my guess it'll be more like 04 which is a shade below 475 att @ a career 6y/a puts him just at 2850 and with 1/1 - td/int i don't see him throwing 20 tds. i think it'll be about 17tds 15int
my boller perdiciton if he happens to be the starter all year (which i truely believe will be mcnair) is:
2975/17/15
easy chief, in making comparisons to '04 passing statsthe only legit passing option (Heap) got trampled in the Pitt game (game 2) and didn't see the field for over 2 months
"WR1"...and I use that term loosely...Travis Taylor was also out for a month, leaving the pass catching to:
Randy Hymes--no longer here
Clarence Moore--currently WR4 here
Kevin Johnson--WR4 in Det
Devard Darling--MIA (as in Mssing in Action---NOT Miami!)
Daniel Wilcox--TE2 here
Darnell Dinkens--in Clev
in games 2-6, the Ravens thru the ball ~100 times (I believe they avg'd ~17 ATTEMPTS during that period)
once Taylor, then later Heap, returned---the pass attempts went back up around 33/game, over the last 7 or 8 games of the season
while 562 might be a few more than they are comfortable throwing in a season, I think that is closer to what will be attempted than the 475 you elude to
as far as last year...Clayton couldn't get on the field on a regular basis until the 2nd half of the season...CMoore started in his place, and hurt the team signifigantly, as he dropped more passes than I care to remember
JLewis wasn't right all season, both physically and between the ears....I tried to warn you guys about this in "Jamal Lewis--buyer beware" thread ~August 15 last year, as there were nemerous reasons NOT to like the guy....any prediction less than RB10 for him and it was said I was crazy...his 3.4 ypc indicated I wasn't too far off
I see a much better season for him and the others this year...MORE SO if McNair does make it here (looks like decision June 1, on his case)...but let's assume he doesn't
My biggest concern w/Boller is his staying on the field---the only season he's gone the distance is with the bunch of misfits mentioned earlier in this post, only 1 of which would be expected to see any signifigant time this year (Wilcox)
He played reasonably well week 1 vs Manning and Indy, before a bunch of dropped passes, missed FG's (Stover 0-3 that day...perfect the rest of the year!!!)
and dumb penalties set the Ravens on their butts just prior to his getting hurt...
upon his return in mid-season, he showed signs of being decent, but was inconsistent overall
I can't help but expect slight to modest improvement in the numbers over his early results---check the numbers for the Gannons, Grbacs and BJohnsons of the world---none of these guys started with the numbers they finished with
make no mistake...I, like EVERY ravnzfan in this town, awaits the McNair decision... and expect great things if he does play for us...
...I'm just not ready to toss Boller under the bus as a totally lost cause---McNair or no McNair