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Top 6: not yet. The Fantasy Football mag's bias is still too skewed towards RB for that to happen right now (face it, that's what most people use). Top 10 though? Absolutely.
I have never seen 2 receivers go in the top 6, maybe it is going that way now days. If I had a top 6 pick I doubt I would use it on a receiver no matter what kind of scoring.
I have those exact three... Fitz, AJ, Boldin in my PPR dynasty and the future looks bright. They were the top 3 in PPG this season and should only get better if healthy.
Here, have a cookie.I have to keep three (likely in bold) from:
QB-Kurt Warner-ARI
RB-Adrian Peterson-MIN
WR-Larry Fitzgerald-ARI
WR-Andre Johnson-HOU
WR-Greg Jennings-GBP
TE-Tony Gonzalez-KCC
The stud RB days are winding down. I have drafted WR-WR the last two years with good success.I've only gone WR/WR with my first two picks once in my life, and I had a lousy season. So for the sake of superstition, I won't do it. But..... what a crazy tandem that would be.
I've started my draft WR/WR several times and it's worked out pretty well. The key is you have to have RBs that you expect to be around later that can produce. When WR/WR has failed for me it wasn't the WRs that failed, but mid round RBs. For example, last season I went Fitz/Calvin in one league. But I was counting on some combination of Mike Turner, Forte, Kevin Smith, Mendenhall, and Chris Johnson to be available to me and to produce. I felt that there were enough RBs that I rated highly but would likely fall to take the chance of going WR/WR early. If the RBs are likely to be drafted similar to how you rank them, then going WR/WR is a big risk. But if you really think you are tuned into some mid round RBs that are going to produce then WR/WR works. I actually felt so good about the mid round RBs last season that I went Fitz/Calvin/Witten.I've only gone WR/WR with my first two picks once in my life, and I had a lousy season. So for the sake of superstition, I won't do it. But..... what a crazy tandem that would be.
The stud RB days are winding down. I have drafted WR-WR the last two years with good success.I've only gone WR/WR with my first two picks once in my life, and I had a lousy season. So for the sake of superstition, I won't do it. But..... what a crazy tandem that would be.
Unfortunately for me, even in leagues where draft order is randonly selected, I always end up at the end of the order. Last year, I took TO and Fitz in a 2 player keeper league and I won the league. When I won my other league in 2007, it was due to WRs and QBs (Brady, Romo (flex), TO, Colston and Edwards - virtually same lineup (no TO) this year crashed and burned due to injuries).It always seems like I draft late so I am always looking at meh top RBs versus the top WRs and pretty much every year the top WRs seem to do better. It is usually mid round RBs that come out of nowhere, not the guys predicted to be RB7-10.By the way, since I still have DD installed. Here was the scenario last year. At the 10 spot, Portis was picked 9th. At RB, LJ, Bush, Grant, McGahee and Graham picked as the next 5 RBs. The next 5 WRs were TO, Edwards, Colston, Fitz and AJ. No doubt that even with Colston's injury and Edwards awful year, you still were better off taking 2 of the WRs than 2 of the RBs. At least Colston would have been helpful during the playoffs unlike Bush. I chose TO and Fitz and did very well.Hmmm, just thought of something very interesting and I wonder how true it is. I have had a few WRs get hurt over the years. AJ in 2005 and 2007 and Colston in 2008. I have also had a few RBs get hurt. Faulk, Westbrook, Bush in 2007 and FWP in 2007. Whenever the WRs got hurt and it wasn't out for the year, they actually came back and had good to great playoff runs. Whenever the RBs got hurt, they usually missed all of the playoff runs. It just seems like the top RBs when they got hurt, it would be right when it mattered. I understand the whole you can't make the playoffs, but it just seems like RB injuries usually equal playoff time and WR injuries seem to be more early season.Anyway, I could be completely wrong since it is my own anectdotal samples, but IMHO WRs just don't seem to "wear" down like RBs do and I wonder if that also makes WR-WR at the end of the draft order a better plan risk wise. It seems like RB injuries that aren't just a single game, tend to be late in the year and can kill you in the playoffs.I took AJ and Moss at the turn this year in an initial Dynasty draft. I was this close to going AJ -Fitz. I won the championship this year so I can't complain too much but a Fitz/AJ lineup would look mighty sweet for the next 8 years ...I've only gone WR/WR with my first two picks once in my life, and I had a lousy season. So for the sake of superstition, I won't do it. But..... what a crazy tandem that would be.
Mmm...cookie....Here, have a cookie.I have to keep three (likely in bold) from:
QB-Kurt Warner-ARI
RB-Adrian Peterson-MIN
WR-Larry Fitzgerald-ARI
WR-Andre Johnson-HOU
WR-Greg Jennings-GBP
TE-Tony Gonzalez-KCC
Why? I am in 4 leagues and neither player will go top 6 in any of them. What if Warner doesn't return? It is too early to talk about this.
So basically outside of Rice & Harrison it was not worth it at all. Outside of easy to predict top flight WR's (with team stability) it is a complete crapshoot.
Rice, Harrison, Moss, and Owens were usually money in the bank. Until recently.
That being said, I like Fitz & AJ's chances better than anyone else. I couldn't ever get myself to take them on the first turn though. One of them, heck yeah, but both? The difference maker is PPR I suppose.
fitz will suck next year.well, he may not SUCK, but he will not live up to his expectations any team coming off a superbowl loss is greatly affected. it takes a lot to make it to the superbowl, good luck, drive, positiveness, health. well if you lose a superbowl, chances are that team usually does poorly the next year not only that but the team changes players. Warner is likely to retire and even if he doesn't, what is the chance of him staying healthy next year. without warner, fitz will not be this good. while he may still be solid, he won't be worth where he was drafted
I like jennins over johnson. johnson has never been able to keep it up game after game and is always hurt.Mmm...cookie....Here, have a cookie.I have to keep three (likely in bold) from:
QB-Kurt Warner-ARI
RB-Adrian Peterson-MIN
WR-Larry Fitzgerald-ARI
WR-Andre Johnson-HOU
WR-Greg Jennings-GBP
TE-Tony Gonzalez-KCC
He's already had 3 years with 1400/10 and almost hit 100 receptions for the third time. If he stays healthy and Warner comes back, what do you think his numbers would be like?
well his only bad year was 2006 when lienart started most of the games. I just don't think warner will be back. i say 8 -9tds and 1100-1200 yards. at best. not bad, but i think i can get one of those kind of guys 2 rounds later. not only that, but you never want to take a player coming off his best year. you always overpay and they never respond to what you counted on. especially WRS. they are so iffy. i would rather take a guy like colston in the late 3rd that a lot of peoiple are probably writing off. or what about roddy white?. i think that the drop in talent (12 team) is too big. take a rB in the first then a WR inthe 3rd or vice versa. the difference between the wr is less than the differnce between the RBs. that will hurt your team. VBD. BABY!!!!!example you could take say brandon jackson, gore or stephen jackson, mjd stlanton, at 1-12 but at 3-12 your are only getting lendale white. while the drop in WRs is not as drastic.there is a big drop off in RBS this year. this is the year of the RB RB WR QB
I thought the same thing when I took Moss and Wayne B2B last year in one league.I've only gone WR/WR with my first two picks once in my life, and I had a lousy season. So for the sake of superstition, I won't do it. But..... what a crazy tandem that would be.
Prove itI like jennins over johnson. johnson has never been able to keep it up game after game and is always hurt.Mmm...cookie....Here, have a cookie.I have to keep three (likely in bold) from:
QB-Kurt Warner-ARI
RB-Adrian Peterson-MIN
WR-Larry Fitzgerald-ARI
WR-Andre Johnson-HOU
WR-Greg Jennings-GBP
TE-Tony Gonzalez-KCC
exact reason i'm staying away. i love fitz but the superbowl loser curse is worse than the madden curse (see patriots).
Not a big believer in buy low, sell high? Expecting the top 3 WR's to get better doesn't make much sense.
