ignatiusjreilly
Footballguy
Like everyone else on this Godforsaken forum, you've spent way too much time prepping for your draft, absorbed all the narratives, and identified your value picks. Now everyone else is catching on to them, and in some cases that's being reflected in rising ADP prices. So now you have to make a decision: Has the hype gone too far, or are you so sure of your analysis that you're going to pick them a round or two early just to make sure you get them?
Obviously, a lot of this is dependent on the kind of league you're in. If you're with a bunch of sharps, they've probably been reading all the same stuff you have. If the other GMs are more casual, you don't have to worry about them as much (though of course it only takes one)
Here are my opinions, and where I stand on them. I was going to try to find each player's ADP, but it's so hard to find a single reliable source, so I'll just say where I would or wouldn't feel comfortable with them in my lineup.
Allen Robinson -- I think I'm still in on taking him as my WR2 as early as the 4th round, maybe even the third. Stafford's injury scares me a little, but otherwise I think he puts up solid numbers and scoops up some of Kupp's regression
Dameon Pierce: LOL good luck figuring out a realistic ADP; this one is going to be entirely dependent on the whims of the other GMs in your league. As for my opinion, love the "rookie year James Robinson" potential but don't want to have to bank on it. That means I'd be pretty stoked to get him as my RB3, but I don't want him as my RB2, and I suspect he's going to end up closer to the latter
Cole Kmet: He seems to be becoming everyone's favorite late-round TE, but I'm still all in. I'd take him as early as late 7th, although I hope I don't have to.
Trey Lance: Classic example of a guy who would have been a good late-round pick a few years ago, but now that everyone knows about the QB cheat code will probably go too early. He still might justify the hype, but I don't think I would be willing to take him before the 7th.
Michael Pittman: Another one where I'm buying the hype. I'd prefer not to have him as my WR1, but if I go RB-RB and get him in the 3rd I think I'd be OK with that. If I have to take him in the 2nd that would be too rich. And if he's my WR2 I'm over the moon
Antonio Gibson: May get a late bump because of the Robinson news, but I think I'm still out on him as anything other than a late-round flyer
Obviously, a lot of this is dependent on the kind of league you're in. If you're with a bunch of sharps, they've probably been reading all the same stuff you have. If the other GMs are more casual, you don't have to worry about them as much (though of course it only takes one)
Here are my opinions, and where I stand on them. I was going to try to find each player's ADP, but it's so hard to find a single reliable source, so I'll just say where I would or wouldn't feel comfortable with them in my lineup.
Allen Robinson -- I think I'm still in on taking him as my WR2 as early as the 4th round, maybe even the third. Stafford's injury scares me a little, but otherwise I think he puts up solid numbers and scoops up some of Kupp's regression
Dameon Pierce: LOL good luck figuring out a realistic ADP; this one is going to be entirely dependent on the whims of the other GMs in your league. As for my opinion, love the "rookie year James Robinson" potential but don't want to have to bank on it. That means I'd be pretty stoked to get him as my RB3, but I don't want him as my RB2, and I suspect he's going to end up closer to the latter
Cole Kmet: He seems to be becoming everyone's favorite late-round TE, but I'm still all in. I'd take him as early as late 7th, although I hope I don't have to.
Trey Lance: Classic example of a guy who would have been a good late-round pick a few years ago, but now that everyone knows about the QB cheat code will probably go too early. He still might justify the hype, but I don't think I would be willing to take him before the 7th.
Michael Pittman: Another one where I'm buying the hype. I'd prefer not to have him as my WR1, but if I go RB-RB and get him in the 3rd I think I'd be OK with that. If I have to take him in the 2nd that would be too rich. And if he's my WR2 I'm over the moon
Antonio Gibson: May get a late bump because of the Robinson news, but I think I'm still out on him as anything other than a late-round flyer