WR Elijah Moore, CLE (1 Viewer)

[menobrown]

I guess in theory that could be an "if everything broke right" maximum upside. Hard to imagine but if I tried to build a mental case for it and dream big I'd think back to that 6 game stretch his rookie season where he averaged 8.5 targets and 5.6 receptions a game, which would pro-rate to 144/96 in a 17 game season. That was mainly with Mike White and Flacco while he was a rookie so in year three with a likely much better QB it's not out of realm of possibility. Nothing I would expect, but again you are asking for upside and not projections.

I feel comfortable projecting him as the #2 receiver on the team, would not surprise me in the least if he led the team in receptions. I do think he's a 70 catch guy, that's more of a projection, not upside.

If you are projecting 70 then certainly 90 is a plausible ceiling right?

That's almost a 30% increase so no small gap. Think you'd need things like an Amari injury, trailing a lot, not seeing so much bad weather late in the year like last year. Not implausible though if we are talking an everything breaks right max upside.

 

[menobrown]

Are we assuming he's already leapfrogged DPJ for targets? DPJ looked pretty solid last year and could still be a factor.

Opinions will vary but you can put me down as feeling very safe making that assumption. Different kind of WR's playing different kind of roles. Cooper and a lot of big bodied WR's along with Njoku make up most of the weapons. Moore's the different guy from the rest of the group and I believe his ability to see preferential matchups out of the slot and uncover quickly will lead to him seeing a lot more targets.

 

[daveR]

Are we assuming he's already leapfrogged DPJ for targets? DPJ looked pretty solid last year and could still be a factor.

IMO* no. It could happen, but I wouldn't assume so, yet. My best guess is that they will start the season getting equal opportunities, in a three-way share of targets including Tillman. Cooper will remain #1. Eventually, we will see a Watson favorite emerge, but there isn't enough info to say who, just yet. I have a hunch, but it's really no more than that.

* for entertainment purposes only

 

[TripItUp]

DPJ's underlying metrics were terrible. He is ripe to receive a significantly lower target share IMHO.

 

[dipandglide]

DPJ's underlying metrics were terrible. He is ripe to receive a significantly lower target share IMHO.

The Tillman pick and acquiring Moore told us all we need to know about DPJ. He's gone after this year.