Who will be top ten? RBs (1 Viewer)

[Willowdoc]

We all know that between 4 and 6 of last year's top 10 performers will not repeat the next year. I've also seen studies that suggest that half of the top 10 consensus players will not be there at the end of the year. Here are last years top 10 RBs (PPR scoring, FBG rank in parentheses) and consensus top 10 RBs by ADP. Who won't be here at the end of 2007 and who will replace them? Its also been a truism in the past that at least one of the three consensus top 3 won't be there at the end either. You'll only need 4 off last years list since we'll give you Tiki Barber won't repeat.

Last season:

1. Tomlinson (1)

2. Jackson (3)

3. Johnson (2)

4. Westbrook (6)

5. Gore (4)

6. Parker (5)

7. Barber (7)

8. Jones-Drew (8)

9. Bush (NA)

10. R. Johnson (9)

12. McAllister (10)

ADP Consensus:

1. Tomlinson

2. Jackson

3. Johnson

4. Gore

5. Alexander

6. Addai

7. Westbrook

8. Parker

9. R. Johnson

10. R. Bush

 

[Willowdoc]

My own selections:

Won't repeat: Johnson, Parker, Jones-Drew, RJohnson (as well as Barber)

Consensus: Johnson, Alexander, Parker, Johnson

To replace: Addai, Henry, Maroney, Benson, Betts

 

[code]

To replace: Addai, Henry, Maroney, Benson, Betts

More information please

 

[Willowdoc]

To replace: Addai, Henry, Maroney, Benson, Betts

More information please

No information, just a hunch. Every year someone makes the the top 10 who most people dont expect. But in the retrospectoscope, seemed like it was a good possibility at the time. Last year the obvious one was Gore. So looking around the league this year, I saw three situations where a RB could explode "unexpectedly": Jacksonville - Taylor (not MJD who needs a Taylor injury), Minnesota - Peterson (I also consider Jamal in Cleveland, but even if he does explode it wont be top 10 unless he catches more passes) and Washington - Betts looked great when he played. Nothin more than a hunch that Portis will not be the guy.

 

[JAMMIN]

LT

SJAX

LJ

Gore

Westbrook

Parker

Addai

Maroney

Rudi

Henry

 

[rikishiboy]

In your post you say PPR scoring, but the FBG rankings are not PPR I believe....which do you want?

 

[Gopher State]

LTSJAXLJGoreWestbrookParker AddaiMaroneyRudiHenry

This looks about right, maybe switch Rudi and Gore positions.

 

[Jeff Haseley]

2006 pre-season rankings vs. 2006 end of season rankings

Player (pre-season/end of season) Change in ranking, stay in top 10?

L. Johnson (1/2), -1, Yes

L. Tomlinson (2/1) +1 Yes

S. Alexander (3/28) -25, No

T. Barber (4/7) -3, Yes

R. Johnson (5/9) -4, Yes

R. Brown (6/25) -19, No

S. Jackson (7/3) +4, Yes

W. Parker (8/5) +3, Yes

L. Jordan (9/55) -46, No

W. McGahee (10/26) -16, No

6 of 10 remained in the top 10 (60%)

3 of 10 improved ranking

7 of 10 finished lower than pre-season ranking

4 of 10 decreased their ranking by at least 16 spots

Current 2007 pre-season rankings (Avg Expert rankings)

1. Tomlinson

2. S. Jackson

3. L. Johnson

4. F. Gore

5. Westbrook

6. Parker

7. Alexander

8. Addai

9. Henry

10. R. Johnson

Let the mind games begin.

 

[JAMMIN]

anyone have more input

 

[SuperJohn96]

Won't repeat: Johnson, Parker, Jones-Drew, RJohnson (as well as Barber)

In my local league I have LJ and had TikiIn my iDynasty league I have Rudi and FWPI hate you.

 

[Dirty Weasel]

2006 pre-season rankings vs. 2006 end of season rankings

Player (pre-season/end of season) Change in ranking, stay in top 10?

L. Johnson (1/2), -1, Yes

L. Tomlinson (2/1) +1 Yes

S. Alexander (3/28) -25, No - Only played in 10 games

T. Barber (4/7) -3, Yes

R. Johnson (5/9) -4, Yes

R. Brown (6/25) -19, No - Missed 3 games, 4.2ypc, 1000yds rushing, only 5 TD's total, MIA sucked with Harrington

S. Jackson (7/3) +4, Yes

W. Parker (8/5) +3, Yes

L. Jordan (9/55) -46, No - Only played in 10 games, OAK sucked, as expected, signs were there

W. McGahee (10/26) -16, No - Missed 2 games, only 4 carries in another, only 18 catches all year, bad offense

6 of 10 remained in the top 10 (60%)

3 of 10 improved ranking

7 of 10 finished lower than pre-season ranking

4 of 10 decreased their ranking by at least 16 spots

Current 2007 pre-season rankings (Avg Expert rankings)

1. Tomlinson

2. S. Jackson

3. L. Johnson

4. F. Gore

5. Westbrook

6. Parker

7. Alexander

8. Addai

9. Henry

10. R. Johnson

Let the mind games begin.

Of the 4 players that fell out of the top 10, 2 of them missed 6 games each, and the other 2 missed 3 games each (if you count Willis getting only 4 carries in week 9 vs GB).