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Footballguy
Simple question.
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Not a simple answer at all.I think this is an answer the voters will struggle with. Warner only has 5 years of good to great years out of his career. It becomes a decision of consistency and cumulative stats vs being awesome for a short span of his carrer.simple answer: yes
Why? When you compare Warner's cumulative stats, it appears he is not even close to the HOF. What Warner does have is 2 MVPs and a SuperBowl.He's a lock for the HOF, IMO
Now that we now know Warner's career is done, the conversation will be about facts and not what ifs.There have been several lengthy threads on this already.
I think you answered your own question. His cumulative stats aren't as high, but that's because of less years playing. The numbers he put up in those years, in addition to the Super Bowls, more than make up for that.Why? When you compare Warner's cumulative stats, it appears he is not even close to the HOF. What Warner does have is 2 MVPs and a SuperBowl.He's a lock for the HOF, IMO
This is more than almost every QB in the HOF.Warner only has 5 years of good to great years out of his career.
While true, that is like saying Gayle Sayers #'s are about the same as Ricky Williams' but Ricky had alot of okay years that added up to a good career. Sayers was at the top of his position for a good stint. Warner was one of the best ever (stats wise) for a five year stretch.In my opinion, a virtual lock.I just asked a friend the same question. My opinion was yes and he toldme to compare his stats to Mcnabb (who I would not consider an HOF QB) and the stats are alomost the same.Not a lock but I would still say yes.
Tell your friend to compare their postseason resumes and numbers. That should shut him up.I just asked a friend the same question. My opinion was yes and he toldme to compare his stats to Mcnabb (who I would not consider an HOF QB) and the stats are alomost the same.
Does he have 5 Pro Bowls? I only see 4.1999200020012008He should make it, maybe not on first try but will get in.The Rams and Cardinals sucked before he got to both teams and took both teams to the Superbowl, winning one. He has 2 MVP's and he has 5 Pro Bowls.
He only has 4 pro bowlsEven with only 114 starts, his list of accomplishments rivals the best of the best:
- 2 NFL MVPs (1999, 2001)
- 1 Super Bowl MVP (1999)
- Started in 3 Super Bowls with 2 different teams (only 2nd QB to start with two different teams)
- Holds top 3 passing yardage totals in Super Bowl history
- Fastest player to record 50 300-yard passing games (by a huge margin)
- 2nd player to pass for over 40 TDs in a season, mark still 5th all-time
- 3rd highest season yardage total all-time (4,830 in 1999)
- 5 Pro Bowls
- Only 2nd player to pass for over 100 TDs with two different franchises
There will be plenty of stat based arguments, but don't disregard the human element.Personality shouldn't play a part in Hall of Fame voting, but the voters are human and, as such, their emotions will sometimes get intertwined with their reasoning. Many of the voters are sportwriters, most of which harp on how great of a person Warner is and how he's such an asset to the league. That coupled with his stats and stellar playoff performance should get him into the Hall.
His rags to riches, in essence, story, as well as the fact that most of the media loves the guy, makes him even more of a lock.
It's 4, but who gives a crap? This year has shown once again how meaningless Pro Bowls are, so that is why they should never be used as HoF criteria.Does he have 5 Pro Bowls? I only see 4.1999200020012008He should make it, maybe not on first try but will get in.The Rams and Cardinals sucked before he got to both teams and took both teams to the Superbowl, winning one. He has 2 MVP's and he has 5 Pro Bowls.
ONLY 4?? The pendulum has swung in the total opposite direction for me. No way he gets in now.He only has 4 pro bowlsEven with only 114 starts, his list of accomplishments rivals the best of the best:
- 2 NFL MVPs (1999, 2001)
- 1 Super Bowl MVP (1999)
- Started in 3 Super Bowls with 2 different teams (only 2nd QB to start with two different teams)
- Holds top 3 passing yardage totals in Super Bowl history
- Fastest player to record 50 300-yard passing games (by a huge margin)
- 2nd player to pass for over 40 TDs in a season, mark still 5th all-time
- 3rd highest season yardage total all-time (4,830 in 1999)
- 5 Pro Bowls
- Only 2nd player to pass for over 100 TDs with two different franchises
I think we're counting alternates this year. And that was hardly the most important factoid of my post..He only has 4 pro bowlsEven with only 114 starts, his list of accomplishments rivals the best of the best:
- 2 NFL MVPs (1999, 2001)
- 1 Super Bowl MVP (1999)
- Started in 3 Super Bowls with 2 different teams (only 2nd QB to start with two different teams)
- Holds top 3 passing yardage totals in Super Bowl history
- Fastest player to record 50 300-yard passing games (by a huge margin)
- 2nd player to pass for over 40 TDs in a season, mark still 5th all-time
- 3rd highest season yardage total all-time (4,830 in 1999)
- 5 Pro Bowls
- Only 2nd player to pass for over 100 TDs with two different franchises
Who gives a crap? The HOF is all about comparing players to their peers, and the # of Pro Bowls is certainly something which would be compared.There will be plenty of stat based arguments, but don't disregard the human element.Personality shouldn't play a part in Hall of Fame voting, but the voters are human and, as such, their emotions will sometimes get intertwined with their reasoning. Many of the voters are sportwriters, most of which harp on how great of a person Warner is and how he's such an asset to the league. That coupled with his stats and stellar playoff performance should get him into the Hall.His rags to riches, in essence, story, as well as the fact that most of the media loves the guy, makes him even more of a lock.
It's 4, but who gives a crap? This year has shown once again how meaningless Pro Bowls are, so that is why they should never be used as HoF criteria.Does he have 5 Pro Bowls? I only see 4.1999200020012008He should make it, maybe not on first try but will get in.The Rams and Cardinals sucked before he got to both teams and took both teams to the Superbowl, winning one. He has 2 MVP's and he has 5 Pro Bowls.
Warner is not an alternate this year.I think we're counting alternates this year. And that was hardly the most important factoid of my post..He only has 4 pro bowlsEven with only 114 starts, his list of accomplishments rivals the best of the best:
- 2 NFL MVPs (1999, 2001)
- 1 Super Bowl MVP (1999)
- Started in 3 Super Bowls with 2 different teams (only 2nd QB to start with two different teams)
- Holds top 3 passing yardage totals in Super Bowl history
- Fastest player to record 50 300-yard passing games (by a huge margin)
- 2nd player to pass for over 40 TDs in a season, mark still 5th all-time
- 3rd highest season yardage total all-time (4,830 in 1999)
- 5 Pro Bowls
- Only 2nd player to pass for over 100 TDs with two different franchises
What's with you? Do you not have the ability to research before posting?http://www.azcentral.com/sports/cardinals/...-bowl-2010.htmlWarner is not an alternate this year.I think we're counting alternates this year. And that was hardly the most important factoid of my post..He only has 4 pro bowlsEven with only 114 starts, his list of accomplishments rivals the best of the best:
- 2 NFL MVPs (1999, 2001)
- 1 Super Bowl MVP (1999)
- Started in 3 Super Bowls with 2 different teams (only 2nd QB to start with two different teams)
- Holds top 3 passing yardage totals in Super Bowl history
- Fastest player to record 50 300-yard passing games (by a huge margin)
- 2nd player to pass for over 40 TDs in a season, mark still 5th all-time
- 3rd highest season yardage total all-time (4,830 in 1999)
- 5 Pro Bowls
- Only 2nd player to pass for over 100 TDs with two different franchises
He's as close to a lock as there is among retired, but not yet eligible, players.

Derrick Brooks, Deion Sanders, Marshall Faulk, Larry Allen and Jonathon Ogden (among others) are guaranteed to be first-ballot HOF guys. I'd say they're all closer to locks than Warner, although I'd say the odds are overwhelmingly likely that Warner gets in (while it's impossible that those guys don't all get in).He's as close to a lock as there is among retired, but not yet eligible, players.
I was assuming a playing alternate. Someone who would replace Brees or Favre.Interesting article on the situation...What's with you? Do you not have the ability to research before posting?http://www.azcentral.com/sports/cardinals/...-bowl-2010.htmlWarner is not an alternate this year.I think we're counting alternates this year. And that was hardly the most important factoid of my post..He only has 4 pro bowlsEven with only 114 starts, his list of accomplishments rivals the best of the best:
- 2 NFL MVPs (1999, 2001)
- 1 Super Bowl MVP (1999)
- Started in 3 Super Bowls with 2 different teams (only 2nd QB to start with two different teams)
- Holds top 3 passing yardage totals in Super Bowl history
- Fastest player to record 50 300-yard passing games (by a huge margin)
- 2nd player to pass for over 40 TDs in a season, mark still 5th all-time
- 3rd highest season yardage total all-time (4,830 in 1999)
- 5 Pro Bowls
- Only 2nd player to pass for over 100 TDs with two different franchises
Fans care about number of Pro-Bowls. Hall of Fame voters realize that Pro-Bowl voting is often an exercise in popularity and name recognition. Hall of Fame voters care more about All-Pro appearances than they do Pro-Bowl appearances.Who gives a crap? The HOF is all about comparing players to their peers, and the # of Pro Bowls is certainly something which would be compared.
This is more than almost every QB in the HOF.Warner only has 5 years of good to great years out of his career.
It's 5 more than Namath ever hadVince Young and David Garrard made the Pro Bowl this year (as alternates); Kurt Warner did not. Shall I go on?Who gives a crap? The HOF is all about comparing players to their peers, and the # of Pro Bowls is certainly something which would be compared.
And since it hasn't been mentioned yet (I don't think), he has twice been a first team All-Pro.Fans care about number of Pro-Bowls. Hall of Fame voters realize that Pro-Bowl voting is often an exercise in popularity and name recognition. Hall of Fame voters care more about All-Pro appearances than they do Pro-Bowl appearances.Who gives a crap? The HOF is all about comparing players to their peers, and the # of Pro Bowls is certainly something which would be compared.
simple answer: yes
You bet he's going, sooner rather than later. I have no idea what % of the Hall is first ballot inductees, but he's way over the bar IMO.why shouldn't personality play a part?guys with more colorful stories should absolutely have a better chance of getting into the hall of fame. It is called the hall of FAME after-all not hall of performance or abilityThere will be plenty of stat based arguments, but don't disregard the human element.Personality shouldn't play a part in Hall of Fame voting, but the voters are human and, as such, their emotions will sometimes get intertwined with their reasoning. Many of the voters are sportwriters, most of which harp on how great of a person Warner is and how he's such an asset to the league. That coupled with his stats and stellar playoff performance should get him into the Hall.
Fair enough. I can respect that position. I personally wouldn't take personality into account, but I also wouldn't fault people who take your position... to a degree.I'd be a lot more amenable to using a positive personality to give a borderline guy a bump into the Hall then I would using a negative personality to keep a guy out of the Hall. For instance, give Kurt the bump based on his incredible story and winning personality, but don't prohibit a derserving candidate like T.O. from getting in just because he's one of the biggest donks ever.why shouldn't personality play a part?guys with more colorful stories should absolutely have a better chance of getting into the hall of fame. It is called the hall of FAME after-all not hall of performance or abilityThere will be plenty of stat based arguments, but don't disregard the human element.Personality shouldn't play a part in Hall of Fame voting, but the voters are human and, as such, their emotions will sometimes get intertwined with their reasoning. Many of the voters are sportwriters, most of which harp on how great of a person Warner is and how he's such an asset to the league. That coupled with his stats and stellar playoff performance should get him into the Hall.
Warner has career ratings of 65.5% completions, 258 yards/game passing, 7.9 yards/attempt, 5.1% TD percentage.Mcnabb has career ratings of 59.0% completions, 222 yards/game passing, 6.9 yards/attempt, 4.6% TD percentage.The only reason their career totals are close is that McNabb has played in 148 games and Warner has just 125. McNabb's thrown 700 more passes and only has 8 more TDs.To take stats from recent inductions, Warner has many more good seasons than someone like Elway, who only threw for 60% completions three times and never threw for 30 TDs. And he's got at least as impressive a resume as Jim Kelly.It's a silly discussion, Warner is clearly in.I just asked a friend the same question. My opinion was yes and he toldme to compare his stats to Mcnabb (who I would not consider an HOF QB) and the stats are alomost the same.
Setting aside Montana's Super Bowl wins, Wanrer's cumulative post season stats are only exceeded by Montana and with far fewer starts than the other top postseason QBs. Warner got it done in the playoffs.Also, his is the rare case where the cumulative stats don't tell the whole story. Late start to his career. High achieving early arc once his career started. Followed by a dip from injury and two teams committing to develop their first round QBs but he still fought his way back to the upper echelons of NFL QBs and finished with great 2.5 year run. Add that type of achievement over adversity to his per start stats/averages, his post-season stats, his three Super Bowl appearances (w/one victory), 2 MVPs, and leadership of possibly the greatest offensive team in the last 20 years...maybe not a lock but his induction is likely. And yes, he was definitely one of the best of his generation so he passes that test, too.Tell your friend to compare their postseason resumes and numbers. That should shut him up.I just asked a friend the same question. My opinion was yes and he toldme to compare his stats to Mcnabb (who I would not consider an HOF QB) and the stats are alomost the same.
Only problem is all of those are pretty much seasonal stats as opposed to career.#26 passing yards#26 passing TDsHe makes it in but not on the first ballot.Even with only 114 starts, his list of accomplishments rivals the best of the best:- 2 NFL MVPs (1999, 2001)- 1 Super Bowl MVP (1999)- Started in 3 Super Bowls with 2 different teams (only 2nd QB to start with two different teams)- Holds top 3 passing yardage totals in Super Bowl history- Fastest player to record 50 300-yard passing games (by a huge margin)- 2nd player to pass for over 40 TDs in a season, mark still 5th all-time- 3rd highest season yardage total all-time (4,830 in 1999)- 5 Pro Bowls- Only 2nd player to pass for over 100 TDs with two different franchises
VY's season-to-pro-bowl ratio exceeds Warner's by far.Vince Young and David Garrard made the Pro Bowl this year (as alternates); Kurt Warner did not. Shall I go on?Who gives a crap? The HOF is all about comparing players to their peers, and the # of Pro Bowls is certainly something which would be compared.
IF Favre retires, you think he goes in with Favre?Yes, Warner will be inducted into the Pro Football HOF in his first year of eligibility.
FWIW, Dan Patrick asked Peter King, who has a HOF vote, this week how much the # of Pro Bowls played into HOF voting, and King said basically nil. I think what CrossEyed said about Warner being #3 QB of the decade holds alot of water. Sure he's worked with 2 top sets of WRs, but have you ever seen a QB more accurate hitting receivers in stride? I have not. He took 2 lower echelon teams to SBs during his tenure. 2 different teams to SBs. As great as Manning and Brady are, his run with AZ last yr would be equal to Manning doing such 4 yrs from now and Brady in 5. (Manning I can see. Brady not so much).VY's season-to-pro-bowl ratio exceeds Warner's by far.Vince Young and David Garrard made the Pro Bowl this year (as alternates); Kurt Warner did not. Shall I go on?Who gives a crap? The HOF is all about comparing players to their peers, and the # of Pro Bowls is certainly something which would be compared.
Cumulative stats? Let's compare him with 3 other Hall of Famers:Troy Aikman: 61.5% completion, 32942 yards, 165 TD, 141 INT, 81.6 QB RatingSteve Young: 64.3% completion, 33124 yards, 232 TD, 107 INT, 96.8 QB RatingJim Kelly: 60.1% completion, 35467 yards, 237 TD, 175 INT, 84.4 QB RatingKurt Warner: 65.5% completion, 32344 yards, 208 TD, 128 INT, 93.7 QB RatingOut of these Steve Young is the best and Kurt Warner is right behind him.Kurt Warner stats are very comparable and his 2 MVP's / 1 Super Bowl MVP / 2nd all time QB Rating in the playoffs / Top 3 passing games in Super Bowl History are just icing on the cake.Why? When you compare Warner's cumulative stats, it appears he is not even close to the HOF. What Warner does have is 2 MVPs and a SuperBowl.He's a lock for the HOF, IMO