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Who's Your #1 RB (1 Viewer)

Which running back will be tops in 2006?

  • LaDainian Tomlinson

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Larry Johnson

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Shaun Alexander

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    0

freshly_shorn

Footballguy
I have the #2 pick in my favorite league and I know I'll get one of the big three. BUT, all three have major questions, though I suspect their talent will largely transcend the challenges.

Right now, this is how I feel..

1) Shaun Alexander. I think he is the lowest risk of the three. He lost Hutch on the line, but that's it.

2) Larry Johnson. You can't ignore what he did last season. I see him putting up very LT-like stats. Herm Edwards will run the ball, and he'll look to control the clock to keep a suspect 'd' off the field.

3) LaDainian Tomlinson. I love LT, but he's going to be boxed up until Rivers can loosen the coverages. Despite that, LT will still be LT.

 
format please
Sorry-TDs/6, 15 yards combined/1, rec/1, fumbles/-3
12 team?H2H?

Lineup requirement?

Playoff weeks?
Thanks for being gentle on the newbie.12 teams, 3 div, H2H, QB-RB-WR-TE-3O-FLEX-K-DL-DB-LB-1D-FLEX

14 Week Reg Season, 2 Week playoff, top 4 teams qualify.

www.rtsports.com qfl,guest for more

I'll put this in my sig. Thanks for the prompts.

 
LJ

SA

LT

Is the addition of Saunders the reason that everyone is pimping Portis? Because he hasn't exactly been a fantasy jugernaut since moving to Was. Even though Joe Gibbs just wants to run the ball.

Not trying to hate on Portis because I think he can be Top 5 this year easily but it would just seem that those other guys aren't really ready to fall off yet.

 
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Here comes Linus with a description of him having Portis and LT. What a great combo to have

 
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This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:goodposting:
LOL, that is why you picked LT 1.01 ....... :lmao: :boxing:
But I did trade to 1.3 and took Portis ahead of Alexander! LT and Portis baby!! That counts for something doesn't it?? :P
Smart man. Why would you overpay for a guy you know will be there later. Just because you draft someone else ahead of Portis doesn't mean you like him more. It only means you think the league as a whole places higher value on the guy you picked.
 
3) LaDainian Tomlinson. I love LT, but he's going to be boxed up until Rivers can loosen the coverages. Despite that, LT will still be LT.
When hasn't LT been boxed in? In not exactly like Brees was scaring defenses or anything...LT

LJ

SA

 
This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Seems there are plenty of people that think Portis as the #1 RB in 2006 is a good call. Yet you see it as pure comedy. What, you think Portis is going to fall out of the top 20? Let's see, he finished 6th last year in a standard scoring league. The team added guys that can help stretch the field, the coach loves to run the ball, and now Al Saunders is in the fold. Yep, can't see any reason why he would move down the rankings rather than up. LJ is in a new system and that line isn't getting any younger. LT has essentially a rookie QB that teams are going to dare to beat them by putting 9 guys in the box to stop LT. And SA lost the SB last year, is on Madden, just signed a huge contract and lost a probowl guard. Yeah, I see no reason to just take the top 3 from last year and mindlessly put them right back in the top 3 this year :rolleyes:

Good luck with that. I'll be sure to send you a post card from the playoffs....

 
This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Seems there are plenty of people that think Portis as the #1 RB in 2006 is a good call. Yet you see it as pure comedy. What, you think Portis is going to fall out of the top 20? Let's see, he finished 6th last year in a standard scoring league. The team added guys that can help stretch the field, the coach loves to run the ball, and now Al Saunders is in the fold. Yep, can't see any reason why he would move down the rankings rather than up. LJ is in a new system and that line isn't getting any younger. LT has essentially a rookie QB that teams are going to dare to beat them by putting 9 guys in the box to stop LT. And SA lost the SB last year, is on Madden, just signed a huge contract and lost a probowl guard. Yeah, I see no reason to just take the top 3 from last year and mindlessly put them right back in the top 3 this year :rolleyes:

Good luck with that. I'll be sure to send you a post card from the playoffs....
While I don't agree that Portis as #1 is comedy, I don't see him as a top three either. Those are good points that you make, but you could also say the same about Portis. For example, he is in a new offensive system now. He is also playing with a qb that doesn't scare anyone. Defenses will be keying on Portis and daring Brunell to beat them. See the playoffs from last year. I don't own him, but I still think he is top six or seven. Top three, no. But close.
 
This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Seems there are plenty of people that think Portis as the #1 RB in 2006 is a good call. Yet you see it as pure comedy. What, you think Portis is going to fall out of the top 20? Let's see, he finished 6th last year in a standard scoring league. The team added guys that can help stretch the field, the coach loves to run the ball, and now Al Saunders is in the fold. Yep, can't see any reason why he would move down the rankings rather than up. LJ is in a new system and that line isn't getting any younger. LT has essentially a rookie QB that teams are going to dare to beat them by putting 9 guys in the box to stop LT. And SA lost the SB last year, is on Madden, just signed a huge contract and lost a probowl guard. Yeah, I see no reason to just take the top 3 from last year and mindlessly put them right back in the top 3 this year :rolleyes:

Good luck with that. I'll be sure to send you a post card from the playoffs....
While I don't agree that Portis as #1 is comedy, I don't see him as a top three either. Those are good points that you make, but you could also say the same about Portis. For example, he is in a new offensive system now. He is also playing with a qb that doesn't scare anyone. Defenses will be keying on Portis and daring Brunell to beat them. See the playoffs from last year. I don't own him, but I still think he is top six or seven. Top three, no. But close.
When the new OC is Al Saunders that is not a detraction for a RB. And while I am not a Brunell fan, the guy did have 3K yards and 23 TD's last year with basically a single WR to throw to. He seems to have found the fountain of youth for at least a season. Who knows if he can keep it up. If he can repeat last year's number, then he will most definitely scare opposing D's.

 
I like Sean Alexander 1st this year. Super productive and very low risk. Great coach, great team O, lots of TDs.

I like Portis 2nd. Al Saunders and the new WRs will beef up the Washington O. More TDs and Portis wil be huge.

Some notes on why I dropped the common choices:

LT2 - Rivers is unproven and his WRs are suspect. He will get ALOT of D attention.

LJ - Sure Herm likes to run and control the clock, but I've never seen him get his team to actually be able to pull it off on a consistant basis. Productive - HELL YES. A given at the number 1? Not IMO.

 
This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Seems there are plenty of people that think Portis as the #1 RB in 2006 is a good call. Yet you see it as pure comedy. What, you think Portis is going to fall out of the top 20? Let's see, he finished 6th last year in a standard scoring league. The team added guys that can help stretch the field, the coach loves to run the ball, and now Al Saunders is in the fold. Yep, can't see any reason why he would move down the rankings rather than up. LJ is in a new system and that line isn't getting any younger. LT has essentially a rookie QB that teams are going to dare to beat them by putting 9 guys in the box to stop LT. And SA lost the SB last year, is on Madden, just signed a huge contract and lost a probowl guard. Yeah, I see no reason to just take the top 3 from last year and mindlessly put them right back in the top 3 this year :rolleyes:

Good luck with that. I'll be sure to send you a post card from the playoffs....
What is this new system you speak of? :confused:
 
This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Seems there are plenty of people that think Portis as the #1 RB in 2006 is a good call. Yet you see it as pure comedy. What, you think Portis is going to fall out of the top 20? Let's see, he finished 6th last year in a standard scoring league. The team added guys that can help stretch the field, the coach loves to run the ball, and now Al Saunders is in the fold. Yep, can't see any reason why he would move down the rankings rather than up. LJ is in a new system and that line isn't getting any younger. LT has essentially a rookie QB that teams are going to dare to beat them by putting 9 guys in the box to stop LT. And SA lost the SB last year, is on Madden, just signed a huge contract and lost a probowl guard. Yeah, I see no reason to just take the top 3 from last year and mindlessly put them right back in the top 3 this year :rolleyes:

Good luck with that. I'll be sure to send you a post card from the playoffs....
Lets not forget that LJ lost one of the best blocking FBs in the league too.My rankings as of now:

1. Portis

2. LT

3. SA

4. LJ

 
This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Seems there are plenty of people that think Portis as the #1 RB in 2006 is a good call. Yet you see it as pure comedy. What, you think Portis is going to fall out of the top 20? Let's see, he finished 6th last year in a standard scoring league. The team added guys that can help stretch the field, the coach loves to run the ball, and now Al Saunders is in the fold. Yep, can't see any reason why he would move down the rankings rather than up. LJ is in a new system and that line isn't getting any younger. LT has essentially a rookie QB that teams are going to dare to beat them by putting 9 guys in the box to stop LT. And SA lost the SB last year, is on Madden, just signed a huge contract and lost a probowl guard. Yeah, I see no reason to just take the top 3 from last year and mindlessly put them right back in the top 3 this year :rolleyes:

Good luck with that. I'll be sure to send you a post card from the playoffs....
What is this new system you speak of? :confused:
New HC and OC. I hear the company line that the O won't change much, but we all know that it will. No way it remains the exact same. When was the last time a Herm Edwards team had a RB with 20 TD's? When Curtis lead the league in rushing 2 years ago he had 14 (two of which were receiving TD's). The year before that Martin had 2 total TD's. He was injured you say? :no: He started all 16 games. In the 9 games LJ started last year he had 1351 yards rushing, 278 yards receiving and a total of 17 TD (1 rec). That, in a standard scoring league, is apporximately 29 points a game. Don't expect that this year.

 
This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Seems there are plenty of people that think Portis as the #1 RB in 2006 is a good call. Yet you see it as pure comedy. What, you think Portis is going to fall out of the top 20? Let's see, he finished 6th last year in a standard scoring league. The team added guys that can help stretch the field, the coach loves to run the ball, and now Al Saunders is in the fold. Yep, can't see any reason why he would move down the rankings rather than up. LJ is in a new system and that line isn't getting any younger. LT has essentially a rookie QB that teams are going to dare to beat them by putting 9 guys in the box to stop LT. And SA lost the SB last year, is on Madden, just signed a huge contract and lost a probowl guard. Yeah, I see no reason to just take the top 3 from last year and mindlessly put them right back in the top 3 this year :rolleyes:

Good luck with that. I'll be sure to send you a post card from the playoffs....
What is this new system you speak of? :confused:
New HC and OC. I hear the company line that the O won't change much, but we all know that it will. No way it remains the exact same.
why, because you say so? The new OC is the old offensive line coach, he's been there for years. You really think they're going to fix what isn't broke?
Solari takes over a Kansas City offense that has ranked among the league leaders in virtually every major category over the past five seasons. Solari was an integral part of that offensive success and played a key role in developing Kansas City’s game plans over that timeframe, particularly as it related to the running game and protection packages.
link
 
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Lets not forget that LJ lost one of the best blocking FBs in the league too.
Was Richardson really known as a great blocker? I know he was an important part of the team but I didn't think he was a top blocker like Neal, etc. Was he?
 
FBG posted combined ADP today-

LJ 1

LT 2

SA 3

CP 4

EJ 5

Their expert ratings agree except that Tiki is 5th.

So a whole lot of pros and shmoes alike agree that CP is an also-ran to the Big Three. I will say he *may* be the best of the next tier, but Tiki will be right there, too.

 
I initially scoffed at the idea of ranking Portis #1 overall, but as I have started to dig into the numbers a bit more, I have changed my opinion.

Al Saunders will certainly make some kind of impact on the Washington offense. How much of an impact is open to question, of course, but personally I think that he'll not only have a positive effect on the ground game, but also have an effect on the run-pass ratio in the red zone.

Washington scored a very respectable 40 total offensive TDs last year -- 15 rushing and 25 through the air.

Over the past three years, Kansas City has scored an amazing 157 offensive TDs, with 89 (!) rushing TDs and 68 passing TDs. Almost 57% of KC's offensive TDs were scored on the ground.

Predicting Washington to shoot up into KC territory in total TD production is admittedly unrealistic. I think a modest (<5) increase is possible/likely. I also think that there is a good chance that the ratio of rushing TDs to passing TDs will be much closer to 1 : 1 in 2006.

I think that it is very realistic to predict Washington to have in the neighborhood of 20 rushing TDs as a team in 2006, and for Portis to hit/exceed 15 TDs on the ground. Coupled with a likely increase in overall ground game effectiveness, and a likely higher level of use in the passing game for Portis (see the reception totals for KC RBs under Saunders), this points to a career year for CP.

He certainly deserves to be in the discussion for the number 1 overall pick.

 
I initially scoffed at the idea of ranking Portis #1 overall, but as I have started to dig into the numbers a bit more, I have changed my opinion.

Al Saunders will certainly make some kind of impact on the Washington offense. How much of an impact is open to question, of course, but personally I think that he'll not only have a positive effect on the ground game, but also have an effect on the run-pass ratio in the red zone.

Washington scored a very respectable 40 total offensive TDs last year -- 15 rushing and 25 through the air.

Over the past three years, Kansas City has scored an amazing 157 offensive TDs, with 89 (!) rushing TDs and 68 passing TDs. Almost 57% of KC's offensive TDs were scored on the ground.

Predicting Washington to shoot up into KC territory in total TD production is admittedly unrealistic. I think a modest (<5) increase is possible/likely. I also think that there is a good chance that the ratio of rushing TDs to passing TDs will be much closer to 1 : 1 in 2006.

I think that it is very realistic to predict Washington to have in the neighborhood of 20 rushing TDs as a team in 2006, and for Portis to hit/exceed 15 TDs on the ground. Coupled with a likely increase in overall ground game effectiveness, and a likely higher level of use in the passing game for Portis (see the reception totals for KC RBs under Saunders), this points to a career year for CP.

He certainly deserves to be in the discussion for the number 1 overall pick.
:goodposting:
 
I initially scoffed at the idea of ranking Portis #1 overall, but as I have started to dig into the numbers a bit more, I have changed my opinion.

Al Saunders will certainly make some kind of impact on the Washington offense. How much of an impact is open to question, of course, but personally I think that he'll not only have a positive effect on the ground game, but also have an effect on the run-pass ratio in the red zone.

Washington scored a very respectable 40 total offensive TDs last year -- 15 rushing and 25 through the air.

Over the past three years, Kansas City has scored an amazing 157 offensive TDs, with 89 (!) rushing TDs and 68 passing TDs. Almost 57% of KC's offensive TDs were scored on the ground.

Predicting Washington to shoot up into KC territory in total TD production is admittedly unrealistic. I think a modest (<5) increase is possible/likely. I also think that there is a good chance that the ratio of rushing TDs to passing TDs will be much closer to 1 : 1 in 2006.

I think that it is very realistic to predict Washington to have in the neighborhood of 20 rushing TDs as a team in 2006, and for Portis to hit/exceed 15 TDs on the ground. Coupled with a likely increase in overall ground game effectiveness, and a likely higher level of use in the passing game for Portis (see the reception totals for KC RBs under Saunders), this points to a career year for CP.

He certainly deserves to be in the discussion for the number 1 overall pick.
Well done!! :thumbup:
 
I initially scoffed at the idea of ranking Portis #1 overall, but as I have started to dig into the numbers a bit more, I have changed my opinion.

Al Saunders will certainly make some kind of impact on the Washington offense. How much of an impact is open to question, of course, but personally I think that he'll not only have a positive effect on the ground game, but also have an effect on the run-pass ratio in the red zone.

Washington scored a very respectable 40 total offensive TDs last year -- 15 rushing and 25 through the air.

Over the past three years, Kansas City has scored an amazing 157 offensive TDs, with 89 (!) rushing TDs and 68 passing TDs. Almost 57% of KC's offensive TDs were scored on the ground.

Predicting Washington to shoot up into KC territory in total TD production is admittedly unrealistic. I think a modest (<5) increase is possible/likely. I also think that there is a good chance that the ratio of rushing TDs to passing TDs will be much closer to 1 : 1 in 2006.

I think that it is very realistic to predict Washington to have in the neighborhood of 20 rushing TDs as a team in 2006, and for Portis to hit/exceed 15 TDs on the ground. Coupled with a likely increase in overall ground game effectiveness, and a likely higher level of use in the passing game for Portis (see the reception totals for KC RBs under Saunders), this points to a career year for CP.

He certainly deserves to be in the discussion for the number 1 overall pick.
:goodposting: of course i traded this guy clinton portis (and anquan bolidn for gates, l. jordan and c. perry (in PPR) ) this offseason so i'm hoping for less out of him this year.
 
LT

SA

LJ

Mind you I'm an LT owner, so perhaps I'm wearin' ''Charger Blue" tinted glasses :wub:

I see the transition from Brees to Rivers as being the least worrysome issue for any of the most widely accepted top tier RB's this season.

The loss of Hutchison and the offensive balance available to the Seahawk Coaching staff leads me to believe SA will take a small step back from last seasons lofty #'s

One thing that troubles me and seem's mostly overlooked in KC is the loss of Tony Richardson, one of, if not the best run blocking back in all of football. The Chiefs under Herm's direction will still be run first, but the Oline is gettin' long in the tooth, the passing game needs a major upgrade and the Defence is still undergoing growing pains .. I see more 8 in the box type D's in LJ's future.

As far as long term value goes I'd rank them LJ, LT, SA ... but this season I see LT as RB1 when all is said and done!

:thumbup:

 
Sheesh. Enough of this Portis as number 1 nonsense. Yeah he'll be a top 5-8 guy but c'mon.

Saunders is not Midas - he had the personell.

 
Sheesh. Enough of this Portis as number 1 nonsense. Yeah he'll be a top 5-8 guy but c'mon.

Saunders is not Midas - he had the personell.
So you think he'll be a top 5-8 RB, but it is ridiculous to think he'll be top 3?As much as people want to believe there is a stone cold top 3, the odds that LJ, LT, and SA all actually end up in the top 3 is about 5%, probably less.

So someone saying they see Tiki, Portis, Edge, etc ending up in the top 3 isn't a stretch at all.

 
Sheesh. Enough of this Portis as number 1 nonsense. Yeah he'll be a top 5-8 guy but c'mon.

Saunders is not Midas - he had the personell.
So you think he'll be a top 5-8 RB, but it is ridiculous to think he'll be top 3?As much as people want to believe there is a stone cold top 3, the odds that LJ, LT, and SA all actually end up in the top 3 is about 5%, probably less.

So someone saying they see Tiki, Portis, Edge, etc ending up in the top 3 isn't a stretch at all.
Let's look at the facts. I looked at CP's numbers for the last four years, and then looked at the top three for the last three years (based on my leagues scoring, which was posted earlier):CP Att Yds Yds/Att RushTDs Fum Recs RecYds RecTDs RB RANK

2005 352 1516 4.31 11 2 30 216 0 7

2004 343 1315 3.83 5 4 40 235 2 14

2003 290 1591 5.49 14 1 38 314 0 4

2002 273 1508 5.52 15 3 33 364 2 6

His numbers have never been close to top three (given my scoring system: 6pt per TD, 1pt per 15 combined yds, 1 point per rec, -3 per fumble):

2005 TOP THREE

SA Att Yds Yds/Att RushTDs Fum Recs RecYds RecTDs

2005 370 1880 5.08 27 1 15 78 1

LT

2005 340 1464 4.31 18 1 51 370 2

Barber

2005 357 1860 5.21 9 1 54 530 2

2004 TOP THREE

Barber

2004 322 1518 4.71 13 2 52 578 2

LT

2004 339 1335 3.94 17 2 53 441 1

Alexander

2004 353 1688 4.78 16 3 23 170 4

2003 TOP THREE

LT

2003 313 1645 5.26 13 0 100 725 4

Holmes

2003 320 1420 4.44 27 1 74 690 0

Green

2003 355 1883 5.30 15 5 50 367 5

If I slighted anyone in this poll, it'd be Tiki- and I think everyone agrees that, based on LJ's outburst last season, he should pass Tiki this year.

I also find it interesting that while everyone is heralding the arrival of Saunders in DC, why isn't any one worried that LJ will fall back to earth under Edwards? Neither he, nor his OC, has produced a top three RB.

Even if he does, I don't see Portis in the top three with those numbers, and I don't see a big step up in TDs for him. That keeps him solidly in the second tier.

:football:

 
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Let's look at the facts. I looked at CP's numbers for the last four years, and then looked at the top three for the last three years (based on my leagues scoring, which was posted earlier):
I don't think you've paid much attention to this debate. Several people have down graded LJ from the loss of is HC and OC and upgraded Portis from it. Of the RBs listed, Portis is the ONLY one for which I think we can realistically expect an improvement in numbers. All of the other 3 should realistically expect a decrease if you ask me. Portis is the only 1 of the 4 who has had his situation improve from last year to this year. I and others happen to see it as a rather significant improvement. Even if you don't agree that it is significant, I don't think there is any way you can say it hasn't been an improvement.The mistake far too many are making is only looking at last years numbers. A fair amount has changed for every RB in the top 4 from last year to this. You can spit those at us all you want, they don't do much for convincing.

 
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LT

LJ

SA

To me, until he slows down, Tomlinson is the #1. The offeensive line used to be rreally crappy, the quarterback situation was terrible. They didn't have Gates, and he was still #2. He's money in the bank. Consistency, and the whole td in so many straight games was great, and will continue to be great. Yardage totals and tds will be great, along with plenty of receptions to boot.

Larry Johnson is a great all around back, playing behind the best offensive line in football. Great speed and power. He can catch really well to boot. That being said, most of his insane stats were coming on 29 carries a game last year...that's just not going to happen.

Alexander. Great runner. Great line. The loss of Hutchinson will hurt though. The Madden cover jinx is silly, but it's accurate. Though, I'm not taking it into account on draft day.

Portis. He's great. Better receiving back than Alexander. However, in the end, I just don't see him being better. Alexander will get his 16-22 tds. Portis would do exceptionally well to see 16 period.

 
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If I slighted anyone in this poll, it'd be Tiki- and I think everyone agrees that, based on LJ's outburst last season, he should pass Tiki this year. 
:goodposting: except I think Tiki is a very good bet to be #1 RB again this season in PPR leagues.In that format he was the #1 RB in 2004 and only 1 point per game from repeating in 2005.

Consider the following:

1) His training regimen in later years has really improved his game and now he never gets hurt.

2) Since Coughlin arrived he's averaged 2,243 total yards per year, 13 TD's & 53 receptions :eek:

3) Even though Jacobs steals a few TD's, they have to keep Barber on the field because they have a severe drop off at the RB spot when anyone else replaces him

4) Eli keeps getting better and has many weapons (Burress, Shockey & Toomer) to keep the defense from targeting Barber.

In fact, I think Barber may set the all-time yardage record this season.

 
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went with LJ Jr (not to be confused with LJ Sr. PSU coach and master recruiter)

but that's just a penn state bias talking :P

 
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This poll is useless w/o Portis.
Yep.....He's the #1 barring injury....
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Seems there are plenty of people that think Portis as the #1 RB in 2006 is a good call. Yet you see it as pure comedy. What, you think Portis is going to fall out of the top 20? Let's see, he finished 6th last year in a standard scoring league. The team added guys that can help stretch the field, the coach loves to run the ball, and now Al Saunders is in the fold. Yep, can't see any reason why he would move down the rankings rather than up. LJ is in a new system and that line isn't getting any younger. LT has essentially a rookie QB that teams are going to dare to beat them by putting 9 guys in the box to stop LT. And SA lost the SB last year, is on Madden, just signed a huge contract and lost a probowl guard. Yeah, I see no reason to just take the top 3 from last year and mindlessly put them right back in the top 3 this year :rolleyes:

Good luck with that. I'll be sure to send you a post card from the playoffs....
I think Portis has a decent shot at being a top 5 RB, and could possibly(although very unlikely) finish #1. What i find comical is that people would actually take him #1, especially over LJ. Fanatic, i dont truly believe you or anyone else here would pick Portis over LJ, if anyone truly would, and has a netteller account, i would be more than willing to make a small to moderate sized bet.

 
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3) LaDainian Tomlinson. I love LT, but he's going to be boxed up until Rivers can loosen the coverages. Despite that, LT will still be LT.
I don't really understand why people feel LT will be boxed up this year because of Rivers. In 2002, with Drew Brees in his first year here were LT's numbers. 372 1683 4.5 14 | 79 489 6.2 1He did that with a much more inferior offensive line, offensive weapons and defense. In 2002, SDG leading WRs were Curtis Conway: 57 852 14.9 5 and Tim Dwight 50 623 12.5 2. His leading TE was Stephen Alexander: 45 510 11.3 1. I don't remember what his offensive line looked like.Now he has Keenan McCardell: 70 917 13.1 9 and Antonio Gates: 89 1101 12.4 10. Much better recieving options than in 2002. Those guys alone should be enough to keep the defenses honest enough to give LT room.More than likely, the fact that Rivers is running the show probably increases LT's value in PPR leagues due to the fact that Rivers will probably use the RBs as an outlet value more often than Brees did the last couple of years. The Chargers will probably give Rivers one or two reads before they have him check down to an outlet reciever. Plus, Marty may lean more heavily on the running game to take pressure of Rivers. He might actually use the run to set up the pass instead of the other way around.If you think other guys are better, so be it. But I wouldn't use Rivers as the reason why LT would have problems.
 
I initially scoffed at the idea of ranking Portis #1 overall, but as I have started to dig into the numbers a bit more, I have changed my opinion.

Al Saunders will certainly make some kind of impact on the Washington offense.  How much of an impact is open to question, of course, but personally I think that he'll not only have a positive effect on the ground game, but also have an effect on the run-pass ratio in the red zone.

Washington scored a very respectable 40 total offensive TDs last year -- 15 rushing and 25 through the air.

Over the past three years, Kansas City has scored an amazing 157 offensive TDs, with 89 (!) rushing TDs and 68 passing TDs.  Almost 57% of KC's offensive TDs were scored on the ground.

Predicting Washington to shoot up into KC territory in total TD production is admittedly unrealistic.  I think a modest (<5) increase is possible/likely.  I also think that there is a good chance that the ratio of rushing TDs to passing TDs will be much closer to 1 : 1 in 2006. 

I think that it is very realistic to predict Washington to have in the neighborhood of 20 rushing TDs as a team in 2006, and for Portis to hit/exceed 15 TDs on the ground.  Coupled with a likely increase in overall ground game effectiveness, and a likely higher level of use in the passing game for Portis (see the reception totals for KC RBs under Saunders), this points to a career year for CP.

He certainly deserves to be in the discussion for the number 1 overall pick.
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