Red Herring
Footballguy
Feel free to pick it apart, this is mostly off the top of my head. I was planning on including a few trades, but only one really made sense. I think the days of being able to trade down for multiple picks are gone. Lets get on with it.
1. HOU - Reggie Bush - I still think HOU is stupid not to trade down, but if they can't get a good deal, Bush is too good to pass up. I still think the Jets trading their two 1st's for Bush would be ideal, but it doesn't seem likely at this point.
2. NO - D'Brickashaw Ferguson - Another spot that should be traded out of, but probably won't be unless somehow Bush slips. LT's like Fergie don't come along often, and they'll finally have a replacement for Roaf.
3. TEN - Matt Lienart - Lock of the draft so far. VY's slide down the draft board makes TEN's choice easy. He'll sit behind Volek for a year, more or less, and step in nicely when given a chance. Watch out for Volek pulling a Brees and not letting him off the bench though.
4. NYJ - Mario Williams - Best available player here. The Jets have a lot of holes, and will be quite happy to take Williams here.
5. GB - AJ Hawk - Another team with a lot of needs and LB is a big one. Not only is Hawk the best available, he should start at WLB and free up Barnett a bit
6. DEN (from SF) - Vernon Davis - First trade here. SF has too many holes to like any one player here, so they trade the pick for DEN's 15 and 22 overall. Davis is a stud and will fit nicely into the role Sharpe played for them back in the day.
7. OAK - Vince Young - The first reach of the draft, and no shock Al Davis makes it. Aaron Brooks' contract certainly seems tailored to groom a QB. It wouldn't surprise me if the Raiders organization were the ones to leak the Wonderlic score to insure he fell to them here.
8. BUF - Winston Justice - They'll be loking for a trade, but not likely find one unless Vernon Davis has slipped here. They need a LT badly and apart from character questions (which I think WJ has answered) he grades as high as Fergie.
9. DET - Ernie Sims - At best their LB core has untapped potential. At worst, they just aren't very good. Sims sneaks into the top 10 here, unless Millen decides he needs another WR.
10. ARI - Michael Huff - Best player available here. They'll try him at CB opposite Rolle, and he can fill in for Griffith or Wilson if needed. Would give them a great secondary in a year or 2.
11. StL - Jimmy Williams - The Rams need secondary help badly. Cromartie is probably a better prospect, but Williams can fill in at CB or S, giving them more flexibility to draft or trade for more help.
12. CLE - Bobby Carpenter - Romeo's defense needs more playable LBs. Greenway is a better prospect, but Carpenter fits the system better.
13. BAL - DeAngelo Williams - Baltimore couldn't be happier to see Williams here. He sits until Lewis gets injured, gets time behind MA, then gets a chance to start in the last few games when they are out of the playoff chase.
14. PHI - Broderick Bunkley - Best available and fits their defense well. WR seems the only need position, but the last thing they need there is a rookie.
15. SF (from DEN) - Antonio Cromartie - His knee seems fine, and SF is rebuilding and can afford to let him learn on the job.
16. MIA - Chad Greenway - Thomas is getting older and the depth past Thomas and Crowder is sketchy at best.
17. MIN - Jay Cutler - I'm not sure I can see him slipping to 17, but I can't really see who would give up whats neede to trade up for him.
18. DAL - Haloti Ngata - His "motor" questions drop him here. Parcells will get his motor going just fine.
19. SD - Chad Jackson - Chargers grab a WR for Rivers to grow with and eventually take over for McCardell. Jackson over Holmes by a hair due to speed and size.
20. KC - Eric Winston - As a Chiefs fan, it sucks the Bunkley shot up the draft board. Sampson and Black are not the answer at RT and Roaf is aging. Winston plays RT until Roaf retires, then moves to LT.
21. NE - Santonio Holmes - Fits what the Pats like out of their WR: good hands, good routes, gets open, great after the catch.
22. SF (from DEN) - DeMeco Ryans - Defense, defense, defense. They were hoping Carpenter or Greenway slips to here, but Ryans is the best available LB.
23. TB - Mathias Kiwanuka - Kiwi may be the next Rice, and having Rice on both sides of the line for a few years will be scary.
24. CIN - Leonard Pope - No glaring needs mean another weapon for Palmer.
25. NYG - Tye Hill - Fills the hole left by Will Allen. Hill's speed is too enticing to let him drop farther.
26. CHI - Sinorice Moss - I can't imagine 3 WR going in the 1st this year, but Grossman needs someone to throw to besides Muhsie.
27. CAR - Thomas Howard - Car still needs to solidify SLB, and Howard fits perfectly.
28. JAX - Jason Allen - CB seems to be the biggest ? for them, and he can be moved to S if necessary.
29. NYJ (from DEN) - Marcus McNeill - Their gamble pays off as they get a great replacement for Abraham and a solid LT.
30. IND - Lawrence Maroney - They get a RB to replace Edge. No surprise here.
31. SEA - Tamba Hali - Wistrom is aging quickly, enter Hali.
32. PIT - LenDale White - The rich get richer. White really hurt himself with his workout/eating habits, but he won't slip much farther than this.
There we go. The more I look at it, this draft seems to have a huge drop-off in talent after the top 15 or so. The combine seems to have eliminated any major sleepers as well. I'm guessing the TV ratings drop after the first hour or so, especially once VY is gone.
1. HOU - Reggie Bush - I still think HOU is stupid not to trade down, but if they can't get a good deal, Bush is too good to pass up. I still think the Jets trading their two 1st's for Bush would be ideal, but it doesn't seem likely at this point.
2. NO - D'Brickashaw Ferguson - Another spot that should be traded out of, but probably won't be unless somehow Bush slips. LT's like Fergie don't come along often, and they'll finally have a replacement for Roaf.
3. TEN - Matt Lienart - Lock of the draft so far. VY's slide down the draft board makes TEN's choice easy. He'll sit behind Volek for a year, more or less, and step in nicely when given a chance. Watch out for Volek pulling a Brees and not letting him off the bench though.
4. NYJ - Mario Williams - Best available player here. The Jets have a lot of holes, and will be quite happy to take Williams here.
5. GB - AJ Hawk - Another team with a lot of needs and LB is a big one. Not only is Hawk the best available, he should start at WLB and free up Barnett a bit
6. DEN (from SF) - Vernon Davis - First trade here. SF has too many holes to like any one player here, so they trade the pick for DEN's 15 and 22 overall. Davis is a stud and will fit nicely into the role Sharpe played for them back in the day.
7. OAK - Vince Young - The first reach of the draft, and no shock Al Davis makes it. Aaron Brooks' contract certainly seems tailored to groom a QB. It wouldn't surprise me if the Raiders organization were the ones to leak the Wonderlic score to insure he fell to them here.
8. BUF - Winston Justice - They'll be loking for a trade, but not likely find one unless Vernon Davis has slipped here. They need a LT badly and apart from character questions (which I think WJ has answered) he grades as high as Fergie.
9. DET - Ernie Sims - At best their LB core has untapped potential. At worst, they just aren't very good. Sims sneaks into the top 10 here, unless Millen decides he needs another WR.
10. ARI - Michael Huff - Best player available here. They'll try him at CB opposite Rolle, and he can fill in for Griffith or Wilson if needed. Would give them a great secondary in a year or 2.
11. StL - Jimmy Williams - The Rams need secondary help badly. Cromartie is probably a better prospect, but Williams can fill in at CB or S, giving them more flexibility to draft or trade for more help.
12. CLE - Bobby Carpenter - Romeo's defense needs more playable LBs. Greenway is a better prospect, but Carpenter fits the system better.
13. BAL - DeAngelo Williams - Baltimore couldn't be happier to see Williams here. He sits until Lewis gets injured, gets time behind MA, then gets a chance to start in the last few games when they are out of the playoff chase.
14. PHI - Broderick Bunkley - Best available and fits their defense well. WR seems the only need position, but the last thing they need there is a rookie.
15. SF (from DEN) - Antonio Cromartie - His knee seems fine, and SF is rebuilding and can afford to let him learn on the job.
16. MIA - Chad Greenway - Thomas is getting older and the depth past Thomas and Crowder is sketchy at best.
17. MIN - Jay Cutler - I'm not sure I can see him slipping to 17, but I can't really see who would give up whats neede to trade up for him.
18. DAL - Haloti Ngata - His "motor" questions drop him here. Parcells will get his motor going just fine.
19. SD - Chad Jackson - Chargers grab a WR for Rivers to grow with and eventually take over for McCardell. Jackson over Holmes by a hair due to speed and size.
20. KC - Eric Winston - As a Chiefs fan, it sucks the Bunkley shot up the draft board. Sampson and Black are not the answer at RT and Roaf is aging. Winston plays RT until Roaf retires, then moves to LT.
21. NE - Santonio Holmes - Fits what the Pats like out of their WR: good hands, good routes, gets open, great after the catch.
22. SF (from DEN) - DeMeco Ryans - Defense, defense, defense. They were hoping Carpenter or Greenway slips to here, but Ryans is the best available LB.
23. TB - Mathias Kiwanuka - Kiwi may be the next Rice, and having Rice on both sides of the line for a few years will be scary.
24. CIN - Leonard Pope - No glaring needs mean another weapon for Palmer.
25. NYG - Tye Hill - Fills the hole left by Will Allen. Hill's speed is too enticing to let him drop farther.
26. CHI - Sinorice Moss - I can't imagine 3 WR going in the 1st this year, but Grossman needs someone to throw to besides Muhsie.
27. CAR - Thomas Howard - Car still needs to solidify SLB, and Howard fits perfectly.
28. JAX - Jason Allen - CB seems to be the biggest ? for them, and he can be moved to S if necessary.
29. NYJ (from DEN) - Marcus McNeill - Their gamble pays off as they get a great replacement for Abraham and a solid LT.
30. IND - Lawrence Maroney - They get a RB to replace Edge. No surprise here.
31. SEA - Tamba Hali - Wistrom is aging quickly, enter Hali.
32. PIT - LenDale White - The rich get richer. White really hurt himself with his workout/eating habits, but he won't slip much farther than this.
There we go. The more I look at it, this draft seems to have a huge drop-off in talent after the top 15 or so. The combine seems to have eliminated any major sleepers as well. I'm guessing the TV ratings drop after the first hour or so, especially once VY is gone.
Last edited by a moderator: