Why no love for Michael Griffin ? (1 Viewer)

[Mapmaker]

I'm curious as to why there seems to be so little to no Love for Michael Griffin week after week after week in the IDP rankings ... is there a justifiable reason ?? or are you guy's just totally blind to the fact he's having an exceptional season in Tennessee and is among the top scorers at his position ... 53 Tack, 10 Assis, 4Ints, 1 FF, 1FR, 7 PD ... second in scoring for DB's to LaRon Landry!

 

[Jene Bramel]

Can't speak for John specifically, but the TEN secondary is a tough projection. They've got three very strong options, any one of which could go off in any given week.

Griffin has 37 solos, but 21 of them came in two weeks. He's not had more than four solos in any other game. His last four weeks have been buoyed by an interception in each game. Griffin is one of the better playmakers at safety, but it's hard to project that continuing every week.

I probably would've given Griffin the benefit of the doubt with a little higher tackle projection and a higher fractional INT projection, but I can see the likely reasons for hesitancy.

 

[TheBottomLine]

Can't speak for John specifically, but the TEN secondary is a tough projection. They've got three very strong options, any one of which could go off in any given week.Griffin has 37 solos, but 21 of them came in two weeks. He's not had more than four solos in any other game. His last four weeks have been buoyed by an interception in each game. Griffin is one of the better playmakers at safety, but it's hard to project that continuing every week. I probably would've given Griffin the benefit of the doubt with a little higher tackle projection and a higher fractional INT projection, but I can see the likely reasons for hesitancy.

In fairness to Griffin, outside of the top 15 DB's, its rare to find one that isn't somewhat inconsistent. I agree with the original post, and actually he beat me to it. I'm surprised every week that projections come out and Griffin continues to get no love. Here are his weekly DB rankings this year, in order from week 1 to week 8: 112, 83, 101, 10, 30, 90, 101, 77. So thats two times in the top 70 for a guy who's 4th among all DB's in my league, which has pretty standard IDP scoring. Not here to bash this site and its experts.. I love this site and have no real complaints with it at all.. just mentioning that it has definitely caught my eye as well. As far as I'm concerned, continue to rank him low every week.. I don't mind him "overachieving" your expectations.

 

[Goyal the Goodfella]

Now in week 14 and Griffin still continues to get ranked in the the 70s week in and week out. He is seventh in my league and I thought sure he would be ranked higher this week due to his matchup with Indy. I have to start him over Chung regardless of projections I think. I can't afford to start someone who saw 50 percent of the snaps last week.

 

[Bdub]

Now in week 14 and Griffin still continues to get ranked in the the 70s week in and week out. He is seventh in my league and I thought sure he would be ranked higher this week due to his matchup with Indy. I have to start him over Chung regardless of projections I think. I can't afford to start someone who saw 50 percent of the snaps last week.

You think right. For the most part, rankings don't mean @#%&....

 

[Jene Bramel]

Now in week 14 and Griffin still continues to get ranked in the the 70s week in and week out. He is seventh in my league and I thought sure he would be ranked higher this week due to his matchup with Indy. I have to start him over Chung regardless of projections I think. I can't afford to start someone who saw 50 percent of the snaps last week.

You think right. For the most part, rankings don't mean @#%&....

Seventh in the league doesn't tell the whole story, unfortunately. Four or fewer solos in nearly 50% of his games. Thankfully, he saved his owners with a well-timed interception in four of those five games. He has just two PD and no INTs in his last five.However, safeties have been productive against Indianapolis over the past five weeks. You'll note though that the best comps (FS with run support capability) have been Nate Allen (2-1), Chinedum Ndukwe (2-1), Brandon Meriweather (5-3, INT/PD) and Eric Weddle (4-0, INT/PD/TD). Also of note, though it's clearly a different IND team, is that Griffin had just two solos in each IND matchup in 2009 and a zero solo game in 2008 (the other 2008 game was a six solo performance)

Griffin is projected to 4-1, 20% chance INT, 50% chance PD. Give him another solo, another assist and a full PD and he projects in the top 15. Give him just an extra solo in the projections and he's in the top 40 (a DB3). That's unfortunately the trade-off with using a median expectation approach to the projections/cheatsheet -- particularly with non-fractionated tackle counts and a deep position with such a wide range of expectations like DBs.

I certainly don't agree that the rankings are ####, but there's clearly room for context and interpretation. If you like Griffin's upside prospects with two strong tackling corners, solid OLBs and a top five MLB, I'd roll with him. And I clearly agree that Griffin at 60-80 snaps is a better bet than Chung at 30-50 snaps. So does John, who has projected Griffin above Chung (albeit marginally) this week.

 

[Goyal the Goodfella]

Good stuff Jene...I benched griffin and picked up verner off the waiver wire. Very pleased that I did.