I am on board with the idea of Fields breaking out on a similar path as Hurts or Tua last year (Allen is probably a stretch, as I find him to be oddly very underrated) but I would certainly argue that Moore is nowhere near the talent that AJ Brown or Tyreek Hill (or Stefon Diggs) are. Having said that, I would also argue, from a physical standpoint at least, that Fields is a greater talent than Tua or Hurts are.
I guess what I am saying is, I am fully on board with Fields taking a step forward as a passer, but I'm not confident Moore will be any better than he was in Carolina, though his presence should make everyone around him better. I don't dislike Moore, I just think he's more of a solid WR than a top notch one, ala somebody like Amari Cooper. Fantasy wise, I am confident Moore won't see the volume he often saw in Carolina (he was 6th in targets in 2021, and 11th in 2019) and he'll need to be more efficient, which is very possible with a better QB, to maintain value.
I doubt I'll end up with any DJ Moore shares, but its likely I'll end up with some Fields ones.
Yea I hear ya, but I would argue that DJ Moore did as well as he did with absolute trash at QB. Sam Darnold is awful, Baker Mayfield overthrew him all the time. PJ Walker is one of Matt Rhule's many poor decisions. Those were last years trash.
In the 3 years prior he had Taylor Heinicke, Kyle Allen, Will Grier, and noodle arm Terry Bridgewater. You also have to consider how bad of a coach Rhule was, and how bad the panthers team as a whole was the past 3 years with Matt Rhule, and Moore was still able to be a very productive WR.
87 receptions 1175 yds 4 Tds
66 receptions 1193 yds 4 Tds
93 receptions 1157 yds 4 Tds
I would argue that what he has been dealing with the past 4 years was very similar to Garrett Wilson last year with Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco. He is considered a late 1st round WR, early 2nd WR with Aaron Rodgers.
83 receptions 1103 yds 4 Tds
Now I am not saying Justin Fields is as good as Aaron Rodgers, or that Moore is as good of a prospect as Wilson. I am saying that DJ Moore's stats are going to be a lot closer to Garrett Wilson than people think at the end of the year.
D.J. Moore 2022 Player Profile| Reception Perception | Matt Harmon
receptionperception.com
He was double teamed on a whopping 17.5% of his routes run last year as everyone knew he was the only threat in town last year. His 72.2% success rate vs. press coverage from 2022 is the best mark of his career. The contested catch game has always been a strength for Moore. His 75% contested catch rate from this past season is actually the lowest of his career, and that’s saying something because 75% is a well above-average result. Moore’s 93.3% catch rate from 2019 is the second-best in Reception Perception database. In addition to his contested catch prowess, Moore also did not drop a pass in his Reception Perception sample. Justin Fields did not play with a single receiver who had reliable hands last year, especially in traffic. He has one now.
One sector I’d like to see the Bears get more out of Moore is after the catch. Moore showed early on in his career he was one of the most dangerous run after catch players in the league but the Matt Rhule-led staff rarely put him in a position to show off those skills the last three seasons. Last year, Moore was “in space” on a mere 5.3% of his routes but went down on first contact on just 38.5% of those chances.
Bears offensive coordinator Luke Getsy came off the Matt LaFleur Packers trees and those offenses did so much to get Davante Adams the ball in space, especially when he was lined up off the line of scrimmage. Let’s get some of those plays installed for Moore and we can awaken some still untapped upside in his game. (Moore had a 62 yard TD in pre-season where he caught a WR screen and took it the house on his only catch in the pre-season thus far)
Overall, Reception Perception does not view D.J. Moore in the same elite tier it ranked guys like Stefon Diggs or A.J. Brown prior to their respective trades but this move for the Bears falls under that category. This is an organization trying to get the best out of its young quarterback and swinging big to get a legit No. 1 receiver. Moore fits the bill as a true No. 1 receiver and can have that same transformative effect even if he’s just a bit farther down the rankings than Diggs was in Minnesota or Brown in Tennessee. The Bears hit a homerun by getting Moore tossed into the package for the No. 1 overall pick and secured Justin Fields a guy he can finally trust to beat man, settle down in zone and win the ball in tight spaces.