WR catch percentages.... perhaps useful (chase)? (1 Viewer)

[Carter_Can_Fly]

I posted this in another thread in refernce to Cotchery and what took place this season....

"It is extremely difficult to draw much conclusion at this stage of the game in what will take place with the Jets passing game going forward. The Jets will again be a running team next season, but at some stage Sanchez is going to have to be able to throw the ball. Sanchez was very inconsistent this season.

Cotchery although he averaged 6.2 targets a game you have to take things into perspective.... Sanchez only had 24.2 attempts a game. That was one of the bottom in the league. In fact the only QB's on average that Sanchez threw more passes over were Young, Russel, and Fitzpatrick. For comparison sake Stafford lead the league with 37.7 pass attemps per game, Schuab was at 36.4 and Manning was at 35.7 attempts per game to round out the top 3.

If you look at what percentage of passes go a WR's way you have to be a little bit encouraged by the percentage of passes Cotchery was getting from his QB indicating that he is often the first read in Sanchez's progressions. AJ and Fitz who I view as the two best WR's in the game see 27% of their QB's passes. AJ averaged 10 targets a game and with Schuab throwing 36.4 attempts per game you get 27%. Fitz saw 9.5 targets a game and with Warner throwing 34.2 passes a game you would get 27%.

Cotchery's 6.2 targets a game with Sanchez 24.4 attempts bring him to 25%. There were 23 QB's who averaged over 30 passing attempts per game this season while starting. I am assuming Sanchez gets to 30 attempts a game by next year which would increase Cothcery's targets, and receptions next year. Just something to keep in mind."

-I am far from a stats guy and don't think I have opened up a new window or anthing at all. I am sure this is already done and if so is there easy access to it somewhere? You have something on this Chase?

 

[Ridgelake]

Here are Dallas' stats of the year, courtesy of Bob Sturm.

Season Target Distribution To Date:

Name Targets Catches % Yards FD/TD/INT

Witten 124 94 76% 1030 46/2/3

Austin 124 81 65% 1320 43/11/2

Williams 86 38 44% 596 21/7/1

Crayton 67 37 54% 622 20/5/2

Barber 36 26 72% 222 11/0/0

Bennett 30 15 50% 159 8/0/0

Choice 22 15 68% 132 7/0/0

Jones 22 19 86% 112 5/0/0

Hurd 12 7 58% 132 3/1/1

Phillips 9 6 67% 62 3/0/0

Ogletree 8 7 87% 96 5/0/0

Anderson 3 1 33% 5 0/0/

Totals 543 347 64% 4483 178/26/9

Its pretty clear who the 1A and 1B are in the offense. Its also abundantly clear that Roy and Romo are far from being on the same page. Look at Roy's completion %.

 

[Carter_Can_Fly]

Here are Dallas' stats of the year, courtesy of Bob Sturm.

Season Target Distribution To Date:

Name Targets Catches % Yards FD/TD/INT

Witten 124 94 76% 1030 46/2/3

Austin 124 81 65% 1320 43/11/2

Williams 86 38 44% 596 21/7/1

Crayton 67 37 54% 622 20/5/2

Barber 36 26 72% 222 11/0/0

Bennett 30 15 50% 159 8/0/0

Choice 22 15 68% 132 7/0/0

Jones 22 19 86% 112 5/0/0

Hurd 12 7 58% 132 3/1/1

Phillips 9 6 67% 62 3/0/0

Ogletree 8 7 87% 96 5/0/0

Anderson 3 1 33% 5 0/0/

Totals 543 347 64% 4483 178/26/9

Its pretty clear who the 1A and 1B are in the offense. Its also abundantly clear that Roy and Romo are far from being on the same page. Look at Roy's completion %.

So Austin was the target on average 22% of the time. Williams on average saw a minimal 15% of balls thrown his way.

 

[SSOG]

I posted this in another thread in refernce to Cotchery and what took place this season...."It is extremely difficult to draw much conclusion at this stage of the game in what will take place with the Jets passing game going forward. The Jets will again be a running team next season, but at some stage Sanchez is going to have to be able to throw the ball. Sanchez was very inconsistent this season.Cotchery although he averaged 6.2 targets a game you have to take things into perspective.... Sanchez only had 24.2 attempts a game. That was one of the bottom in the league. In fact the only QB's on average that Sanchez threw more passes over were Young, Russel, and Fitzpatrick. For comparison sake Stafford lead the league with 37.7 pass attemps per game, Schuab was at 36.4 and Manning was at 35.7 attempts per game to round out the top 3.If you look at what percentage of passes go a WR's way you have to be a little bit encouraged by the percentage of passes Cotchery was getting from his QB indicating that he is often the first read in Sanchez's progressions. AJ and Fitz who I view as the two best WR's in the game see 27% of their QB's passes. AJ averaged 10 targets a game and with Schuab throwing 36.4 attempts per game you get 27%. Fitz saw 9.5 targets a game and with Warner throwing 34.2 passes a game you would get 27%.Cotchery's 6.2 targets a game with Sanchez 24.4 attempts bring him to 25%. There were 23 QB's who averaged over 30 passing attempts per game this season while starting. I am assuming Sanchez gets to 30 attempts a game by next year which would increase Cothcery's targets, and receptions next year. Just something to keep in mind."-I am far from a stats guy and don't think I have opened up a new window or anthing at all. I am sure this is already done and if so is there easy access to it somewhere? You have something on this Chase?

It's an interesting take, and I think that Cotchery is probably underrated, but I don't think you can just directly scale his targets like that. First of all, Braylon Edwards has never had an offseason with the Jets. I think the fact that he'll have some time to work in the scheme is going to give him a disproportionate increase in role. I also think that Keller was far too underused, and I'd expect him to benefit the most of any Jets receiver by an increase in passing attempts.

 

[Chase Stuart]

It's an interesting take, and I think that Cotchery is probably underrated, but I don't think you can just directly scale his targets like that. First of all, Braylon Edwards has never had an offseason with the Jets. I think the fact that he'll have some time to work in the scheme is going to give him a disproportionate increase in role. I also think that Keller was far too underused, and I'd expect him to benefit the most of any Jets receiver by an increase in passing attempts.

I agree with this, and it's worth noting that with a full season of Leon Washington those numbers could change, too.I think looking at catch percentages (or FP percentages -- WR FPs divided by team receiving FPs) can be a useful tool, though.