The Goose is Loose
Footballguy
For years it seemed that everyone would draft RB-RB in the first two rounds because they were so valuable. Over the past couple of years it seems the shift has been to draft RB-WR or WR-RB in the first two rounds (sprinkled with some QB's as well).
With this new trend, what I see happening is RB13-RB16 falling to the end of the second round and into the third while everyone panics to make sure they draft their WR1.
Looking at the rankings, it appears that with all the RBBC, the RB's really fall off around RB18 and you'll be looking at guys like Pierre Thomas, Marshawn, Moreno as your RB2. These guys all have big question marks.
On the WR side, there appears to be more depth. WR20-WR30 all seem very serviceable.
So, my question is, is it time to go RB-RB again and forget targeting a "stud" WR with one of your first two picks and draft a guy like Jacobs or Portis in the 2nd round and then fill in WR with lower tier guys?
With this new trend, what I see happening is RB13-RB16 falling to the end of the second round and into the third while everyone panics to make sure they draft their WR1.
Looking at the rankings, it appears that with all the RBBC, the RB's really fall off around RB18 and you'll be looking at guys like Pierre Thomas, Marshawn, Moreno as your RB2. These guys all have big question marks.
On the WR side, there appears to be more depth. WR20-WR30 all seem very serviceable.
So, my question is, is it time to go RB-RB again and forget targeting a "stud" WR with one of your first two picks and draft a guy like Jacobs or Portis in the 2nd round and then fill in WR with lower tier guys?
RBBC in the real-life NFL is what's driving this. Before, there were roughly 15 or so RBs in the league that stayed on the field most downs and didn't share many carries. Now, there's very few guys like this ... if you are bent on going RB-RB and you're picking 11 out of 12, you're likely going to be drafting two RBBC guys.The popularity of PPR is also a factor ... used to be, you wouldn't mind that Brandon Jacobs shares touches because of all his TDs. But now, elite WRs make up that scoring gap with PPR numbers.
I went into my 14-team draft picking 4th, thinking based on mocks and ADP that I'd go RB-WR-WR-RB, then Manning fell to me in 2, so I ended up going RB-QB-WR-WR-RB and my team is much better for it. Taking the QB early allowed me to spend mid-round picks that I'd spend on my QBBC guys instead on solid RB/WR backups. All about what the draft gives you ...