Buy:
Kupp - Has been Goff's RZ target since day one. Don't remember the exact number, but he was definitely top 10 in the league in RZ targets and this is on a team that is good for 3 or 4 TD's every single game. Yes please.
Guice - ADP racked up 1000 yards fairly easily. The Redskins aren't the most creative offensive team. They run the ball - and run the ball pretty well. I'm really excited to see what this kid does next year.
Kamara - I know some people are down on him because they came to expect 50 points every single game. But for those of us who are actually realistic, he is going to continue producing at a high level and I see no reason for any regression in stats. Going to keep riding the train as long as Brees and Payton are driving the ship.
CMC - Thought he would finish top 3 last year and was scoffed at. Well, well, well. But then I went ahead and traded him for OBJ because I was loaded at RB.
Drafting at the end of round 1 again next year and if he is still there I will take him. Newton could potentially regress but I don't see that hurting CMC at all. It may actually help him if he stops thinking he needs to run the ball in every time the Panthers are inside the 10 yard line. Kid is an absolute stud. Probably the safest bet on the board.
Adams - He has been slowly creeping up draft boards the last couple of years. He may finally have reached his actual value. I had him his pseudo-breakout year and while the stats were pretty good, he dropped the ball...a LOT. He seems to have solved the dropsies and just like Kamara - as long as Rodgers is at the helm Adams is going to eat.
Juju - I can't decide if AB leaving is a good or bad thing. But regardless of what he does, Juju has cemented his place as one of the best receivers in the league. I see possible regression from Ben this year, that would be my only concern.
Lockett - Was always thought to be TD dependent and lived or died by the deep ball. He is still a deep ball threat but has more consistency to his game. I think the TD's and targets both go up next year. Got him late in several drafts last year and will be targeting him again. Not sure what is going on with Baldwin.
Mack - He's the real deal. Last preseason was one of the strangest I can remember for a team's backfield. First, Mack is the supposed starter then Hines looks to be the guy that can do it all. Suddenly Wilkins is the best pure runner. Then Mack comes back and straight up kills it. Now that all of the indecision has been ironed out, expect a big season with Luck now healthy and the Colts one of the hottest teams in the NFL. You know how you always enter a draft having a handful of guys that you really want? Mack is one of them for me next year.
Barkley - Nothing needs to be said here. He will be chosen in the top 3 and will finish top 3. Side by side with CMC as safest pick of the draft.
Sell:
Roethlisberger - Was really high on him last year and couldn't believe it when I snagged him in the 9th round. Helped me have the highest point season by any team ever in our league. But I don't think he will reproduce it. Not that he will fall off completely, in fact he will probably put up numbers around where he was initially projected last year. But I think this is a case of people jumping on someone a year too late where value is going in the wrong direction since ADP is going up and production will undoubtedly go down. But if for some reason he's not drafted higher in response to his 2018 production, he may still be a good pick.
Rivers - The guy who always produces but is never in the conversation of the guy you WANT at QB. You usually settle for him and he ends up giving you good production. I think he takes a step back this year. Will Allen stay healthy? Will they rely on Gordon more? Will Rivers come back with the fire in his eyes after a season where he had to feel like they had a shot? Too many question marks for me.
'Reek - I could be totally off on this one - and I would be ok with that because I may end up drafting him. This is more of a value thing - assuming he is drafted where he SHOULD be after last year (late 1st/early 2nd) I would pass at that evaluation. If he's there in the 3rd - I'm all about it. Boom and bust guys scare me. Having more than 1 in your starting lineup can make things very interesting from week to week. But he can also single handedly win you several weeks. I reached for him in the 2nd last year, so I'm not really sure where I'm going with this. But at the turn I don't think I'll land him this year because he'll go before my late 3rd.
Newton - Can't stand him. Never could. But credit where credit is due he has been a pretty solid fantasy QB. This year the regression continues. Panthers are slowly sliding into the island of zero ####s given. I see even more touches for CMC and outside of Moore I'm not excited by any guys catching the ball. What's Olsen doing?
Thielen - Call it a hunch. I've got nothing to back it up. I have him crossed off this year.
Mike Evans - TB is a dumpster fire. Man I really thought they were going to start being a lock for the playoffs year in and year out but the past two years it just hasn't come together for whatever reason. The talent is there - and as much as people can hate on Winston, he is a capable QB that should be able to run up and down the field with Evans and Godwin. And their running game - don't even know where to start with that black hole. They'll struggle to put up points this year but the fact that their defense is so atrocious will still force them to throw enough to get him some TDs.
Amari Cooper - I've never understood the love for the guy. The best Cooper I've seen was in college. And he was really. f'n. good. Hands like sticky paste. It seems he did find a better situation with Dallas and should continue to produce better than he ever did in Oakland - but for whatever reason his value is always way higher than his production.
Kareem Hunt - Doesn't really matter where he lands - I mean it does, obviously, but doesn't change my opinion that I will avoid him. Suit me up and I could run in KC. They are simply built for running back production regardless of who it is. D. Williams, what? So I'm not convinced he will thrive elsewhere. I would have to see it first.
Tyler Boyd - Bengals are a disaster. Is Dalton on a short leash this year? This is another one based more on value. I think he will come off the board sooner than I would like him. Should still be a solid producer, but not at WR1b/2a value.
There are more but I'm out of time. May add later.
