realized with chase I think

I think CMC goes where he does because the options ahead of him are a safe hedge, which makes sense, but its a weird psychological place to be, he's either a wasted pick or he isn't. Its funny you reach a point in the round where he's "worth it". Thats why I say he's 2 or not at all, and I see the case for all things. I would think there's an argument for Gibbs over him though.

 

[Chaka]

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

All things being equal, I'd take chase I think, over say prime CMC, less injury risk in a vacuum and more ceiling to be realized with chase I think

I think CMC goes where he does because the options ahead of him are a safe hedge, which makes sense, but its a weird psychological place to be, he's either a wasted pick or he isn't. Its funny you reach a point in the round where he's "worth it". Thats why I say he's 2 or not at all, and I see the case for all things. I would think there's an argument for Gibbs over him though.

Whelp. I'm a newly minted CMC manager. Just fell to me at 2.09 in a 10 team PPR redraft. Henry and Chase Brown were taken ahead of him.

 

[travdogg]

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

All things being equal, I'd take chase I think, over say prime CMC, less injury risk in a vacuum and more ceiling to be realized with chase I think

I think CMC goes where he does because the options ahead of him are a safe hedge, which makes sense, but its a weird psychological place to be, he's either a wasted pick or he isn't. Its funny you reach a point in the round where he's "worth it". Thats why I say he's 2 or not at all, and I see the case for all things. I would think there's an argument for Gibbs over him though.

Whelp. I'm a newly minted CMC manager. Just fell to me at 2.09 in a 10 team PPR redraft. Henry and Chase Brown were taken ahead of him.

That's insane to me, especially in PPR, that 18 players went ahead of CMC. Gigantic steal for you. You basically got to make 2 picks at #2 in my eyes.

 

[Chaka]

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

Mid round, against all odds, against my better judgment, I'm all about CMC. I dont expect Cmc but I'll take prime Ekler out of him

If he's not on your do not draft list, he should easily be 2 in the draft, so mid round, all day long

I think you can wait, but the guy I keep coming back to that I want to take is Josh Jacobs. Safe, dependable and steady, he's the guy you love in a 14 teamer

Maybe, but in non-ppr I lean Henry strongly. His track record of health and TD production blows CMC out of the water.

Over the last seven seasons Henry has played in 16, 15, 16, 8, 16, 17 & 17 games and scored 12, 18, 17, 10, 12, 13 & 18 TDs. And he averaged 1,642 yards with a low of 1,091 (in 8 games).

CMC over the last seven seasons has played in 16, 16, 3, 7, 17, 16 & 4 games scoring 13, 19, 6, 2, 13, 21 & 0 averaging 1,395 yards.

Henry is 2.5 years older and has 658 more career touches which is a concern compared to most other RBs but, not CMC.

When you remove receptions from the equation it really isn't close.

Every year CMC has stayed healthy he's outscored Henry, even in non-PPR.

Lamb to me would be a really tough pass, especially now with the Parsons trade, 200 targets feels very possible, as Dallas seems like a weekly shootout team. Don't hate Jefferson at #6 either, he's just so consistent and he's done it across 3 different QBs, one of whom was Nick Mullens.

Of course. When healthy CMC is the #1 player on the board. But, very few are drafting him there for a reason.

And in non PPR the margin between CMC and the field is much smaller.

All things being equal, I'd take chase I think, over say prime CMC, less injury risk in a vacuum and more ceiling to be realized with chase I think

I think CMC goes where he does because the options ahead of him are a safe hedge, which makes sense, but its a weird psychological place to be, he's either a wasted pick or he isn't. Its funny you reach a point in the round where he's "worth it". Thats why I say he's 2 or not at all, and I see the case for all things. I would think there's an argument for Gibbs over him though.

Whelp. I'm a newly minted CMC manager. Just fell to me at 2.09 in a 10 team PPR redraft. Henry and Chase Brown were taken ahead of him.

That's insane to me, especially in PPR, that 18 players went ahead of CMC. Gigantic steal for you. You basically got to make 2 picks at #2 in my eyes.

Home leagues are funny like that. His injury history is a cautionary tale but, I was shocked he fell too.

 

[Insein]

Non PPR, Henry is the #1 choice if he's still there. I wouldn't be surprised if he's gone by then though.